Realized P&L
+$732
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
139
Trades
3,767
lifetime
Volume
$25.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$637
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-21 05:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% -$529
Politics
17% 72% +$980
Tech
11% 54% +$313
Sports
3% 75% -$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,276 -$308 34¢ $-430 -$122 07-31 12:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -543 -$250 36¢ $-193 +$57 05-03 02:00
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2,100 -$36 0¢ $-9 +$27 10-04 22:28
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +192 -$22 2¢ $3 +$25 08-18 06:34
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,247 $7 0¢ $2 -$5 10-21 05:39