Stingy-Parameter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.00K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

2,669

Trades

11,941

lifetime

Volume

$173.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-15 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 48% -$2,333

Other

34% 33% -$1,195

Politics

5% 37% -$1,205

Sports

1% 45% -$228

Tech

0% 11% -$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		-50	-$30	54¢	$-27	+$3	05-16 02:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes		-73	-$36	20¢	$-15	+$21	05-10 16:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	130	$4.0K	6,008	5,966	+42	No	-$66	03-14 15:29
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	43	$3.0K	16,251	6,201	+10,050	No	-$122	03-05 11:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	136	$1.8K	11,286	8,875	+2,411	No	-$219	03-17 02:53
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	54	$1.8K	1,518	1,493	+25	Yes	+$155	03-14 15:03
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	36	$1.7K	5,951	5,951	+0	No	+$214	03-07 11:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$1.5K	1,095	1,095	+0	Yes	+$110	03-07 00:38
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	20	$1.5K	7,934	7,637	+297	No	-$244	03-05 07:36
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	20	$1.4K	2,078	2,077	+0	Yes	+$76	03-07 11:14
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	31	$1.4K	3,074	2,858	+217	No	-$105	03-06 06:15
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	33	$1.3K	22,372	1,271	+21,101	No	-$161	03-05 21:47
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	24	$1.2K	1,420	1,420	+0	Yes	+$148	03-10 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	61	$1.2K	1,550	1,475	+76	Yes	+$67	03-30 19:53
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	16	$1.1K	1,619	1,549	+70	No	+$35	04-28 01:21
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	36	$1.1K	1,055	1,055	+0	Yes	+$137	04-12 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$1.1K	729	717	+12	Down	-$26	04-25 04:05
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	59	$955	2,442	2,342	+100	No	-$56	03-13 13:14
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	21	$931	1,606	1,656	-50	Yes	+$184	03-06 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	23	$912	761	716	+46	Yes	+$6	04-28 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:15 UTC	6	$898	551	548	+3	Down	+$22	03-25 21:18
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	47	$872	1,865	1,689	+176	No	-$104	03-16 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:25 UTC	4	$838	566	560	+5	Down	+$43	03-25 21:26
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	39	$807	1,197	1,197	+0	Yes	+$13	03-16 11:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:45 UTC	7	$796	618	609	+9	Down	+$145	03-26 01:50
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	54	$794	1,685	1,686	-1	No	-$171	03-11 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:05 UTC	11	$777	624	298	+325	Up	-$315	03-28 09:10
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	42	$756	2,499	2,499	+0	No	+$42	03-16 20:30
andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	33	$714	891	930	-39	Yes	+$104	03-16 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$692	403	396	+7	Up	+$99	04-24 23:30
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	37	$684	1,139	1,139	+0	No	-$5	03-17 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:40 UTC	5	$682	517	512	+6	Down	+$84	03-26 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 09:54:31	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0xf525d2…
07-08 14:18:17	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x147a7d…
07-03 13:42:01	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,349	1¢	$27	0x5010fb…
07-03 03:12:16	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6bff66…
07-03 00:34:56	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	138	0¢	$1	0x393217…
07-02 22:27:44	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x61aefd…
07-02 21:49:25	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5dd35b…
07-02 21:49:14	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x280403…
07-02 21:48:41	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5984f1…
07-02 19:30:05	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x26e39e…
07-02 18:01:17	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0xde934b…
07-02 15:34:16	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	18¢	$88	0x36e645…
07-02 15:00:28	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,005	0¢	$5	0x070b51…
07-02 14:40:40	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb5029b…
07-02 12:38:56	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0xfe1dd3…
07-02 11:38:02	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x272a75…
07-02 10:56:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 2?	Yes	BUY	160	8¢	$13	0xd3a76c…
07-02 10:48:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe53f57…
07-02 08:55:46	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$1	0xd2f480…
07-02 08:41:38	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x989406…
07-02 08:41:37	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9f000b…
07-02 08:41:35	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x933668…
07-02 07:24:29	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0xfc2f6d…
07-02 04:40:43	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$1	0x13b898…
07-02 04:38:20	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	188	0¢	$1	0xf54b65…
07-02 02:30:49	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xb563c3…
07-02 02:29:55	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x1bdb0d…
07-02 01:34:20	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xf55ad7…
07-02 00:58:38	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$7	0x6ea9c8…
07-02 00:58:08	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	19¢	$28	0x4daecf…
07-02 00:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	88	12¢	$11	0xe0311f…
07-02 00:48:58	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$1	0xacad56…
07-02 00:46:53	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xfd13bd…
07-01 18:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c37e2…
07-01 18:53:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f3461…
07-01 18:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc23582…
07-01 18:50:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x50b26a…
07-01 17:51:29	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	511	20¢	$100	0x2490d2…
06-30 11:42:37	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xa9f3ea…
06-30 02:11:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x90fece…
06-30 01:45:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	570	3¢	$18	0x998fea…
06-30 01:38:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3bb402…
06-30 01:37:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xb5ff55…
06-30 01:37:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5743e7…
06-30 01:37:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9410e9…
06-30 01:28:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x7eaffc…
06-30 01:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc6c012…
06-30 01:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x6bb17d…
06-30 01:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x4fb736…
06-30 01:13:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x0fc7f5…
06-30 01:13:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x89c9ee…
06-30 01:08:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0xc254e7…
06-30 01:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x1c8811…
06-30 00:32:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 30?	Yes	BUY	291	3¢	$10	0xc26a8d…
06-29 20:33:14	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x0adba2…
06-29 15:43:50	bitcoin above 60k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x0ea258…
06-29 15:40:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	130	18¢	$23	0x89aa9f…
06-29 15:40:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	130	20¢	$26	0x811872…
06-29 15:39:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x15a4e8…
06-29 15:38:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	162	25¢	$40	0xac93ec…
06-29 15:38:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbbfff4…
06-29 15:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4985c2…
06-29 15:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	57	25¢	$14	0x34b781…
06-29 15:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	76	10¢	$7	0x9e826f…
06-29 15:30:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	95	9¢	$9	0x647699…
06-29 15:30:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$9	0x1de6d5…
06-29 15:28:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x542f8f…
06-29 15:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x70bf4a…
06-29 15:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xfa3366…
06-29 15:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd66c27…
06-29 15:26:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xea0abb…
06-29 14:48:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x365016…
06-29 14:47:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8eb9c2…
06-29 14:47:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29?	Yes	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xf9a686…
06-29 13:26:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x51ea01…
06-29 13:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0675aa…
06-29 13:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaf1302…
06-29 13:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6027cf…
06-29 12:53:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 29?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x118d12…
06-29 06:03:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x97cf30…
06-29 06:03:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf5cdd7…
06-29 06:01:02	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdee29c…
06-28 18:43:26	trump meets with putin by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc3a43d…
06-28 17:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8ae53e…
06-28 17:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6cfa26…
06-28 17:24:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdf98c2…
06-28 17:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x91b33d…
06-28 17:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x23e4c9…
06-28 17:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7868d0…
06-28 17:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa06de8…
06-28 17:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x41bcc6…
06-28 17:21:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x91125e…
06-28 17:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe402e4…
06-28 17:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5f674…
06-28 17:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8dee3f…
06-28 17:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x579e3e…
06-28 17:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x671bc6…
06-28 17:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4472a2…
06-28 17:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x4248e4…
06-28 17:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x607d0b…