Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
447
lifetime
Volume
$4.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$107
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-11 12:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Crypto
27%
Other
4%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +122 $53 40¢ $49 $-3 06-10 18:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +30 $25 84¢ $25 +$0 06-10 12:31
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +26 $20 82¢ $21 +$1 06-10 13:56
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +16 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 06-09 18:06