Superior-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved (90d)

1,148

Trades (90d)

8,378

21,988 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$566.8K

$2.02M lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-01 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Other

99% 89% -$684

Politics

1% 33% -$4,450

Sports

0% 71% +$1,110

Crypto

0% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+12	$11	94¢	$12	+$1	08-10 12:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?	43	$10.7K	6,471	4,271	+2,201	No	+$11	06-20 05:30
Raptors vs. Timberwolves	2	$9.2K	5,195	5,195	+0	Timberwolves	+$1,168	10-26 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 1?	60	$8.6K	5,369	3,220	+2,149	No	+$8	08-01 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2?	29	$8.3K	4,163	4,163	+0	No	+$14	08-02 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 38°C or higher on August 6?	29	$7.8K	3,885	3,885	+0	No	+$6	08-06 03:51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on July 13?	62	$7.4K	3,926	3,499	+427	No	+$4	07-13 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 17?	15	$7.2K	4,326	2,893	+1,433	No	+$7	06-17 23:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 92°F or higher on July 13?	6	$7.1K	3,547	3,547	+0	No	+$4	07-12 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on July 27?	18	$6.6K	5,414	1,207	+4,206	No	+$11	07-27 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31?	12	$6.5K	3,277	3,277	+0	No	+$3	07-31 08:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 5?	36	$6.2K	3,123	3,123	+0	No	+$3	08-04 17:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 13?	15	$6.0K	3,620	2,388	+1,231	No	+$6	07-13 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	50	$5.9K	4,376	1,494	+2,881	No	+$7	07-24 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 40°C or higher on August 2?	21	$5.7K	2,847	2,847	+0	No	+$3	08-02 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C or higher on July 23?	38	$5.6K	2,828	2,828	+0	No	+$18	07-23 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on June 8?	17	$5.5K	2,762	2,762	+0	No	+$3	06-08 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?	7	$5.5K	2,750	2,750	+0	No	+$3	06-03 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 20?	77	$5.4K	2,705	2,705	+0	No	+$3	07-20 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C or higher on July 30?	43	$5.3K	2,673	2,673	+0	No	+$8	07-30 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 2?	4	$5.3K	2,665	2,665	+0	No	+$3	08-01 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?	41	$5.3K	3,088	2,225	+863	No	+$4	07-04 02:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	15	$5.2K	2,616	2,616	+0	No	+$3	07-17 20:45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on July 29?	15	$5.2K	2,604	2,604	+0	No	+$21	07-29 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on July 1?	38	$5.2K	3,589	1,593	+1,996	No	+$4	07-01 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	93	$5.1K	2,563	2,563	+0	No	+$3	07-20 13:49
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on August 3?	17	$5.0K	3,536	1,446	+2,090	No	+$5	08-03 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on August 12?	31	$4.9K	3,014	1,905	+1,109	No	+$6	08-12 20:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 2?	41	$4.9K	4,274	601	+3,674	No	+$5	07-02 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 21?	125	$4.8K	2,427	2,427	+0	No	+$6	06-21 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?	7	$4.8K	2,405	2,405	+0	No	+$3	05-27 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:54:52	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	370	91¢	$338	0x3ca796…
11-01 11:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2afc08…
11-01 11:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x46ba27…
11-01 09:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbde478…
11-01 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x424404…
11-01 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x168941…
11-01 09:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf0a2ac…
11-01 08:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x009ab3…
10-31 21:07:46	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	1,094	91¢	$996	0x2e6041…
10-31 19:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x317705…
10-31 19:33:39	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0x31f032…
10-31 19:07:16	Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x778ee8…
10-31 18:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x74cf2c…
10-31 10:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x492b4d…
10-31 04:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xeb448c…
10-31 04:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0xb79869…
10-31 04:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbbbcc2…
10-31 04:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28fd77…
10-31 03:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3aa901…
10-31 03:50:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd3e5aa…
10-31 03:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe53a4…
10-31 03:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x62870c…
10-31 02:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x784482…
10-31 02:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3a7c79…
10-31 02:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x164266…
10-31 02:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8615a7…
10-31 00:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa07da3…
10-31 00:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x76d0a1…
10-31 00:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3cf946…
10-30 23:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on November 1?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc3367b…
10-30 22:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d99f0…
10-30 22:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on November 1?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x6fa439…
10-30 21:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9ae99c…
10-30 21:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6d4bbc…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb87a6f…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaf73f4…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x82988b…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x821c34…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7d1c48…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x618be6…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47bf83…
10-30 19:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x159ad8…
10-30 19:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x735a60…
10-30 17:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x74217b…
10-30 17:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe0abae…
10-30 17:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x0c3cea…
10-30 17:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xd52612…
10-30 17:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd5e4fb…
10-30 17:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef84f7…
10-30 16:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7f4db3…
10-30 16:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c90e5…
10-30 16:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x807f46…
10-30 16:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x121d01…
10-30 16:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3a9af6…
10-30 16:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9c79e…
10-30 16:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbbc9d9…
10-30 16:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf4f8a3…
10-30 16:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x19be61…
10-30 15:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xabb49c…
10-30 15:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	374	100¢	$374	0x3c4e60…
10-30 15:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa6cc65…
10-30 14:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae883…
10-30 14:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x107695…
10-30 13:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x1bbf1e…
10-30 13:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xbb81bc…
10-30 13:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x735407…
10-30 13:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x494627…
10-30 13:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x56fe8f…
10-30 12:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a62b7…
10-30 12:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbc53fb…
10-30 11:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd94678…
10-30 10:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe4a9b…
10-30 10:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x730ed5…
10-30 10:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x0031b7…
10-30 06:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x6d7fab…
10-30 05:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x0bc8b5…
10-30 04:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe52100…
10-30 04:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7b1c5…
10-30 03:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82a90f…
10-30 03:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x43cd1b…
10-30 03:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 31?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf6b84e…
10-30 03:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0a4767…
10-29 19:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08d30b…
10-29 19:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x168f28…
10-29 19:28:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8f973d…
10-29 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x259201…
10-29 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x225b8d…
10-29 11:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8993d8…
10-29 11:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xba52dd…
10-29 10:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2d0eef…
10-29 10:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff74af…
10-29 10:10:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x28c153…
10-29 09:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb3036b…
10-29 09:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4845fc…
10-29 03:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b0004…
10-29 03:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd97c33…
10-28 18:51:49	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 30 2026 28c	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd1268b…
10-28 18:48:52	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 30 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51a0cb…
10-28 18:22:40	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 30 2026 28c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21b06e…
10-28 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7512ae…