Limp-Release — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-10 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-10

Crypto

31% — —

Politics

12% 100% +$26

Sports

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		+16	$15	80¢	$13	$-2	06-02 10:46
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+7	$5	72¢	$5	$-0	06-02 10:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	3	$30	24	12	+12	open	—	03-03 15:48
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	02-25 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	open	—	06-01 16:49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$20	30	30	+0	open	—	02-25 12:43
btc updown 5m 1772472300	1	$20	83	0	+83	open	—	03-02 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$20	75	0	+75	open	—	04-10 18:12
nhl det nsh 2026 03 02	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-02 18:50
rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 eng	1	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	03-14 10:48
btc updown 5m 1774952700	1	$17	33	0	+33	open	—	03-31 10:25
btc updown 5m 1772058600	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	02-25 22:03
val tl1 gm 2026 03 02	1	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	03-02 16:56
cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	03-13 10:13
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	03-11 07:01
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-02 10:46
bitcoin up or down on march 4	2	$15	1,471	0	+1,471	open	—	03-04 15:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$10	31	31	+0	open	—	03-14 09:17
btc updown 5m 1772017500	1	$10	500	0	+500	open	—	02-25 11:07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	03-01 21:28
btc updown 5m 1772398800	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-01 20:55
rusixnat wal ita 2026 03 14 ita	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-14 10:48
btc updown 5m 1773759900	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	03-17 15:06
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	03-01 21:35
btc updown 5m 1772023800	1	$10	333	0	+333	open	—	02-25 12:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-01 20:54
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	03-10 09:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	06-02 13:31
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-05 09:48
elc sto ips 2026 03 10 ips	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-10 19:42
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	67	0	+67	No	$-10	03-04 11:43
will nvidia nvda be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of march 2	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-01 21:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 18:51:52	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x366d60…
06-02 13:52:53	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbfb0d1…
06-02 13:52:46	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc4c32c…
06-02 13:31:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa44cea…
06-02 10:46:34	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb00a58…
06-02 10:46:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6a3cc0…
06-01 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x09d1a1…
05-06 13:10:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1e5fd6…
04-10 18:12:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x56c579…
04-10 18:09:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x26602f…
04-10 18:09:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdb12d5…
04-08 12:31:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd0bea1…
03-31 10:25:59	btc updown 5m 1774952700	Up	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x21b17a…
03-18 11:50:39	btc updown 15m 1773834300	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6af23b…
03-18 07:18:09	btc updown 5m 1773818100	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0ead0a…
03-17 15:06:49	btc updown 5m 1773759900	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd61586…
03-17 09:16:49	btc updown 5m 1773738900	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0645a1…
03-17 08:55:19	btc updown 5m 1773737400	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xeb4b39…
03-16 14:38:39	btc updown 5m 1773671700	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0ec4f6…
03-16 07:27:37	will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xbc47cf…
03-16 07:27:21	will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	955	1¢	$5	0xe001d0…
03-16 07:27:05	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xa4ac76…
03-16 07:26:57	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc6639f…
03-14 20:17:31	epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7d90ba…
03-14 11:02:15	mls atl phi 2026 03 14 atl	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc50235…
03-14 10:49:15	rusixnat ire sco 2026 03 14 ire	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf1d4ef…
03-14 10:48:43	rusixnat fra eng 2026 03 14 eng	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x6adf62…
03-14 10:48:31	rusixnat wal ita 2026 03 14 ita	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1d5906…
03-14 10:48:27	rusixnat ire sco 2026 03 14 sco	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc0cd58…
03-14 09:17:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xb7e498…
03-13 10:14:05	chi wsz ygb 2026 03 13 wsz	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf6f685…
03-13 10:13:45	dota2 heroic vg 2026 03 13	Vici Gaming	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9f7d83…
03-13 10:13:21	cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	Natus Vincere	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xa9f336…
03-13 10:12:55	ethereum above 2100 on march 14	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1e9876…
03-13 10:12:43	fl1 olm aja 2026 03 13 olm	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3afca7…
03-13 10:11:49	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa3c91c…
03-13 10:11:23	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x589f58…
03-13 10:11:19	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x07bf28…
