Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

647

Trades

1,871

lifetime

Volume

$3.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

54% 57% -$70

Politics

37% 57% -$19

Sports

6% 52% -$8

Crypto

2% 86% +$9

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	28	$40	42	42	+0	No	$0	01-16 13:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$38	54	51	+3	No	-$1	01-31 20:50
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	13	$32	39	38	+1	No	-$1	02-03 13:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	19	$31	37	34	+2	Yes	+$2	02-03 07:43
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	10	$30	67	67	+0	No	+$6	01-15 13:04
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	12	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	01-03 06:31
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	14	$28	25	25	+0	No	-$2	01-16 11:45
will trump say maga or make america great again this week december 29 january 4	13	$26	15	19	-4	No	+$2	01-05 02:14
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	12	$25	105	94	+12	No	+$6	01-17 19:17
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	10	$24	28	13	+15	No	+$1	01-15 19:43
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	35	$23	59	59	+0	No	+$1	01-17 19:12
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	18	$22	23	23	+0	Yes	-$2	01-03 09:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	01-26 21:26
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	11	$22	25	17	+8	No	-$1	01-14 23:40
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	7	$21	12	9	+3	No	+$0	01-08 02:44
lol ns drx 2026 01 23	8	$21	25	24	+0	DRX	+$6	01-23 12:55
trump out as president by march 31	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-24 11:34
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$19	42	35	+6	Yes	+$2	01-03 10:06
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 660 679	7	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	01-03 21:57
will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	3	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	02-13 19:40
lol edg tt 2026 01 23	8	$17	23	23	+0	EDward Gaming	+$2	01-23 11:39
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	10	$16	63	30	+33	Yes	-$1	01-22 12:22
lol navi gx 2026 02 22 game2	2	$16	18	18	+0	GIANTX	+$10	02-22 17:12
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-19 02:56
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$15	8	8	+0	No	$0	01-03 06:57
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$1	02-18 17:17
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	6	$15	30	30	+0	No	+$1	01-09 16:34
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$15	12	12	+0	No	+$9	01-31 13:53
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 640 659	7	$15	6	9	-3	No	$0	01-03 21:52
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	5	$15	9	6	+3	Yes	$0	01-26 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:11:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c4362…
11-02 00:35:27	Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x59551f…
10-28 03:27:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbee391…
10-11 02:32:14	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x41c4c9…
10-11 02:28:18	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xf6411f…
10-11 00:39:00	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9406bb…
10-09 07:47:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f9e8d…
10-03 00:17:38	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Roberto Soldic	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf573eb…
08-10 12:44:31	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xf6c137…
08-10 12:44:30	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x731bb0…
08-10 12:44:24	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x21adaf…
08-06 20:25:41	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x24395c…
08-04 20:39:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6821a…
07-08 16:53:43	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eb4fd…
07-04 19:46:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed3db2…
07-01 20:50:53	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b185f…
07-01 12:42:38	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01efe1…
06-19 13:38:43	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0x16e006…
06-19 09:32:44	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x598aa8…
06-19 08:35:44	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x79ab9d…
06-19 08:24:16	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x41af86…
06-19 08:14:44	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3b95b…
06-19 08:14:19	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x6068df…
06-19 07:31:49	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x37af25…
06-17 22:41:11	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4c184…
06-14 00:34:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40c3e7…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7b5124…
06-02 09:35:10	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x707ca2…
06-01 21:20:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5f489f…
06-01 21:19:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7c5fa…
05-04 19:58:20	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd537bb…
05-04 19:51:50	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2dc9f…
04-27 01:11:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe15439…
04-26 06:51:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e84c5…
04-26 06:19:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b90b9…
04-24 18:07:02	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3365f6…
04-11 20:39:27	ufc cha29 fra10 2026 04 11	Francisco Prado	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8a0423…
04-10 13:50:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70b7a5…
04-10 08:42:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x921acf…
04-10 08:42:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x506f7d…
04-09 01:21:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb5f6e9…
04-06 16:08:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x255ec4…
04-06 16:07:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x989a02…
04-05 12:53:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d0a9a…
04-05 09:25:09	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xe46147…
04-05 09:18:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x75a6a1…
04-01 21:54:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaac432…
04-01 21:00:49	will trump say third term in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ddfb8…
04-01 08:15:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x9898eb…
04-01 08:14:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe89e74…
04-01 07:31:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x008e7e…
04-01 07:13:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a735f…
03-31 14:52:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x98061a…
03-31 14:51:45	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x30956b…
03-29 15:23:50	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd05922…
03-28 16:46:45	ufc ign tof 2026 03 28	Ignacio Bahamondes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x27ecc1…
03-28 16:45:49	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe6d448…
03-28 12:17:51	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7a623…
03-28 12:17:47	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc8761b…
03-26 15:31:33	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff0a7e…
03-25 09:02:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b64b2…
03-24 11:34:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d3cff…
03-23 21:25:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd79543…
03-22 19:12:37	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x649b60…
03-22 18:40:49	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x78e69b…
03-21 15:27:21	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe80393…
03-21 14:39:23	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3bd220…
03-21 14:33:53	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbc048b…
03-21 14:33:37	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x67c0cb…
03-21 14:32:55	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4758d1…
03-21 14:25:53	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbdb775…
03-21 12:59:05	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xd3b2dc…
03-21 12:51:03	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xcf3d75…
03-21 12:51:03	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0xab20c3…
03-21 12:50:17	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x4e4a46…
03-21 12:48:25	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xc798e7…
03-21 12:43:27	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x8b9b5f…
03-21 12:37:15	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x6c7940…
03-21 12:37:07	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x05adbc…
03-21 12:32:47	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfeccea…
03-21 10:48:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0e1215…
03-21 10:48:05	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa79efc…
03-21 10:48:03	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa7eb65…
03-21 10:47:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xe2b6a5…
03-20 15:45:31	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x149406…
03-19 23:35:57	will trump say us steel during events with japanese pm	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd7b0ac…
03-19 17:21:21	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x52f525…
03-18 22:30:41	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x54cfbe…
03-18 13:43:17	lol blg g2 2026 03 18 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf4128f…
03-18 13:36:15	lol blg g2 2026 03 18 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8c5ec0…
03-18 00:08:17	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	SELL	347	0¢	$1	0x1db873…
03-18 00:06:35	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x1c30f5…
03-18 00:03:25	will trump say hormuz during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x51a0f9…
03-17 23:10:47	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xf47ae5…
03-17 23:10:45	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4b9b1e…
03-17 22:11:07	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb2f0f9…
03-17 22:11:03	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0x7bd578…
03-17 22:08:57	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xe86ca7…
03-17 22:08:41	will trump say peace in the middle east during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x971624…
03-17 21:40:45	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x1831dd…