Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$667

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved (90d)

162

Trades (90d)

286

286 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10.3K

$10.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$292

7 positions

First seen

2026-10-19

last 11-01 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

70% 46% -$524

Sports

30% 48% -$142

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes		+206	$159	82¢	$169	+$9	10-31 08:30
Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Ravens	—	+100	$53	54¢	$54	+$0	10-26 06:33
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No		+172	$42	18¢	$31	-$11	10-31 22:16
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No		+20	$10	82¢	$16	+$7	10-27 19:15
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+48	$14	29¢	$14	$0	10-30 18:56
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes		+9	$4	48¢	$4	+$0	10-30 04:28
will trump meet with flavio bolsonaro in 2026	Yes		+20	$10	18¢	$4	-$6	10-27 18:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	6	$202	378	0	+378	open	—	10-31 22:16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$181	130	130	+0	Yes	+$79	10-20 21:12
Stafford Rangers FC vs. Gateshead FC: Stafford Rangers FC O/U 1.5	2	$156	107	107	+0	Over	+$56	10-20 21:13
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	2	$153	100	100	+0	Under	+$45	10-25 19:22
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	8	$149	300	0	+300	open	—	10-31 22:36
Japan Women's Open: Kayla Day vs Kimberly Birrell	3	$149	190	93	+97	cancelled	-$7	10-20 03:57
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	8	$148	243	0	+243	open	—	10-31 12:55
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	2	$144	95	95	+0	Manchester City FC	+$46	10-20 21:13
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)	2	$142	93	93	+0	Commanders	+$43	10-20 03:34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	2	$142	93	93	+0	Over	+$43	10-20 03:23
AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5	2	$140	90	90	+0	Over	+$40	10-20 21:13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	2	$140	90	90	+0	Yes	+$40	10-20 21:17
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5	2	$140	100	100	+0	No	+$42	10-21 14:07
W15 Villena: Pauline Dore vs Anastasia Bertacchi	2	$134	84	84	+0	Anastasia Bertacchi	+$34	10-20 13:41
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino	5	$133	227	0	+227	Adrian Mannarino	-$133	10-24 00:06
W15 Karlovy Vary: Isabella Angelina Abendroth vs Ann Akasha Ceuca	2	$128	78	78	+0	Isabella Angelina Abendroth	+$28	10-20 15:57
Spread: LSU (-7.5)	2	$107	100	100	+0	LSU	-$1	10-24 15:29
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	4	$96	200	0	+200	open	—	10-31 23:54
Kayla Day vs. Kimberly Birrell: Total Sets O/U 2.5	2	$92	85	85	+0	cancelled	-$8	10-20 04:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	3	$92	70	70	+0	Yes	+$41	10-30 23:04
Lakers vs. Warriors	4	$91	100	100	+0	Warriors	-$7	10-30 18:15
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$74	100	0	+100	CTBC Flying Oyster	-$74	10-23 21:54
Mavericks vs. Heat	1	$74	100	0	+100	Mavericks	-$74	10-26 14:20
Pacers vs. Pelicans	4	$69	160	0	+160	Pacers	-$69	10-21 21:34
Kings vs. Clippers	2	$67	130	0	+130	Clippers	+$13	10-22 02:46
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	1	$67	108	0	+108	Under	-$67	10-22 16:41
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	1	$66	100	0	+100	Yes	+$34	10-23 18:46
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)	1	$65	100	0	+100	HOTU	+$35	10-29 02:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	1	$62	98	0	+98	No	-$62	10-21 19:15
Red Wings vs. Canucks	1	$62	100	0	+100	Red Wings	+$38	10-23 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:37:37	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0xcce710…
11-01 00:37:19	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3c2415…
11-01 00:34:43	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x133303…
11-01 00:13:42	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x17a882…
11-01 00:13:40	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x1e6059…
11-01 00:13:39	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xca0762…
11-01 00:04:58	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x82b3aa…
10-31 23:54:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x91d515…
10-31 23:54:01	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x86ac8c…
10-31 23:53:37	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xf52087…
10-31 23:53:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x7ac09b…
10-31 23:52:52	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x75729d…
10-31 22:36:54	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x566982…
10-31 22:30:49	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x312e32…
10-31 22:27:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xb9672c…
10-31 22:27:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x53b035…
10-31 22:27:33	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x52232b…
10-31 22:26:16	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x1015c3…
10-31 22:16:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No	BUY	69	17¢	$12	0x01b893…
10-31 21:04:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x391c2e…
10-31 20:56:58	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x8858ae…
10-31 20:37:33	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x8c954d…
10-31 19:56:22	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x23c032…
10-31 19:40:25	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd4fcfa…
10-31 18:59:40	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x85c660…
10-31 18:23:10	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x08e693…
10-31 17:27:18	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1e6cd4…
10-31 12:55:30	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xa9c8bb…
10-31 08:30:46	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x3aa39e…
10-31 08:14:54	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xdf2e30…
