Polished-Lanai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-26 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

48% 95% +$1,422

Politics

33% 62% -$2,031

Tech

11% 0% -$1,660

Sports

8% 100% +$57

Crypto

1% 100% +$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$1,660	06-26 16:25
another us strike on venezuela on january 10	3	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$48	01-04 23:12
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	22	$1.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$1,298	06-04 01:34
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$1.2K	650	650	+0	Yes	+$57	02-19 13:33
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	12	$788	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$784	06-04 01:34
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	5	$734	800	0	+800	No	+$66	06-18 08:52
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	4	$691	650	650	+0	No	-$141	06-03 13:02
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	8	$660	400	400	+0	No	+$4	01-06 09:06
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	9	$633	697	0	+697	Yes	+$64	05-22 13:42
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$630	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$370	02-19 13:42
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	4	$630	700	0	+700	Yes	+$70	05-09 15:44
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	1	$622	650	0	+650	Yes	+$28	05-13 09:06
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	1	$616	650	0	+650	Yes	+$34	05-11 23:19
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	3	$565	600	0	+600	Yes	+$35	01-13 18:05
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$555	750	0	+750	Yes	+$195	01-06 19:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$552	600	0	+600	No	+$48	04-11 14:47
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$460	500	0	+500	No	+$40	01-07 22:03
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	2	$450	500	0	+500	No	+$50	01-13 15:20
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$370	400	0	+400	No	+$30	04-11 16:54
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$355	500	0	+500	Yes	+$145	04-11 14:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$355	500	0	+500	No	+$145	04-11 15:04
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$316	400	0	+400	Yes	+$84	04-11 16:09
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	3	$193	210	0	+210	No	+$17	01-08 05:19
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	32	$145	0	513	-513	No	+$145	06-14 21:44
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$97	120	0	+120	Yes	+$23	01-24 04:32
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	5	$80	95	0	+95	Yes	+$15	01-03 20:19
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$24	26	0	+26	No	+$2	01-11 11:48
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	-$20	01-10 14:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-30 08:07
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-05 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 16:25:52	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,100	3¢	$55	0xe665c6…
06-18 08:52:14	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	128	92¢	$118	0xfa35a0…
06-18 08:52:14	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xf273ad…
06-18 08:52:14	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xc807e0…
06-18 08:52:13	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x96881e…
06-17 17:32:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	613	83¢	$509	0x96586c…
06-17 17:02:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x6beb38…
06-17 16:41:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xfd25bb…
06-17 16:41:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xea9fb3…
06-17 16:26:37	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfbae95…
06-17 16:26:37	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x633670…
06-17 16:26:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xe15cc8…
06-17 16:26:35	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	807	80¢	$643	0x4e63e2…
06-17 13:56:34	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2d6d36…
06-14 21:44:49	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x52a2f3…
06-14 21:27:46	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x791999…
06-14 21:27:18	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0x0da1af…
06-11 21:42:49	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x8906f0…
06-11 18:44:09	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x66f9d4…
06-06 11:25:42	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5b6835…
06-04 01:34:48	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x71c0b9…
06-04 01:34:13	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0xcaaa74…
06-03 13:02:18	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	250	42¢	$106	0x8e0d6e…
06-03 13:02:05	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	SELL	400	42¢	$169	0x2eeb6b…
06-03 08:39:23	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	1	76¢	$0	0xd2f420…
06-03 08:38:31	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	196	76¢	$149	0xf0c2f6…
06-03 08:20:45	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xe1ee27…
06-01 21:53:44	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	84	84¢	$70	0xa41b14…
06-01 21:48:13	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0xcc31b0…
06-01 21:17:48	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xa64060…
06-01 21:16:01	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0xa66b16…
06-01 19:51:19	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	92	84¢	$77	0x053d0d…
06-01 19:33:32	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfa0ec2…
06-01 19:32:55	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x56c85b…
06-01 19:14:29	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x688c6d…
06-01 19:12:41	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2638ab…
06-01 18:57:52	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb75e79…
05-28 05:18:14	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xe59e50…
05-28 05:18:06	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xa89db7…
05-28 05:16:45	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x7dfab7…
05-28 05:15:26	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf688d0…
05-28 05:14:06	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x15936f…
05-28 05:12:45	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x3ab8d7…
05-28 05:11:23	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x8565cb…
05-28 05:10:03	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x58e55b…
05-28 05:08:44	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb1d45a…
05-28 05:07:22	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x836b88…
05-28 05:06:01	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x132eb4…
05-28 05:02:07	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x9a7998…
05-28 05:00:43	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xa60206…
05-28 04:58:03	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb6502d…
05-28 04:45:54	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xe33514…
05-28 04:44:33	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf4fbfe…
05-28 04:43:13	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x966c8f…
05-28 04:41:52	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x571742…
05-25 08:18:05	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x016609…
05-22 13:42:51	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	142	91¢	$129	0x1e3d80…
05-22 02:29:17	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xc09901…
05-22 02:29:17	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2e9583…
05-22 02:29:17	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	221	91¢	$201	0x254dd5…
05-22 02:29:15	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xa83a3a…
05-22 02:29:15	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x17f77e…
05-21 03:59:48	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	190	91¢	$173	0xda62b9…
05-20 05:47:14	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x59eea6…
05-16 06:45:19	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	97	81¢	$79	0x352eed…
05-16 04:27:36	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0x8527eb…
05-16 03:30:05	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	104	81¢	$84	0x4a49ec…
05-16 03:29:32	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x191010…
05-16 03:25:00	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0x51d802…
05-16 03:03:29	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x13ce28…
05-16 02:34:59	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x3d652e…
05-16 01:50:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x01b32d…
05-16 01:49:26	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x0f6ed8…
05-16 01:48:58	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xee81ce…
05-16 01:48:56	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	29	81¢	$23	0x8736df…
05-15 14:03:55	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x82cf9d…
05-13 20:02:47	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x98bf57…
05-13 09:06:04	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	650	96¢	$622	0x8e0041…
05-13 08:11:21	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x6fc676…
05-13 06:33:10	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x197058…
05-13 03:34:28	Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x99d3a8…
05-13 03:24:07	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x3274db…
05-12 00:08:16	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0xdd461d…
05-12 00:07:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	159	93¢	$148	0xb6e89d…
05-12 00:07:01	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x6ea268…
05-12 00:06:22	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x4e8623…
05-12 00:06:22	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x4d6630…
05-12 00:05:28	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0xe90411…
05-11 23:19:48	Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	650	95¢	$616	0x946512…
05-10 23:00:19	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	160	35¢	$56	0x5b990d…
05-10 22:03:25	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0x886607…
05-10 20:35:04	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x43708a…
05-10 20:14:45	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xca7323…
05-10 20:13:43	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xe957fd…
05-09 15:44:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	599	90¢	$539	0xcf9de0…
05-09 04:08:51	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2f60cc…
05-09 03:55:50	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x267086…
05-09 03:45:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb9873b…
05-09 01:31:56	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	233	64¢	$149	0x1a9e77…
05-09 00:40:41	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	BUY	417	64¢	$267	0x7307b6…