Boiling-Sofa 0xd9ebd9…4175ce
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
1
9,113 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5
$36.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$35
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-25 22:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
62% 63% -$115
Crypto
23% 50% +$31
Sports
10% 56% +$31
Politics
5% 49% -$34
Tech
0% 43% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17 $5 41¢ $7 +$2 07-23 11:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15 $6 38¢ $6 $0 07-11 22:42
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $4 43¢ $5 +$1 06-24 09:09
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 07-22 02:27
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +10 $4 42¢ $4 +$0 06-23 14:38
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$1 07-23 06:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $3 36¢ $2 -$1 07-12 23:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +31 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 07-13 17:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $3 29¢ $2 -$1 07-13 18:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 10-25 22:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$4 97¢ $0 +$4 09-23 21:44
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +0 $1 84¢ $0 -$1 07-02 20:26
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-22 09:07
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-18 16:31