Boiling-Sofa 0xd9ebd9…4175ce Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved (90d)
92
Trades (90d)
11
9,106 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$68
$36.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$30
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-04 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
62% 63% -$114
Crypto
23% 50% +$31
Sports
10% 56% +$31
Politics
5% 49% -$32
Tech
0% 43% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +12 $4 100¢ $12 +$7 06-24 09:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17 $5 43¢ $7 +$2 07-23 11:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15 $6 34¢ $5 -$1 07-11 22:42
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +11 $7 34¢ $4 -$4 07-21 10:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $3 32¢ $2 -$2 07-12 23:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +0 $0 89¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? No +5 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 07-22 18:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +0 -$4 97¢ $0 +$4 09-23 21:44
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 -$1 07-02 20:26
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 07-02 20:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 07-22 09:07