(anonymous) 0xdad7bf…aa005a
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$179
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
378
Trades
10,966
lifetime
Volume
$9.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$956
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 07-05 09:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
86% 16% +$149
Politics
9% 13% +$25
Tech
3% 25% +$6
Crypto
1% 9% -$2
Sports
0% 25% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +330 $195 94¢ $310 +$116 06-28 12:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +190 $98 96¢ $182 +$84 06-30 00:49
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +150 $56 68¢ $101 +$45 06-28 09:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +95 $13 71¢ $67 +$54 07-04 00:05
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +70 $34 71¢ $50 +$16 06-24 13:00
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +150 $26 32¢ $48 +$22 06-28 09:20
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +55 $20 57¢ $31 +$11 06-23 07:17
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +45 $13 46¢ $21 +$8 06-24 04:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +330 $67 6¢ $18 -$49 06-28 12:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +95 $20 19¢ $18 -$2 07-04 00:05
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +150 $40 11¢ $16 -$23 06-28 09:20
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +45 $9 30¢ $14 +$5 06-24 04:53
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +70 $11 18¢ $13 +$1 06-24 13:00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +55 $14 21¢ $12 -$2 06-23 07:17
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +150 $9 6¢ $9 $0 06-28 09:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +95 $8 8¢ $7 $0 07-04 00:05
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +45 $8 16¢ $7 -$1 06-24 04:53
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +10 $4 66¢ $7 +$3 06-22 10:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +55 $5 9¢ $5 $0 06-23 07:17
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +65 $19 6¢ $4 -$15 06-24 13:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +45 $8 7¢ $3 -$5 06-24 04:53
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$1 06-22 10:59
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $18 1¢ $2 -$16 06-30 00:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 06-30 00:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +95 $28 1¢ $1 -$27 07-04 00:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $14 1¢ $1 -$13 06-30 00:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +330 $4 0¢ $1 -$2 06-28 12:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +95 $8 1¢ $1 -$7 07-04 00:05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $25 0¢ $1 -$24 06-30 00:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $6 0¢ $1 -$6 06-30 00:49