Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$961

Unrealized P&L

+$93

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

84 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.5K

$19.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

$1.31K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-04 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

87% 64% +$414

Politics

13% 14% -$1,588

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,357	$1,219	97¢	$1.3K	+$93	10-28 04:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	6	$6.6K	6,751	0	+6,751	No	+$191	09-25 08:44
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	3	$3.4K	3,788	0	+3,788	No	+$393	10-07 06:21
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	1	$1.4K	1,786	0	+1,786	Yes	+$354	07-20 17:41
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,357	0	+1,357	open	—	10-28 04:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$70	10-05 15:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$814	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	10-25 20:37
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	2	$805	419	419	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 04:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$723	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$717	10-28 03:59
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$700	759	0	+759	Yes	+$59	07-23 08:57
russia elections united russia wins every region	6	$655	977	977	+0	Yes	-$522	09-22 09:23
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$500	1,699	0	+1,699	Yes	-$500	08-06 09:40
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$242	406	0	+406	No	-$242	01-14 11:03
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	5	$198	218	0	+218	No	+$20	10-28 04:03
Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026?	1	$150	171	0	+171	open	—	11-04 04:12
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	2	$144	397	0	+397	Yes	+$253	10-06 04:17
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	1	$135	300	0	+300	No	-$135	07-23 16:49
Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?	1	$110	125	0	+125	open	—	11-04 04:13
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	1	$100	178	0	+178	No	-$100	07-23 09:23
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	11-04 04:00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$100	451	0	+451	No	-$100	08-07 13:41
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	35	$99	5,313	0	+5,313	No	-$99	07-24 10:29
Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?	1	$55	61	0	+61	open	—	11-04 04:12
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?	3	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	10-28 06:12
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?	1	$53	65	0	+65	open	—	11-04 04:11
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$51	424	424	+0	No	-$49	09-21 05:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$50	05-09 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:13:10	Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x76073f…
11-04 04:12:51	Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	171	88¢	$150	0x620807…
11-04 04:12:25	Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?	No	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0xe45422…
11-04 04:11:58	Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	65	82¢	$53	0x19b03d…
11-04 04:00:57	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xddf1e7…
10-28 06:12:53	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x3167db…
10-28 04:03:22	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2a6b93…
10-28 04:02:01	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd5f83b…
10-28 03:59:49	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xe3130b…
10-27 06:27:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x969221…
10-26 05:40:32	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x590f48…
10-26 05:40:05	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xb0473d…
10-26 05:33:11	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,300	90¢	$1,169	0x9d2ac5…
10-25 20:37:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	1,401	1¢	$14	0xc470e0…
10-07 06:21:18	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	98¢	$1,170	0xadca3a…
10-06 06:37:30	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x8621b9…
10-06 06:37:30	Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3754d0…
10-06 04:17:43	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0x9d451c…
10-05 15:26:41	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xef2952…
10-05 11:22:37	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 31	Yes	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x1c3434…
10-05 10:56:26	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531 20261001003357876	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x01947c…
10-03 03:44:48	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531 20261001003357876	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xdff990…
09-25 08:44:00	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	914	99¢	$903	0xa67ed4…
09-22 14:57:55	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	401	97¢	$389	0x5d223a…
09-22 09:55:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	1,401	57¢	$800	0xf52d1b…
09-22 09:23:37	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	837	1¢	$4	0x0bda92…
09-22 09:21:36	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	97¢	$876	0x478f1c…
09-22 09:19:16	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,400	88¢	$1,226	0x018b30…
09-22 09:18:25	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,100	97¢	$3,984	0x071daf…
09-21 05:38:33	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	424	0¢	$1	0xa7da91…
09-08 06:21:12	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,188	84¢	$999	0xf9b881…
09-08 06:08:10	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0x8e46ac…
08-25 12:56:16	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by september 30 2026	No	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0x44ca21…
08-12 12:42:24	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	667	60¢	$400	0xc2f1ae…
08-12 12:41:46	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xb1a3b9…
08-12 12:41:31	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	SELL	140	44¢	$62	0x1af385…
08-11 04:09:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	SELL	419	96¢	$403	0x15e2bc…
08-10 16:47:45	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	419	96¢	$402	0x1cbe73…
08-08 16:12:07	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x555aa4…
08-08 16:11:48	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5abfbf…
08-07 13:42:25	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	424	12¢	$50	0xa2d376…
08-07 13:41:28	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	451	22¢	$100	0xcb7e0e…
08-06 09:40:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,699	29¢	$500	0xd22a13…
07-24 10:29:03	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	186	0¢	$1	0xa94d10…
07-24 10:28:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc6dd8a…
07-24 10:27:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xe2aac2…
07-24 10:27:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb0e272…
07-24 10:27:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9d2eb3…
07-24 10:27:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x881aad…
07-24 10:27:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x45410f…
07-24 10:27:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1f4a7e…
07-24 10:27:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xe634dc…
07-24 10:27:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa82d71…
07-24 10:27:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x476679…
07-24 10:22:19	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$1	0xf86de6…
07-24 09:44:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xc04e4c…
07-24 09:44:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa71ca1…
07-24 09:44:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x76c0ea…
07-24 09:44:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x30924e…
07-24 09:44:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x09fcf4…
07-24 09:42:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	153	0¢	$1	0x53faef…
07-24 09:41:31	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xaa34d7…
07-24 09:39:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7314be…
07-24 09:38:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8d1499…
07-24 09:38:43	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfac009…
07-24 09:34:58	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	0¢	$1	0x876c95…
07-24 09:31:07	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x6caa2c…
07-24 09:30:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xb88d1c…
07-24 09:24:13	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xceeb11…
07-24 09:21:39	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xdec9f7…
07-23 16:49:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0xa460e7…
07-23 09:23:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0xce67d7…
07-23 08:57:03	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	759	92¢	$700	0xbb5bc2…
07-20 17:41:52	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	1,786	80¢	$1,432	0x7ef192…
07-20 08:44:54	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	2¢	$3	0x296a8d…
07-20 08:44:52	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x1a2b94…
07-20 08:44:48	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x9d51ef…
07-18 14:46:27	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2991c0…
07-18 13:05:06	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$19	0xfb067d…
07-18 04:56:51	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x10bdab…
07-18 04:56:46	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x02bd76…
07-17 19:30:55	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,318	3¢	$63	0x7ff093…
05-09 19:00:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0x89762a…
01-14 11:03:46	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	406	59¢	$242	0xbee943…