Turbulent-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$8.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$248	132	132	+0	open	—	05-14 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$229	128	128	+0	open	—	05-14 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$222	115	115	+0	open	—	05-15 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$209	122	122	+0	open	—	05-14 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$184	125	62	+62	open	—	05-14 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$164	188	188	+0	open	—	05-14 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$141	72	72	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$126	79	79	+0	Down	$-28	05-13 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$120	127	0	+127	open	—	05-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$117	119	0	+119	open	—	05-15 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$116	118	0	+118	open	—	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$115	116	0	+116	open	—	05-15 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$114	115	0	+115	open	—	05-15 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$113	114	0	+114	open	—	05-15 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$107	108	0	+108	open	—	05-15 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$105	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$101	107	0	+107	open	—	05-15 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-14 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$97	101	0	+101	open	—	05-14 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	open	—	05-15 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$96	97	0	+97	open	—	05-14 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$95	96	0	+96	open	—	05-14 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$93	96	0	+96	open	—	05-15 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$92	95	0	+95	Down	+$3	05-14 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$91	92	0	+92	Up	+$1	05-14 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	127	95¢	$120	0x593525…
05-15 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xc1976c…
05-15 06:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	119	99¢	$117	0x19f398…
05-15 06:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0xf284ff…
05-15 06:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xecfc7d…
05-15 05:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xc19d98…
05-15 05:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x1e7795…
05-15 04:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x17366b…
05-15 04:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x242bfd…
05-15 04:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xafdfab…
05-15 04:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$101	0x1bcadb…
05-15 04:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc70c54…
05-15 03:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0746d0…
05-15 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xf47368…
05-15 03:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x0e0c6a…
05-15 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xf65f40…
05-15 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x065abf…
05-15 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0xac7aa5…
05-15 03:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	86	94¢	$80	0x88544f…
05-15 02:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x093158…
05-15 01:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x72e062…
05-15 01:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x41ab3e…
05-15 00:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x984d93…
05-15 00:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x51db90…
05-15 00:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xc651f3…
05-15 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xcf6c27…
05-15 00:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x888ef9…
05-15 00:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0xd88dd0…
05-14 23:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x1b73a6…
05-14 23:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa41eab…
05-14 23:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xaf8ae6…
05-14 23:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x6e1ba6…
05-14 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xd3ab29…
05-14 22:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x5395f4…
05-14 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x1cd633…
05-14 16:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x700db5…
05-14 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x688295…
05-14 16:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x58fccd…
05-14 14:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x8772bb…
05-14 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x839d7b…
05-14 14:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6c45b9…
05-14 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x7aa402…
05-14 14:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x818c1d…
05-14 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xff4676…
05-14 13:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x90afda…
05-14 13:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x2dc9b5…
05-14 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0x3187f6…
05-14 13:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x519a73…
05-14 13:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x39e76b…
05-14 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xecb038…
05-14 12:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0x2d0e27…
05-14 12:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xf25646…
05-14 12:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	188	25¢	$47	0x4d59af…
05-14 12:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	188	62¢	$117	0x4ff56c…
05-14 12:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfbd7f1…
05-14 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	122	96¢	$117	0x3559f1…
05-14 12:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	132	92¢	$121	0x4dd919…
05-14 10:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	128	96¢	$123	0x46e3fd…
05-14 10:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	128	83¢	$106	0xba871a…
05-14 10:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	122	89¢	$108	0xd6feca…
05-14 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	122	83¢	$101	0x6483a9…
05-14 09:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7b55a2…
05-14 09:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef27fc…
05-14 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x44f019…
05-14 09:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x431394…
05-14 09:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x85a987…
05-14 09:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xf68119…
05-14 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xd8c679…
05-14 06:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xc14e80…
05-14 06:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x7fe558…
05-14 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x9deab7…
05-14 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xd93bdc…
05-14 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x8f80f0…
05-14 01:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	89	87¢	$77	0x7d30f6…
05-14 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x1bb084…
05-14 00:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x88eff3…
05-14 00:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x513b96…
05-14 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb75218…
05-14 00:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x9da572…
05-14 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x8ea13a…
05-14 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xf4acb5…
05-14 00:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xeeb5a1…
05-13 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	67¢	$48	0xfdfa66…
05-13 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0x333f8e…
05-13 15:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x02d56d…
05-13 15:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x644403…
05-13 15:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xdd668c…
05-13 15:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0xce17ba…
05-13 15:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x1969f3…
05-13 15:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xecf369…
05-13 11:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x3f4a4f…
05-13 11:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x72c55f…
05-13 10:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xbf7feb…
05-13 10:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x41712c…
05-13 10:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdc6fed…
05-13 09:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	89¢	$37	0xde5e31…
05-13 09:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x63458b…
05-13 09:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x3e6ad3…
05-13 09:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x829cae…
05-13 08:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xdf6936…