Realistic-Otter-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$229

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

85 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$826

$1.19K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-313

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$220	404	0	+404	Up	$-220	05-13 22:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$120	231	0	+231	Down	+$111	05-13 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$112	188	188	+0	Up	$-84	05-13 22:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$64	0	102	-102	Up	$-38	05-13 00:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$50	89	0	+89	Up	$-50	05-11 17:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$47	90	0	+90	Down	+$43	05-13 20:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$45	81	0	+81	Down	+$36	05-12 21:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$40	74	0	+74	Up	$-40	05-12 21:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$35	64	0	+64	Down	+$29	05-11 22:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$35	63	0	+63	Up	$-35	05-13 09:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$23	40	0	+40	Up	$-23	05-13 22:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$22	42	0	+42	Up	$-22	05-13 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	+$19	05-13 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$18	33	0	+33	Down	$-18	05-11 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$15	27	0	+27	Up	$-15	05-13 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	Down	+$13	05-13 23:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$14	25	0	+25	Down	+$11	05-11 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$13	25	0	+25	Up	$-13	05-13 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	$-12	05-13 22:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$12	23	0	+23	Up	$-12	05-13 23:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$12	23	0	+23	Down	+$11	05-14 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Down	$-9	05-11 21:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Up	$-9	05-11 22:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Down	$-9	05-11 13:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$9	13	6	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 22:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$9	0	116	-116	Up	+$9	05-13 21:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	+$7	05-13 08:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-14 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Up	$-8	05-11 19:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$6	05-13 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 01:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2d96fa…
05-14 01:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x037610…
05-14 00:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xc403f4…
05-14 00:39:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe087df…
05-14 00:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1382ac…
05-14 00:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc25e22…
05-14 00:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x16267d…
05-14 00:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4017a0…
05-13 23:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xc511e2…
05-13 23:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x4d66a3…
05-13 23:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x13d839…
05-13 23:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xd93607…
05-13 23:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x90150b…
05-13 22:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	188	8¢	$14	0x5908bb…
05-13 22:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	404	54¢	$220	0x4538bf…
05-13 22:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	188	52¢	$98	0x8660ec…
05-13 22:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb2095f…
05-13 22:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfbcf72…
05-13 22:31:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x68c5e8…
05-13 22:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x59a936…
05-13 22:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xca36e7…
05-13 22:20:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1a3117…
05-13 22:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2c5788…
05-13 22:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7219f9…
05-13 21:54:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	231	52¢	$120	0xf54631…
05-13 21:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0x83f510…
05-13 21:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x9476ef…
05-13 21:53:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x8a1641…
05-13 21:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb9f040…
05-13 21:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf5f3b5…
05-13 20:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb76842…
05-13 20:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x466b56…
05-13 20:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xdb1ae6…
05-13 20:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe8ae3a…
05-13 20:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x80e318…
05-13 20:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x27c943…
05-13 20:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x474fc4…
05-13 20:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xd1fac8…
05-13 20:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5c3af5…
05-13 17:42:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x02e51c…
05-13 17:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x802516…
05-13 17:27:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x8cee26…
05-13 12:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x9521d0…
05-13 10:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xc644b5…
05-13 10:28:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbf1f10…
05-13 10:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x5c9e27…
05-13 10:04:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9ec0dd…
05-13 09:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe317c4…
05-13 09:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd661d8…
05-13 09:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2bef52…
05-13 09:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x943a25…
05-13 08:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc26243…
05-13 08:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x5aa9b7…
05-13 08:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2f52d5…
05-13 00:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3da3b4…
05-13 00:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x763d15…
05-13 00:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	34	59¢	$20	0xab7a99…
05-13 00:05:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	68	65¢	$44	0xab4f1d…
05-12 22:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe1d0c6…
05-12 21:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xcd7078…
05-12 21:20:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x6eff08…
05-12 21:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	55¢	$45	0xb78c39…
05-12 20:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa4e5d1…
05-12 12:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x50fd70…
05-11 23:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xab378a…
05-11 23:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x429f62…
05-11 23:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x1f61c2…
05-11 23:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xb0d960…
05-11 22:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x33358c…
05-11 22:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x2a6049…
05-11 22:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x435f1b…
05-11 21:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd771fa…
05-11 21:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xd567e3…
05-11 20:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x995d4e…
05-11 20:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4f2b83…
05-11 19:39:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2c88c3…
05-11 19:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf15188…
05-11 18:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x4c768e…
05-11 17:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x22b5e5…
05-11 17:18:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd85fdb…
05-11 16:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1a6b86…
05-11 15:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x629e0d…
05-11 14:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xf6243a…
05-11 14:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa38291…
05-11 13:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x9fa582…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	62	$2.59K	179	05-14 01:15
Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e	61	$1.25K	200	05-14 01:12
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	54	$1.70K	223	05-14 01:10
Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db	53	$2.54K	445	05-14 00:53
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	51	$927	201	05-14 01:12
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	49	$1.55K	182	05-14 01:12
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	45	$570	114	05-14 01:14
Mountainous-Shoes 0x7122…ecf6	44	$552	92	05-14 01:14