Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.39K

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

624

Trades

4,538

lifetime

Volume

$148.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$2.15K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-13 03:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

50% 20% +$6,219

Crypto

42% 69% -$4,042

Tech

5% 20% +$35

Politics

3% 20% +$3,935

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$950	97¢	$966	+$16	10-13 03:20
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	-1,221	-$427	71¢	$-867	-$440	05-27 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+10,874	$712	2¢	$212	-$500	06-21 01:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+73,048	$292	0¢	$73	-$219	10-05 18:14
SBF released from custody in 2026?	Yes	+1,152	$52	2¢	$18	-$35	07-03 01:44
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+4,444	$222	0¢	$13	-$209	06-18 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	134	$14.3K	38,964	194	+38,770	Yes	+$24,618	06-15 14:33
spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	7	$6.9K	4,527	3,527	+1,000	SpaceX	+$158	07-01 17:42
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$6.3K	6,845	0	+6,845	Yes	+$578	07-04 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	91	$5.6K	81,927	0	+81,927	No	-$5,587	06-27 07:33
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	28	$4.9K	15,828	15,828	+0	No	-$4,527	07-21 13:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$4.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$4,184	06-15 02:09
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	39	$3.8K	35,780	0	+35,780	No	-$3,788	07-01 16:07
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	8	$3.2K	3,020	3,020	-0	No	-$2,524	07-21 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	10	$2.6K	3,325	1,743	+1,582	No	+$56	06-15 15:46
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	4	$2.3K	12,428	0	+12,428	Yes	+$10,145	01-10 15:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	54	$1.9K	4,800	4,800	+0	No	-$536	07-05 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:10 UTC	6	$1.8K	2,078	0	+2,078	Down	+$279	06-10 22:14
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	16	$1.8K	4,994	4,994	+0	No	-$1,700	07-21 13:41
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	21	$1.7K	12,797	4,436	+8,360	No	-$1,283	03-03 23:13
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	13	$1.6K	19,277	0	+19,277	No	-$1,635	07-02 13:42
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	19	$1.6K	6,208	0	+6,208	No	-$1,602	06-17 19:20
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	8	$1.6K	1,767	0	+1,767	Yes	+$190	01-04 23:00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	11	$1.4K	1,439	0	+1,439	Yes	+$70	06-30 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:55 UTC	6	$1.3K	1,471	0	+1,471	Up	+$121	06-10 21:59
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	4	$1.3K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$954	07-21 13:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$1.2K	1,192	0	+1,192	No	+$9	06-15 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 21:00 UTC	30	$1.0K	2,146	0	+2,146	Up	-$9	06-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:05 UTC	2	$1000	1,046	0	+1,046	Down	+$46	06-10 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:05 UTC	8	$1000	1,034	0	+1,034	Up	+$34	06-10 22:09
over 500k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129595	1	$981	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$19	07-21 11:37
over 750k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129596	1	$975	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$25	07-21 11:41
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-13 03:20
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	4	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$100	06-05 15:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	17	$900	9,361	0	+9,361	No	-$900	09-16 13:30
untitled market 1 20260708143739936	3	$899	971	0	+971	Yes	+$72	07-12 18:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 03:20:02	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xb109fd…
10-05 18:14:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xc9c938…
10-05 17:22:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	782	0¢	$3	0x5efaf9…
10-05 16:17:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,904	0¢	$8	0x8078f3…
10-05 15:55:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdc9a0c…
10-05 15:45:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$6	0xf458dc…
10-05 15:45:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4f2186…
10-05 15:45:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,480	0¢	$6	0x30d5f4…
10-05 15:45:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1d2e12…
10-05 15:42:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	482	0¢	$2	0x4083df…
10-05 14:35:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe7dedf…
10-05 14:23:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x889b7b…
10-05 14:17:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x0033eb…
10-05 12:47:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65,772	0¢	$263	0x7eeede…
09-16 13:30:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,875	10¢	$287	0x72b741…
09-16 13:29:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,455	10¢	$246	0x03cf94…
09-16 13:26:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0x40223c…
09-16 13:26:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x1ba223…
09-16 13:26:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x3a0954…
09-16 13:25:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf925ee…
09-16 13:25:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x995333…
09-16 13:24:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf4e176…
09-16 13:23:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x1cc950…
09-16 13:23:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	334	10¢	$33	0x260641…
09-16 01:39:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,500	0¢	$11	0x3514bc…
09-15 19:33:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xd68f96…
09-15 19:32:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	156	8¢	$13	0x695f18…
09-15 19:29:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	156	8¢	$13	0xaa764b…
09-15 19:28:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	243	8¢	$19	0xf059b6…
09-15 19:26:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	8¢	$53	0x20b547…
09-15 19:24:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x1c93cb…
09-15 09:45:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x817309…
07-25 16:35:54	over 50m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129612 463	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xa20fa6…