03-11 07:01:51	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2403d5…
03-11 07:01:43	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc80166…
03-10 21:07:53	btc updown 5m 1773176700	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc35c45…
03-10 21:02:31	btc updown 5m 1773176400	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xefd050…
03-10 19:43:31	btc updown 5m 1773171600	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d380b…
03-10 19:43:01	elc sto ips 2026 03 10 sto	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x05552a…
03-10 19:42:51	elc sto ips 2026 03 10 ips	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8f4325…
03-10 15:07:39	btc updown 5m 1773155100	Up	BUY	463	1¢	$5	0xee894d…
03-10 15:06:35	btc updown 5m 1773158100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8099ce…
03-10 15:04:47	atp faria marcond 2026 03 10	Jaime Faria	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbb0094…
03-10 14:47:35	cs2 3dmax navi 2026 03 10	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x992cfc…
03-10 09:15:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x4a54e3…
03-10 09:15:11	btc updown 5m 1773134100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x439123…
03-10 09:14:43	btc updown 5m 1773133800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd071ef…
03-10 08:16:17	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x35a3b3…
03-10 08:15:57	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5650b1…
03-10 08:15:19	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x84571c…
03-09 08:42:35	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x32a849…
03-09 08:41:47	rus spa akr 2026 03 09 spa	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x609c96…
03-08 06:53:17	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc05a4a…
03-08 06:53:01	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	1¢	$5	0xe5e8c6…
03-08 06:52:55	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xe9d77a…
03-08 06:51:39	lal vil elc 2026 03 08 vil	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x993014…
03-07 17:41:33	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe7e2d5…
03-07 17:41:27	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	India	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x618031…
03-06 09:29:29	cs2 mouzn unity 2026 03 06	MOUZ NXT	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x33602a…
03-05 12:26:47	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Pelicans	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xdd0d59…
03-05 12:25:23	btc updown 5m 1772713500	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x56bda7…
03-05 12:24:53	will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	337	1¢	$5	0x90c230…
03-05 09:49:17	bitcoin up or down on march 5	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc04121…
03-05 09:49:07	xrp up or down on march 5	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5bb018…
03-05 09:48:49	bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xeaa56c…
03-04 15:31:07	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x136be3…
03-04 15:30:57	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	Yes	BUY	545	1¢	$6	0x65f193…
03-04 15:30:41	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x80c4b7…
03-04 15:29:49	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Down	BUY	1,461	0¢	$5	0x6252e9…
03-04 15:29:31	bitcoin up or down on march 4	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4512f…
03-04 15:27:15	cbb jax bella 2026 03 04	Jacksonville Dolphins	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9da556…
03-04 15:24:55	atp herbert bailly 2026 03 02	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x584b66…
03-04 15:24:27	epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2e6a27…
03-04 11:46:23	will performance be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0ab81b…
03-04 11:46:15	will m5 be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf699eb…
03-04 11:46:09	will siri be said 5 times during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa52a34…
03-04 11:46:05	will apple tv be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x96aa59…
03-04 11:45:47	will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions 926	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdff851…
03-04 11:45:17	will keir starmer say gorton during the next prime ministers questions	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1b88dd…
03-04 11:45:01	will starmer say constructive during the next prime ministers questions 733	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x9b7d0e…
03-04 11:43:59	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x213a29…
03-04 11:42:57	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9927ee…
03-03 16:22:13	cs2 sfe tl1 2026 03 03	SemperFi Esports	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x854c48…
03-03 16:21:19	cs2 pain pssnua 2026 03 03	paiN	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x34d5db…
03-03 15:48:49	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xdeb9ac…
03-03 15:15:17	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Pistons	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xf10e19…
03-03 13:54:37	cs2 prv lgc 2026 03 03	PARIVISION	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf3ebbd…
03-03 07:39:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x4346a4…
03-02 18:51:33	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9c6b39…
03-02 18:51:11	nba bos mil 2026 03 02	Bucks	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x090159…
03-02 18:50:17	nhl det nsh 2026 03 02	Red Wings	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x93f0f8…
03-02 17:27:19	btc updown 5m 1772472300	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xb6a1e8…
03-02 16:56:25	val tl1 gm 2026 03 02	Team Liquid	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xac28c9…
03-01 21:36:27	will nvidia nvda be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of march 2	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x323cf5…
03-01 21:35:29	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x30f90c…