Realized P&L
-$3.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
56.7%
Resolved
25,427
Trades
46,626
lifetime
Volume
$525.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$140
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-04 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 57% +$5,843
Other
36% 58% -$7,708
Sports
6% 51% -$1,384
Politics
0% 65% -$162
Tech
0% 45% -$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 974 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +13 $5 82¢ $11 +$6 08-09 05:29
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +10 $5 96¢ $10 +$5 08-04 00:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +12 $5 81¢ $10 +$5 08-22 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 -$64 88¢ $8 +$72 07-31 09:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25 $5 30¢ $7 +$3 08-22 00:25
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$2 08-04 01:32
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +7 $5 93¢ $7 +$2 08-14 08:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +29 $5 22¢ $7 +$2 08-22 00:25
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +6 $4 94¢ $6 +$1 08-04 04:10
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 08-11 01:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7 $5 77¢ $6 +$1 08-02 02:04
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 08-18 06:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 08-06 18:43
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +7 $5 73¢ $5 +$0 08-05 08:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 +$0 08-03 23:03
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 08-23 19:19
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 08-04 09:40
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 08-07 14:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +71 $3 5¢ $4 +$0 08-13 17:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 08-13 18:05
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +166 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 08-13 18:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +125 $3 2¢ $3 $0 08-13 17:58
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +18 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 08-09 11:07
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 19¢ $2 -$3 08-26 15:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +28 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-05 15:08
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +166 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-13 17:59
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 07-25 22:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $1 94¢ $0 -$1 07-25 22:10
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +0 -$10 86¢ $0 +$11 07-25 22:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 07-25 22:10