Realistic-Otter-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

476

Trades

2,398

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-27 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$87

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	2	$364	184	184	+0	open	—	05-23 14:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$314	273	239	+34	Up	+$47	05-13 00:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$310	568	0	+568	Down	+$258	05-13 22:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$283	269	134	+134	open	—	05-18 14:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$220	404	0	+404	Up	$-220	05-13 22:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	2	$219	116	116	+0	open	—	05-22 21:06
Roland Garros WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Belinda Bencic	2	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	05-24 11:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$200	392	0	+392	open	—	05-18 17:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	8	$195	254	224	+30	open	—	05-22 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$189	151	85	+66	open	—	05-22 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$162	200	34	+165	open	—	05-22 23:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$160	276	0	+276	Up	$-160	05-12 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$160	385	0	+385	Up	+$225	05-12 10:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$152	0	154	-154	open	—	05-22 23:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$150	289	0	+289	Up	+$139	05-13 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$140	262	0	+262	open	—	05-17 09:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$130	343	0	+343	open	—	05-18 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$130	317	0	+317	open	—	05-18 19:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$130	235	0	+235	open	—	05-18 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$123	198	83	+115	open	—	05-18 21:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$120	231	0	+231	Down	+$111	05-13 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$120	213	0	+213	open	—	05-18 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$117	68	68	+0	open	—	05-26 18:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$112	188	188	+0	Up	$-84	05-13 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$111	212	0	+212	Up	$-111	05-12 18:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	4	$110	68	92	-23	open	—	05-22 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$100	180	0	+180	open	—	05-18 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-23 10:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	3	$92	109	59	+51	open	—	05-23 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$90	102	0	+102	open	—	05-22 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:55:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0x606dfe…
05-27 13:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x60f990…
05-27 13:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x2cc44e…
05-27 13:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xffa517…
05-27 13:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7f2b6a…
05-27 13:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x273687…
05-27 13:38:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x1744a7…
05-27 13:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4101c8…
05-27 13:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeee675…
05-27 13:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb7bc7e…
05-27 13:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xce15ee…
05-27 13:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa97425…
05-27 13:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x585b10…
05-27 13:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc52183…
05-27 13:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xcd4c7e…
05-27 13:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xaaa1c4…
05-27 13:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xaa8996…
05-27 13:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3ef892…
05-27 13:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc2d97f…
05-27 13:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3e6d08…
05-27 12:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x56d000…
05-27 12:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x84bebf…
05-27 12:49:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x90436f…
05-27 12:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4ea3db…
05-27 12:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb5098…
05-27 12:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x42ca9f…
05-27 12:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x83c75c…
05-27 12:30:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1cabeb…
05-27 12:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2837f1…
05-27 12:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x569ad1…
05-27 12:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x548c70…
05-27 12:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x897461…
05-27 12:10:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6edcb6…
05-27 12:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x51db13…
05-27 11:54:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x5e0806…
05-27 11:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x84706e…
05-27 11:44:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc9da91…
05-27 11:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x876bfa…
05-27 11:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6cf884…
05-27 11:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2cd48d…
05-27 11:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd73d5b…
05-27 11:27:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc566e7…
05-27 11:20:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x76df6c…
05-27 11:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x832766…
05-27 11:10:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x320fcd…
05-27 11:05:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4d186f…
05-27 11:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xefc02a…
05-27 11:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x762514…
05-27 10:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x87e9ee…
05-27 10:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfad25d…
05-27 10:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaedb20…
05-27 00:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9bfda6…
05-27 00:25:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe65592…
05-27 00:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2cf5b5…
05-27 00:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7cced5…
05-27 00:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcb66f0…
05-27 00:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6de77f…
05-27 00:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4c7e09…
05-27 00:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0cf5b…
05-27 00:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xfed3fb…
05-27 00:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e47ba…
05-27 00:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x202e26…
05-27 00:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca353b…
05-27 00:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfe095b…
05-27 00:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd866e1…
05-26 23:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5272a4…
05-26 23:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfd7188…
05-26 23:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7569d5…
05-26 23:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcb2da4…
05-26 23:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cd9cc…
05-26 23:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x95ae79…
05-26 23:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3850b9…
05-26 23:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xabd13a…
05-26 23:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8ccdd1…
05-26 23:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xcc0eea…
05-26 23:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8cc876…
05-26 23:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x519482…
05-26 23:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1302be…
05-26 23:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x6ed572…
05-26 23:09:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x587b64…
05-26 23:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd6fcda…
05-26 23:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8debaf…
05-26 23:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6e93ec…
05-26 22:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x23bb04…
05-26 22:53:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x84113e…
05-26 22:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x0c84de…
05-26 22:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9ce849…
05-26 22:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4b60a0…
05-26 22:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x072dcc…
05-26 22:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x645999…
05-26 22:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb62f79…
05-26 22:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfc2ce0…
05-26 22:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3f5104…
05-26 22:10:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x379d0e…
05-26 22:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4cfa5…
05-26 22:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9b59c7…
05-26 22:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x0891f9…
05-26 22:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x938b00…
05-26 21:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x115e8c…
05-26 21:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x692b43…