Judicious-Neighbourhood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$189

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-25 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$1

Politics

27% — —

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-05 05:56
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-22 06:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 17:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 17:06
VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 09:49
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 28?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 18:22
trump out as president by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-27 19:48
Will Itzy release a song in 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-08 05:49
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-25 09:02
cs2 odk mibr 2026 02 01	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-01 16:27
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-25 18:25
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 16:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 16:03
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 11:05
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 16:51
dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-15 09:19
fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 4pt08	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 04:47
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 09:19
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 05:53
will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-30 19:51
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 16:51
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-10 14:02
will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-10 14:16
crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt35	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-13 11:05
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 04:47
unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 12:25
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 14:03
bbw quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt27	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 14:22
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$1	111	111	+0	open	—	03-07 15:47
as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	02-23 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 09:02:30	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xef2e2e…
05-24 06:57:44	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xebca0a…
05-15 05:53:55	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x912aa7…
05-08 05:49:40	Will Itzy release a song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2b6ab4…
05-07 15:47:34	Will Itzy release a song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xec07f8…
05-02 20:10:16	Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7b4b01…
04-30 09:49:22	VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa22b1b…
04-28 19:33:30	VEO 4 released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3cd465…
04-28 18:22:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x812c0d…
04-28 17:54:46	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x57844e…
04-28 17:06:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc18b96…
04-26 17:32:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf4ce9a…
04-26 17:31:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x798b48…
04-25 10:06:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x281fc6…
04-21 19:23:56	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xde1b56…
04-21 19:19:32	Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5d5110…
04-21 19:18:42	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 6pt68	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xccad41…
04-21 09:19:22	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6d08b…
04-16 16:29:08	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3ed03b…
04-16 16:26:42	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3dfe38…
04-16 09:50:10	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x70cbfc…
04-16 09:49:38	dow quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 neg0pt30	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1517bb…
04-16 09:49:22	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd77df5…
04-16 09:48:56	stba quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 0pt87	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5b9a8…
04-14 19:31:58	usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 1pt14	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x47ad17…
04-10 12:25:47	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x84316d…
04-08 16:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x09cc77…
04-07 16:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x302ca1…
04-07 15:58:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6a0aa7…
04-05 16:41:25	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x788148…
04-05 16:41:07	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf5fb00…
04-05 16:40:31	jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 5pt43	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb1d5e8…
04-05 05:57:21	c quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x679b8c…
04-05 05:57:09	mtb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 4	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa20d2f…
04-05 05:56:29	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x55a469…
04-05 05:56:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdea04b…
04-02 16:33:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x59b77a…
03-31 18:48:49	will trump say china during executive order signing today	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c8808…
03-31 18:47:57	will trump say tariff during executive order signing today	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa747bf…
03-31 18:47:31	will trump say oil during executive order signing today	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7f2594…
03-30 19:51:27	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xd50c7d…
03-28 17:36:37	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x65ac28…
03-28 17:33:51	will trump post ceasefire on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3ea414…
03-25 18:25:11	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x9a4d4a…
03-22 06:24:07	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x259fab…
03-22 06:20:13	Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1be86…
03-22 06:19:21	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x20530f…
03-21 09:54:27	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xae674e…
03-19 04:47:41	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7c8eae…
03-19 04:47:07	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 4pt08	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2fa7c8…
03-15 09:19:45	gis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 0pt73	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x07fd70…
03-15 09:19:11	dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbe3f38…
03-12 15:39:15	will a minecraft movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d0bc0…
03-10 14:23:27	aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 17 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x356e70…
03-10 14:23:09	dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbb8bc7…
03-10 14:22:29	bbw quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x202661…
03-10 14:17:05	will vesna green party vesna win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x49157b…
03-10 14:16:51	will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x127128…
03-10 14:16:33	will the pirate party of slovenia pps win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2dd30…
03-10 14:03:23	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x945894…
03-10 14:02:45	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x074c2d…
03-07 15:58:27	fdx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 4pt08	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x800238…
03-07 15:52:41	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4292a7…
03-07 15:47:47	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x3f3f51…
03-05 16:51:01	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1dabb0…
03-03 14:16:03	spce quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg1pt05	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x11a202…
03-02 14:24:21	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2fb543…
03-02 14:23:53	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f221c…
02-27 19:48:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc3b1bc…
02-27 18:30:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4c17b…
02-27 18:28:35	crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 1pt1	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc68a83…
02-27 18:27:47	okta quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt85	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xddd2b6…
02-27 18:27:17	m quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 1pt55	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x139c9e…
02-25 17:08:24	will grne win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16fc18…
02-23 15:51:54	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1ee013…
02-19 08:44:02	ed quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt86	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf80f17…
02-19 08:43:28	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt85	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd08951…
02-15 12:17:09	mco quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 3pt44	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x342284…
02-15 12:16:37	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt35	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc8ebd6…
02-15 12:11:53	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x6ae287…
02-13 11:05:29	crl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 2pt35	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x800989…
02-13 11:05:01	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd9073d…
02-13 05:21:33	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe6fc74…
02-12 19:29:33	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe2cfc8…
02-10 16:52:11	cs2 krespo fa 2026 02 10	ex-KRÜ Esports	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf06167…
02-10 16:51:07	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xdc6461…
02-10 16:51:01	will seguro win portugals abroad votes	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e98b7…
02-10 16:50:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x019d5a…
02-08 14:33:35	will seguro win portugals abroad votes	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb3a0e2…
02-08 14:32:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x914f10…
02-03 17:22:44	cs2 ast10 furia 2026 02 03	Astralis	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x533e74…
02-03 17:12:28	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc06af6…
02-01 16:27:54	cs2 odk mibr 2026 02 01	MIBR	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xca09eb…
02-01 16:20:26	cs2 odk mibr 2026 02 01	MIBR	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6c9d78…