Bumpy-Use — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

121

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$195

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-23 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

52% 98% +$57

Crypto

47% 98% +$18

Politics

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	2	$644	325	325	+0	No	+$5	08-06 13:17
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$611	312	312	+0	No	+$11	07-16 13:33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	09-15 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	08-07 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	08-03 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	07-27 08:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	07-31 10:23
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	08-01 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$320	321	0	+321	No	+$1	07-21 08:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-27 11:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-01 07:16
bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	06-09 08:46
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-05 11:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	06-03 07:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	07-11 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	06-02 05:17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	05-18 14:40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	05-25 06:02
ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	06-18 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-24 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-22 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	09-23 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-12 10:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-21 06:25
ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-10 03:10
bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:44
ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-14 06:35
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-15 07:40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$299	302	0	+302	No	+$3	05-17 10:35
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	1	$290	290	0	+290	Yes	+$0	04-16 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 05:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe05e35…
09-15 04:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x8036cc…
08-07 07:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xcb2639…
08-06 13:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0x429cd2…
08-05 17:52:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	325	99¢	$320	0x16fc51…
08-03 06:42:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x1da5ec…
08-01 05:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x80672c…
07-31 10:23:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x996212…
07-27 08:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x1f92e6…
07-21 08:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x803b8c…
07-16 13:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0x3bf192…
07-16 06:42:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xeb2e5e…
07-11 08:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x22c2a9…
06-24 13:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x66ead7…
06-22 08:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6b311e…
06-18 08:09:58	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x70b3e0…
06-15 07:40:28	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3698f3…
06-14 06:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58537b…
06-14 06:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb945a…
06-14 06:35:48	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x00a5db…
06-12 10:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x46712f…
06-10 03:10:36	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40057f…
06-10 03:10:24	ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe4f3f9…
06-09 08:46:27	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x2b51b1…
06-08 07:44:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x58d0a1…
06-05 11:36:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x20f2ee…
06-03 07:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x653fce…
06-02 05:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xe88af8…
06-01 07:16:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7f48cc…
05-27 11:33:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x47ca0d…
05-25 06:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x234ecd…
05-21 06:25:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc231f0…
05-18 14:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x2dd9b4…
05-17 10:35:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$299	0xd3ddee…
05-15 09:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x62f5ed…
05-15 09:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xc1a357…
05-12 11:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x6163c9…
05-11 11:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xbef706…
05-10 05:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdbb661…
05-10 05:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xb0f972…
05-06 07:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xc0a15c…
04-29 08:34:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xf732ee…
04-27 07:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x0057f7…
04-22 08:38:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xb216fa…
04-20 08:47:56	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xdb0dd7…
04-17 09:31:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0x4f10c9…
04-16 09:03:04	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xe43b89…
04-13 03:19:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x1cc4bb…
04-10 10:37:11	ethereum above 1900 on april 10	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x755aca…
04-09 03:26:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xceaf6d…
04-08 05:47:23	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xb14b96…
04-07 07:02:03	bitcoin above 58k on april 7	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x5b39f3…
04-06 05:29:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xc4f09e…
04-02 07:30:17	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xeeacc8…
03-27 11:21:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x305fee…
03-26 10:03:21	ethereum above 1800 on march 26	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xd27145…
03-24 09:05:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xd15285…
03-24 09:01:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22fce1…
03-24 09:01:29	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xce6d2e…
03-22 06:01:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x1b5f8a…
03-22 05:59:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ef407…
03-22 05:58:41	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6c343d…
03-18 07:43:33	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0xbde63f…
03-15 05:40:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 16	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x833647…
03-13 10:22:51	cs2 mglz navi 2026 03 13	Natus Vincere	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf1c2f3…
03-13 10:22:33	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x6891d0…
03-12 07:55:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xc2da13…
03-10 09:47:27	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0x6e2115…
03-09 12:17:31	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x9abbe7…
03-09 12:16:37	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb77ca3…
03-07 09:48:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x407643…
03-04 08:17:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0xde41cd…
03-03 10:58:11	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x888b5e…
03-02 08:09:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x430cf9…
03-01 04:53:25	highest temperature in london on march 1 2026 9c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5abb03…
03-01 04:52:47	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x04a920…
02-27 06:27:30	will israel strike gaza on february 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5b0c1…
02-27 06:27:22	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc42ff5…
02-27 06:27:08	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd8d068…
02-27 06:26:44	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 240plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x00e664…
02-26 07:09:10	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8b5aae…
02-26 07:08:46	bitcoin above 74k on february 26	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xf20828…
02-15 06:37:07	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x948199…
02-15 06:36:51	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 0 39	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xe9dc16…
02-13 12:15:23	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x3aa518…
02-12 11:01:37	ethereum above 1700 on february 12	Yes	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x78405a…
02-08 06:03:15	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 8 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f0179…
02-08 06:03:01	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 190 214	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xb7bbe7…
02-05 08:26:59	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xe3703b…
02-04 06:58:44	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 165 189	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x6f08ab…
02-03 06:51:32	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x4f87b1…
02-03 06:51:12	will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x8c69b7…
02-03 06:51:08	will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x564585…
02-03 06:50:48	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6f689…
02-02 06:47:34	ethereum above 2700 on february 2	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x330531…
01-31 05:54:38	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xfb375c…
01-31 05:54:34	bitcoin up or down on january 31	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5f2357…
01-30 08:37:54	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x845d5c…
01-28 05:54:01	highest temperature in london on january 28 10c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf8f386…
01-28 05:53:35	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd0ef58…