07-25 13:27:30	over 60m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129613	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd28501…
07-25 12:54:09	over 60m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129613	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x15be40…
07-25 01:33:49	over 70m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129614	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x16d261…
07-25 01:33:34	over 90m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129616 956 382	Yes	BUY	796	0¢	$1	0x80f5cd…
07-25 01:32:45	over 90m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129616 956 382	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$0	0x131bc3…
07-25 01:32:27	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47e620…
07-25 00:46:27	over 70m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129614	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x440d22…
07-25 00:46:12	over 80m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129615 734 482	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbaa40e…
07-25 00:41:54	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x79eeb3…
07-25 00:10:21	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0ee655…
07-24 23:28:30	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x67a08c…
07-24 23:22:13	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x7f3a12…
07-24 21:44:27	over 90m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129616 956 382	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x503580…
07-24 20:54:22	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x27ab17…
07-24 18:40:36	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	973	0¢	$3	0xac7722…
07-24 09:34:21	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xeb0b19…
07-24 09:26:03	over 100m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129617 283	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x849118…
07-24 08:33:51	over 80m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129615 734 482	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xee3b34…
07-23 02:16:07	ripcars fdv above 20m one day after launch 20260721182210414	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x34538e…
07-21 13:41:18	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	SELL	4,994	1¢	$26	0x065f98…
07-21 13:41:15	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	15,828	1¢	$208	0x165a97…
07-21 13:41:06	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xa165a8…
07-21 13:40:49	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3,000	7¢	$196	0x6489df…
07-21 13:40:33	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,138	12¢	$253	0x727c83…
07-21 13:40:16	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	639	12¢	$79	0x75e2e1…
07-21 13:40:06	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	243	13¢	$32	0x8007c6…
07-21 11:41:03	over 750k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129596	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$975	0x4ec245…
07-21 11:37:19	over 500k committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129595	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0x5575ae…
07-17 16:58:04	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x733607…
07-17 16:57:40	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	632	0¢	$3	0x33b44e…
07-17 16:57:28	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc0cb9e…
07-17 16:57:28	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x644b35…
07-17 16:57:28	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x10e04e…
07-17 16:57:27	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbd8a89…
07-17 16:57:25	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$4	0xb63422…
07-17 16:57:25	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x89497b…
07-17 16:57:16	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	4,738	0¢	$9	0x13b7a1…
07-17 16:57:09	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	736	0¢	$3	0x35b31d…
07-17 16:56:52	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	2,333	0¢	$7	0xfcb16f…
07-17 16:56:48	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5d0d1a…
07-17 16:56:48	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x56fc2e…
07-17 16:56:48	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1f5c63…
07-17 16:56:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb12dcb…
07-17 16:56:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x87b078…
07-17 16:56:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x673404…
07-17 16:56:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x479026…
07-17 16:56:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x17d5e8…
07-17 16:56:45	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$4	0x217aa5…
07-17 16:56:37	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x4aed04…
07-17 16:56:37	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x406a0c…
07-17 16:53:13	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xcb79ed…
07-17 16:52:36	over 55m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x56420b…
07-17 16:52:34	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	BUY	527	0¢	$2	0x68f275…
07-17 16:52:18	over 90m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325660 569 646 772	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0xc8e671…
07-17 16:52:09	over 60m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325657 955	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xb48a77…
07-17 16:51:57	over 65m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xe6fcc7…
07-17 16:51:49	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	BUY	465	0¢	$2	0x642f07…
07-17 16:51:36	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	BUY	1,506	0¢	$6	0x726f32…
07-17 16:35:46	over 90m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325660 569 646 772	Yes	BUY	5,451	0¢	$5	0xd3b244…
07-17 16:35:21	over 95m committed to the credible public sale 238	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc99004…
07-17 16:35:04	over 100m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325661 891 112	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x692362…
07-17 15:49:58	over 100m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325661 891 112	Yes	BUY	775	0¢	$2	0xd63713…
07-17 14:11:45	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x411978…
07-17 13:46:51	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x47be68…
07-17 13:36:06	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x695eb5…
07-17 13:35:43	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	313	0¢	$1	0xd29b20…
07-17 13:34:57	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x4cd76c…