Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
697
Trades
6,207
lifetime
Volume
$34.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$672
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 11-15 13:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
70% 43% +$146
Politics
28% 71% -$188
Sports
2% 38% +$18
Crypto
0% 33% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +208 $192 92¢ $192 +$0 11-15 13:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +112 $105 94¢ $104 $0 11-12 14:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +110 $93 86¢ $94 +$1 11-15 13:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? Yes +89 $84 96¢ $86 +$2 11-14 12:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +37 $33 92¢ $34 +$1 11-12 14:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +29 $27 94¢ $27 $0 11-12 13:44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +26 $20 97¢ $25 +$5 06-17 03:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No +18 $15 84¢ $15 $0 11-12 13:43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +19 $15 79¢ $15 $0 11-11 02:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +16 $15 90¢ $14 $0 11-12 13:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +17 $15 80¢ $14 -$1 11-10 23:31
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +21 $14 62¢ $13 -$1 11-10 23:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-09 00:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +10 -$6 99¢ $10 +$16 11-15 09:15
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? Yes +11 $10 78¢ $9 -$1 11-09 01:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-11 00:44
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? Yes +5 $5 88¢ $5 $0 11-09 02:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1 $0 93¢ $1 +$0 10-20 14:47
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 11-09 00:20