10-31 08:14:04	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0813ff…
10-31 07:40:19	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xc7f50b…
10-31 07:35:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xcf3b4f…
10-31 06:28:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x60d0c8…
10-31 05:48:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xac2be5…
10-31 04:21:37	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	37¢	$17	0xf6c014…
10-31 03:58:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x99b4f8…
10-31 02:24:24	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x100b4f…
10-31 00:09:25	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x2b594f…
10-31 00:09:22	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x20049f…
10-31 00:05:51	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0xe246e3…
10-30 23:04:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x69d081…
10-30 22:34:51	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0b4ece…
10-30 20:30:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7483bb…
10-30 19:28:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x4ba2cb…
10-30 18:56:54	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0xc75a4f…
10-30 18:46:36	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x69bc70…
10-30 18:15:45	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x9f5610…
10-30 16:34:06	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x5919c5…
10-30 11:32:25	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe9e539…
10-30 08:49:18	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x9d15fc…
10-30 06:40:48	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x18f754…
10-30 06:30:39	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0x751130…
10-30 04:56:25	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x89b51d…
10-30 04:28:01	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7f5b9a…
10-30 03:50:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x74e826…
10-30 03:07:34	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xb4af21…
10-30 03:04:16	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x73ae3b…
10-30 02:51:03	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xa77c3e…
10-30 02:23:28	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x865a9b…
10-30 00:50:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x628f69…
10-29 21:43:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x504a43…
10-29 04:43:23	itf gray1 papama1 2026 10 29	Alastair Gray	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xb1543d…
10-29 04:02:08	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x9bcc29…
10-29 03:59:32	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x6e1373…
10-29 03:58:31	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x862948…
10-29 02:38:37	Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)	HOTU	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x73a86d…
10-29 00:25:10	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xd51af7…
10-28 22:57:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xec7c11…
10-28 22:57:05	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x5f98b1…
10-28 20:40:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x602e7e…
10-28 19:32:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4206e0…
10-28 19:30:16	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf116cc…
10-28 13:53:16	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4998da…
10-28 08:43:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x46f9af…
10-28 07:11:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa4d7f5…
10-28 03:27:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5f686c…
10-28 02:31:17	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x289b59…
10-27 21:38:29	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x52a882…
10-27 20:41:15	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x1719a5…
10-27 20:27:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x884f5e…
10-27 20:27:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa8ec81…
10-27 19:30:09	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xdd8c5f…
10-27 19:15:00	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x890510…
10-27 19:14:26	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$15	0xdb8970…
10-27 19:14:26	Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa6ea64…
10-27 18:54:32	will trump meet with flavio bolsonaro in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x62e2a6…
10-27 18:51:27	will flavio bolsonaro return to brazil by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x97e8ea…
10-27 18:48:35	will flavio bolsonaro return to brazil by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2a7672…
10-27 18:46:14	will flavio bolsonaro return to brazil by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4a08bd…
10-27 18:11:14	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7b2c94…
10-27 18:05:00	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x3ae001…
10-27 03:18:18	Ningbo: Linang Xiao vs Jie Cui	Linang Xiao	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x19e8e7…
10-26 21:49:26	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat	Jan Kumstat	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xc45f9c…
10-26 21:49:12	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat	Jan Kumstat	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0x0eeb7e…
10-26 21:48:03	Ningbo: Fajing Sun vs Hayato Matsuoka	Hayato Matsuoka	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x3f2137…
10-26 21:47:33	Seoul: Taro Daniel vs Andre Ilagan	Andre Ilagan	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe033c1…
10-26 21:47:14	Ningbo: Tianhui Zhang vs Harold Mayot	Tianhui Zhang	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4843ca…
10-26 21:46:45	Ningbo: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Keegan Smith	Keegan Smith	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xfda89d…
10-26 21:46:11	Ningbo: Linang Xiao vs Jie Cui	Linang Xiao	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x295e79…