Actual-Gran 0xdaee99…e18559
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$135
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
53.5%
Resolved
1,124
Trades
19,418
lifetime
Volume
$188.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$552
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 07-20 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
64% 56% +$33
Crypto
23% — —
Sports
13% 48% $-168
Politics
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 1754 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +263 $50 46¢ $120 +$70 07-02 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +86 $50 98¢ $84 +$34 06-27 21:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +312 $50 26¢ $83 +$33 07-08 21:36
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +60 $50 94¢ $57 +$7 07-02 12:30
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +95 $49 54¢ $51 +$1 07-14 14:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +499 $50 10¢ $47 $-2 06-30 18:31
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +76 $50 60¢ $46 $-3 07-02 12:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +127 $50 32¢ $41 $-8 07-02 15:52
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 07-13 10:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 07-17 01:47
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +41 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 07-14 03:12
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-20 16:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +18 $5 24¢ $4 $-0 07-13 19:02
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 0¢ $0 $-4 07-20 11:05