Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.38K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.81K

Hit rate

32.4%

Resolved

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$136.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$7.18K

10 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-26 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

91% 87% -$11,055

Other

8% 85% +$3,283

Tech

1% 100% +$377

Sports

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+9,232	$3,615	36¢	$3.3K	-$338	10-26 19:41
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+8,716	$2,360	18¢	$1.5K	-$835	10-26 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+11,810	$1,517	8¢	$886	-$631	10-26 18:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+16,024	$2,205	4¢	$721	-$1,484	10-26 20:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+4,893	$2,167	14¢	$661	-$1,507	10-26 19:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+4,929	$31	1¢	$52	+$21	10-07 19:59
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+6,000	$12	1¢	$33	+$21	10-01 16:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	+750	$25	3¢	$22	-$3	10-26 18:14
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+334	$23	1¢	$4	-$19	10-21 19:11
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	+48	$33	2¢	$1	-$33	09-30 21:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	359	$38.3K	296,438	161,039	+135,400	Yes	-$11,909	10-25 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	176	$31.5K	71,461	66,568	+4,893	open	—	10-26 19:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	21	$11.5K	19,991	10,758	+9,232	open	—	10-26 19:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	59	$9.5K	37,671	21,647	+16,024	open	—	10-26 20:36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	4	$8.7K	5,728	5,671	+57	Yes	+$2,070	10-02 22:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	83	$8.4K	65,807	19,754	+46,054	open	—	10-26 01:31
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	52	$6.3K	19,095	10,379	+8,716	open	—	10-26 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	25	$4.4K	19,909	8,098	+11,810	open	—	10-26 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$2.5K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	10-21 21:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	3	$2.0K	2,264	2,264	+0	open	—	10-26 19:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	3	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-21 22:09
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	1	$1.5K	1,826	0	+1,826	Yes	+$329	10-18 14:45
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$916	977	0	+977	No	+$61	10-20 01:20
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	1	$800	1,097	0	+1,097	No	+$297	10-22 23:29
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$678	992	0	+992	No	+$313	10-13 15:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 15, 2026?	1	$603	618	0	+618	Yes	+$15	10-15 14:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	3	$520	443	443	+0	open	—	10-26 17:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 9, 2026?	1	$455	464	0	+464	Yes	+$9	10-09 04:02
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	2	$392	398	0	+398	open	—	10-26 18:07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026?	1	$391	392	0	+392	Yes	+$1	10-21 17:21
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$366	424	0	+424	No	+$58	10-20 04:31
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?	2	$303	346	0	+346	Yes	+$43	10-09 19:49
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 4, 2026?	4	$267	276	0	+276	Yes	+$9	10-05 00:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	6	$265	338	338	+0	open	—	10-21 22:26
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$240	252	0	+252	No	+$12	10-06 14:04
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?	2	$229	233	0	+233	Yes	+$4	09-29 18:35
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 12?	1	$210	214	0	+214	No	+$4	10-13 01:04
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?	1	$205	213	0	+213	Yes	+$8	09-26 00:09
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 19?	2	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	10-20 06:35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	1	$155	228	0	+228	Yes	+$73	10-20 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:36:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x83a08d…
10-26 20:24:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x860a5c…
10-26 20:03:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1,012	5¢	$51	0x04e2e6…
10-26 19:50:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x54a7d7…
10-26 19:49:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	698	5¢	$35	0xe6e450…
10-26 19:48:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	285	5¢	$14	0x6d7177…
10-26 19:41:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	3,000	34¢	$1,020	0x4c32a1…
10-26 19:41:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,000	13¢	$390	0xade3e8…
10-26 19:39:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x73f96a…
10-26 19:35:17	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0xb14388…
10-26 19:27:32	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x0b7e9f…
10-26 19:24:39	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	2,000	17¢	$340	0x237b85…
10-26 19:24:32	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	3,000	17¢	$510	0x28e5ae…
10-26 19:15:30	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	1¢	$5	0xb3b564…
10-26 19:11:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	2,264	46¢	$1,041	0x252097…
10-26 19:11:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	3,000	33¢	$990	0x5eeff7…
10-26 18:41:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,434	8¢	$115	0x0c02de…
10-26 18:40:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xc19097…
10-26 18:40:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	566	8¢	$45	0x256392…
10-26 18:35:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xbfce76…
10-26 18:30:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	207	13¢	$27	0x54c299…
10-26 18:26:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,796	13¢	$234	0xef36cc…
