Required-Pendulum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$210

Unrealized P&L

-$582

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

980

Trades

1,270

lifetime

Volume

$39.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-30 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% -$924

Sports

21% 58% +$814

Politics

1% 17% -$80

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	-335	$539	3¢	$-10	-$550	10-08 20:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+90	$18	3¢	$3	-$15	10-08 07:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+61	$17	0¢	$0	-$17	10-19 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	45	$3.2K	8,071	8,405	-335	open	—	10-08 20:06
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$356	268	268	+0	Yes	+$56	04-08 19:54
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$291	221	217	+3	Knicks	+$78	04-30 17:27
wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08	4	$286	463	0	+463	Linda Noskova	+$177	07-08 10:29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$285	698	698	+0	No	+$45	07-08 08:34
atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	4	$283	291	291	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$38	07-08 14:44
atp santama milic 2026 06 25	2	$264	164	164	+0	Andres Santamarta	+$64	06-25 10:02
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$234	157	155	+2	Spurs	+$77	04-25 05:25
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	3	$231	156	156	+0	T1	+$81	05-01 12:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$198	609	609	+0	No	+$28	07-08 10:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	3	$193	379	0	+379	Yes	+$186	05-13 20:08
Will IFK Göteborg win on 2026-07-30?	2	$192	165	165	+0	Yes	+$53	07-30 17:52
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$181	206	0	+206	Thunder	+$25	05-07 19:53
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game4	7	$180	324	153	+172	G2 Esports	-$150	07-08 09:27
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	2	$160	110	110	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$59	07-04 11:57
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game3	2	$160	108	108	+0	Vitality	$0	03-29 11:59
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	2	$156	106	106	+0	G2 Esports	+$56	07-03 13:21
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$155	202	198	+4	Yes	-$1	04-14 19:41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$151	988	521	+467	No	-$49	06-16 20:31
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$150	254	0	+254	Yes	+$104	05-14 06:54
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$146	126	126	+0	Yes	+$56	06-06 06:49
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5	1	$145	264	0	+264	Over	+$119	05-12 19:30
lol ly tsw 2026 07 08 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$143	100	100	+0	LYON	+$57	07-08 06:47
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	2	$141	114	114	+0	Under	-$9	05-13 19:48
atp darderi borges 2026 06 25	2	$139	91	91	+0	Nuno Borges	+$27	06-25 12:47
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	2	$139	106	104	+2	No	+$71	04-11 14:11
cs2 bb3 nem 2026 07 03	2	$136	81	81	+0	BetBoom Team	+$26	07-03 20:21
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$134	80	80	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$26	07-05 12:03
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$126	76	76	+0	LNG Esports	+$26	05-03 10:01
wta navarro kostyuk 2026 07 03 set handicap away 1pt5	2	$124	75	75	+0	Navarro	+$25	07-04 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:20:33	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x8994e7…
10-30 20:57:19	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	58	21¢	$12	0x132ec2…
10-30 20:56:52	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	G2 Esports	SELL	23	46¢	$11	0x024c2a…
10-30 20:45:00	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	65	53¢	$34	0x73015b…
10-30 20:44:01	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	52	68¢	$36	0xd9ad1c…
10-30 20:02:00	Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$21	0x9868ed…
10-30 20:01:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	93	23¢	$21	0xe7bb18…
10-30 18:42:00	Spread: Lakers (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x58dee7…
10-30 18:39:54	SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x1203dd…
10-30 15:28:39	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0xfa0398…
10-30 15:21:13	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xad0b36…
10-30 15:20:28	Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xa8e18c…
10-30 15:20:13	Spread: Raptors (-5.5)	Magic	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf127fd…
10-30 11:52:39	Casa Pia AC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x74dfbb…
10-30 10:21:39	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	G2 Esports	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0xe2aece…
10-30 10:21:22	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf26cf0…
10-30 10:20:13	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x834f7f…
10-29 20:49:18	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x56966d…
10-29 20:49:09	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7fa627…
10-29 20:47:40	Kings vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xe8005a…
10-29 20:47:27	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5	Over	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xb76bd4…
10-29 20:47:09	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc9fec2…
10-29 20:32:48	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x549a58…
10-29 15:46:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x85fb2e…
10-29 15:45:34	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alexander Zverev	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0xa8f569…
10-28 19:35:56	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xcbfaa9…
10-28 19:35:28	Will Seiya Suzuki win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x5d50cb…
10-28 19:17:32	Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xd103e4…
10-28 19:16:43	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	25¢	$17	0x42af4b…
10-28 18:54:49	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	44	44¢	$19	0xcdedfe…
10-28 18:54:29	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x78d03f…
10-28 17:46:58	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7728dd…
10-28 14:58:41	Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x4f9523…
10-28 14:44:46	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x5595c1…
10-28 12:52:25	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x4d3c05…
10-28 12:14:29	Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)	Warriors	BUY	61	54¢	$33	0xc30be3…
10-28 12:14:14	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0x556121…
10-28 08:54:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xb99234…
10-27 19:55:05	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xfe06be…
10-27 19:49:09	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0xa099c9…
10-27 19:33:53	Will Bradford City AFC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xa24a56…
10-27 14:46:23	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x28d348…
10-27 14:37:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xbb7923…
10-27 13:50:32	Brest: Tom Paris vs Borna Gojo	Borna Gojo	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0xf9fc20…
10-27 13:50:12	W35 Sydney: Renee Alame vs Yuhan Liu	Yuhan Liu	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x0a518e…
10-27 13:49:47	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x37de72…
10-27 13:48:39	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sabres	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0xc9d590…
10-27 13:48:24	Devils vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x918fcf…
10-27 13:47:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x1ccaa3…
10-27 13:47:23	Will Seiya Suzuki win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc64b40…
10-27 13:46:06	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x35b388…
10-27 13:45:18	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x61064d…
10-27 13:44:48	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x2534c5…
10-27 12:11:39	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x9b2b69…
10-27 11:55:57	Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)	Karmine Corp	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0xde3f2a…
10-27 11:54:00	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	Alliance	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x25074f…
10-27 10:56:45	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xdbd187…
10-27 10:56:17	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0xe0b670…
10-27 10:56:00	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x044825…
10-27 10:53:08	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x471393…
10-27 09:50:30	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x682f65…
10-27 08:27:02	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb6c38e…
10-27 07:41:06	Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini	Naomi Osaka	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x94efee…
10-26 19:50:27	Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x9b1ba2…
10-26 18:16:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0xeb58dd…
10-26 15:29:21	Set Handicap: Ryan Nijboer (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Claverie (+1.5)	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc75a45…
10-26 14:39:36	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc62532…
10-26 14:39:17	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6526af…
10-26 14:23:33	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Hornets	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x6d6a8b…
10-26 14:23:17	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xdd0c97…
10-26 14:22:30	Spread: Pacers (-4.5)	Pacers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x284228…
10-26 10:43:39	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1e71c1…
10-26 10:20:48	Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x6af97a…
10-26 10:15:06	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	SELL	39	52¢	$20	0xbc3aca…
10-26 10:04:57	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x3571d3…
10-26 09:48:33	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x0338f9…
10-26 09:48:14	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xff261c…
10-26 09:47:53	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa7e2d1…
10-26 09:46:54	Ningbo: Mili Poljicak vs Yuta Shimizu	Yuta Shimizu	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x967af9…
10-26 09:10:53	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x5e9abb…
10-26 09:01:14	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa15469…
10-26 08:59:59	M15 Selva Gardena: Flynn Thomas vs Andrea Colombo	Flynn Thomas	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xbe762b…
10-26 08:59:35	Seoul: Jang-Jun Kim vs Billy Harris	Jang-Jun Kim	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0xff4622…
10-26 08:08:30	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xbb4e7d…
10-26 08:08:06	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x515067…
10-25 21:29:05	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xdf6cd3…
10-25 21:00:57	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xa59532…
10-25 20:59:24	Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x3143a7…
10-25 20:59:03	Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9fe267…
10-25 20:56:08	Spread: Pacers (-5.5)	Pacers	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x5cd467…
10-25 20:21:42	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x1c2d8b…
10-25 20:21:33	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0xdc819b…
10-25 19:05:56	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Movistar KOI	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x81f78f…
10-25 19:05:09	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x749e49…
10-25 19:04:20	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x0f6892…
10-25 17:21:39	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xc90e69…
10-25 14:00:53	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd4607f…
10-25 14:00:26	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x6a8bf8…
10-25 12:58:15	Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	Hull City AFC	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x9b8fb5…
10-25 11:01:35	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xe98956…