10-26 18:17:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x6a423c…
10-26 18:14:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x0e3a45…
10-26 18:07:35	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0x0f1486…
10-26 18:07:29	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x22acc4…
10-26 18:02:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	148	13¢	$19	0x20953b…
10-26 18:01:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5c1888…
10-26 17:57:05	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xe47d8d…
10-26 17:55:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x2a338f…
10-26 17:54:50	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x75e1f1…
10-26 17:51:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	222	62¢	$138	0x285909…
10-26 17:50:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x94e347…
10-26 17:50:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x4fd02a…
10-26 17:49:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x677f01…
10-26 17:49:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	466	3¢	$14	0x4e7697…
10-26 17:07:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	645	9¢	$58	0xfdc200…
10-26 17:07:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xac7cf3…
10-26 17:07:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x322682…
10-26 06:00:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xf8440e…
10-26 05:49:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xbd4920…
10-26 01:31:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x076a4a…
10-26 00:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	962	13¢	$125	0xccee55…
10-25 23:54:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x58ec12…
10-25 23:24:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x66c0cc…
10-25 22:43:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	180	18¢	$32	0xecad93…
10-25 22:38:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	585	17¢	$100	0x6b09bc…
10-25 22:38:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	315	17¢	$53	0xb713df…
10-25 22:14:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x980af5…
10-25 22:13:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5f0b56…
10-25 22:13:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xc5dffc…
10-25 22:13:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x4ec2c6…
10-25 22:04:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	90	13¢	$12	0x446351…
10-25 22:04:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x20968b…
10-25 22:02:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x924743…
10-25 22:02:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x011212…
10-25 21:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,738	5¢	$86	0xdbd324…
10-25 21:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x84faa5…
10-25 21:48:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x557cec…
10-25 21:47:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0x682a4d…
10-25 21:46:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	906	10¢	$91	0x363faa…
10-25 21:45:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	18¢	$180	0x3873ab…
10-25 21:44:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	2,094	10¢	$209	0x75da8b…
10-25 21:43:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0x279361…
10-25 21:43:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,448	1¢	$24	0x6ffe97…
10-25 21:28:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	6,842	0¢	$7	0x9c3014…
10-25 21:28:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0x364e96…
10-25 21:28:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xae4575…
10-25 21:28:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,236	1¢	$16	0x4babfd…
10-25 20:36:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2,522	1¢	$18	0xde4339…
10-25 20:32:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0x1eb180…
10-25 20:23:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	706	15¢	$106	0x763cd8…
10-25 20:07:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	294	15¢	$44	0x8c53d6…
10-25 20:01:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,600	15¢	$240	0x7245df…
10-25 19:53:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf75c4…
10-25 19:41:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	14¢	$700	0x65c0dd…
10-25 19:40:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x48c4c1…
10-25 19:15:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1cd257…
10-25 18:47:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	394	1¢	$3	0xfcfd6f…
10-25 18:02:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0xfe68e9…
10-25 18:01:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	41	38¢	$15	0xe3f133…
10-25 05:50:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x66b4f8…
10-25 05:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6436a4…
10-25 05:47:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x07cec3…
10-25 05:41:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x018775…
10-25 05:35:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	672	0¢	$3	0x8931e3…
10-25 04:43:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47851d…
10-24 21:47:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5,000	18¢	$900	0xe6993e…
10-24 21:47:18	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x25c53d…
10-24 04:47:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xb2ca91…
10-24 00:44:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xb0a826…
10-24 00:43:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x102707…
10-24 00:43:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	162	7¢	$11	0xc6139d…
10-24 00:39:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,687	7¢	$118	0xa77154…
10-24 00:35:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,711	26¢	$445	0x8ab924…
10-23 22:37:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x662609…
10-23 21:38:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	221	14¢	$31	0x3a4f28…
10-23 21:37:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5,570	43¢	$2,385	0x414379…
10-23 21:37:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	10,834	11¢	$1,188	0x632f4c…
10-23 21:37:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	3,313	22¢	$745	0x18a1be…