Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$695

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

382

Trades

1,479

lifetime

Volume

$7.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-07-25

last 10-05 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

86% 42% -$627

Politics

7% 35% -$9

Tech

6% 38% -$47

Crypto

1% 67% -$2

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No		+20	$13	57¢	$11	-$2	10-02 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	25	$261	520	0	+520	No	-$1	09-05 06:21
will deal be in the headlines this week 20260724154704338	9	$122	250	0	+250	Yes	+$8	07-26 19:53
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	15	$118	240	0	+240	Yes	+$2	09-04 08:33
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?	11	$95	200	0	+200	No	+$5	08-15 18:40
will hope penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841804	9	$90	180	0	+180	Yes	-$10	08-01 16:56
will ukraine or ukrainian be in the headlines this week 20260724154704329	7	$85	180	0	+180	No	+$65	07-31 11:34
will bilibili gaming make the lpl 2026 split 3 grand final 20260728181620741	8	$82	148	0	+148	Yes	-$8	07-30 06:28
will karmine corp make the lec 2026 summer grand final 20260728180313576	8	$77	140	20	+120	No	-$4	08-04 22:05
will peace be in the headlines this week 20260724154704339	6	$76	151	0	+151	No	-$16	07-27 01:27
will reserve be in the headlines this week 20260724154559253	5	$75	150	0	+150	No	-$15	07-26 06:31
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	12	$75	160	0	+160	Yes	+$5	10-04 11:35
Will Team Secret Whales Win LCP 2026 Split 3?	6	$68	120	0	+120	Yes	-$8	08-04 22:18
will anyones legend make the lpl 2026 split 3 grand final 20260728181620740	6	$66	120	0	+120	Yes	-$6	07-29 18:33
will g2 esports make the lec 2026 summer grand final 20260728180313574	6	$64	120	0	+120	Yes	-$4	08-04 22:07
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	9	$63	120	0	+120	No	-$3	09-05 04:02
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	6	$61	120	0	+120	No	-$1	10-04 12:59
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	6	$61	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	09-24 22:32
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 6 million views on day 1?	6	$61	120	0	+120	No	-$1	08-15 05:39
will china or chinese be in the headlines this week 20260724154704328	4	$60	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	07-25 13:26
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	8	$57	120	0	+120	No	+$3	10-01 16:47
Will Lotus be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	9	$55	110	0	+110	No	$0	10-04 08:11
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?	10	$55	108	0	+108	Yes	-$6	08-15 22:53
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	7	$53	100	0	+100	Yes	-$13	08-22 21:58
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	5	$53	80	20	+60	open	—	09-01 04:01
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	5	$52	100	0	+100	Yes	-$12	09-04 07:09
will shanks penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841803	5	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	-$10	08-01 16:56
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1?	5	$49	88	0	+88	No	+$5	08-15 19:37
Will Accelevation's market cap be between $4B and $4.5B at market close on IPO day?	6	$44	100	0	+100	Yes	-$4	09-30 20:17
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?	7	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$2	09-28 08:37
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	7	$41	80	0	+80	No	-$1	10-05 06:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 14:19:19	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf2e975…
10-05 10:38:34	Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x75c2ab…
10-05 07:15:43	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x422bc3…
10-05 06:55:02	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe799e0…
10-05 06:43:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x977e20…
10-05 06:42:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa5ee19…
10-05 06:42:52	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x75a3a2…
10-05 06:04:53	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xeb6a35…
10-05 03:58:55	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x9cc5e6…
10-05 00:05:34	Will UPB hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x27b0be…
10-04 22:32:23	Will Evair de Melo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xb4c76f…
10-04 21:58:29	Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x62c725…
10-04 21:53:31	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xb5206a…
10-04 19:37:37	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x609966…
10-04 18:30:08	Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd3e3dc…
10-04 18:27:28	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3daed4…
10-04 18:06:32	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0x1cb1df…
10-04 18:03:43	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xec02bc…
10-04 16:55:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xca9552…
10-04 16:20:35	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1b56c7…
10-04 13:54:44	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2671b6…
10-04 13:03:53	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x742057…
10-04 13:01:37	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x75041e…
10-04 12:59:28	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8bf6ec…
10-04 12:44:31	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3180aa…
10-04 11:38:52	Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4d99ab…
10-04 11:35:19	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc02145…
10-04 11:35:13	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf62f90…
10-04 11:35:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb592d7…
10-04 11:35:08	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x4c709d…
10-04 11:35:04	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xd44e6b…
10-04 10:25:29	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd9bacd…
10-04 08:37:47	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5cec37…
10-04 08:34:02	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xfd9650…
10-04 08:11:40	Will Lotus be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb2ac06…
10-04 07:52:50	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc247c2…
10-04 07:27:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xabfb56…
10-04 07:04:49	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xab1e32…
10-04 07:03:37	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xaccb32…
10-04 06:59:59	Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3de2c8…
10-04 06:29:59	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb447ce…
10-04 05:37:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x2bf29c…
10-04 04:25:19	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf97055…
10-04 01:10:26	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x4f23ec…
10-04 00:57:52	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x40b43d…
10-04 00:30:40	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1ea8b6…
10-04 00:24:11	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x17bf2f…
10-03 23:39:10	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3b32f5…
10-03 22:47:44	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x4823e8…
10-03 22:27:08	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7e6551…
10-03 22:26:53	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa0e66a…
10-03 20:03:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xeb3f2f…
10-03 20:03:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe283b2…
10-03 20:03:34	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7ad8c2…
10-03 19:55:05	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xd1365a…
10-03 19:54:28	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xed0c87…
10-03 19:50:25	Will Lotus be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x811783…
10-03 18:20:29	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x465231…
10-03 18:05:09	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc62c80…
10-03 18:04:12	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd4ab00…
10-03 18:04:12	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc34846…
10-03 17:42:59	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa53a3e…
10-03 14:57:24	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x3c6f2d…
10-03 14:36:35	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe89e55…
10-03 13:12:54	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd1c67c…
10-03 12:59:33	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x963491…
10-03 12:10:29	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xc6d053…
10-03 12:04:36	Will Ascent be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe1adf5…
10-03 12:02:02	Will Ascent be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd66595…
10-03 09:57:56	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7452a4…
10-03 09:57:51	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x834adc…
10-03 09:43:18	Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbd0e19…
10-03 09:27:56	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x085c4e…
10-03 08:41:56	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa91a13…
10-03 08:36:39	Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x0cb054…
10-03 07:41:18	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8614e5…
10-03 05:53:50	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6c64a9…
10-03 02:30:30	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8e8e50…
10-02 21:08:44	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5bdfc9…
10-02 20:07:59	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd543ba…
10-02 19:56:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9c16d7…
10-02 19:42:54	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x87eff3…
10-02 19:42:53	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x82c548…
10-02 19:41:21	will likud win the second most seats israel 2026 20260930225605390	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xad7f91…
10-02 19:38:08	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xad7e3f…
10-02 18:13:41	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x4d8b4e…
10-02 16:29:53	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x300f1e…
10-02 15:54:12	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x05f134…
10-02 15:15:02	Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3de292…
10-02 14:31:23	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x61384c…
10-02 13:38:23	Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x9aa805…
10-02 13:38:23	Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x57e0e4…
10-02 13:37:48	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x2b0f97…
10-02 13:11:23	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb4ec52…
10-02 13:05:57	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeeaa53…
10-02 12:52:29	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9c5ce4…
10-02 12:47:06	Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf96fe8…
10-02 12:04:53	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x2147ab…
10-02 10:35:15	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x9270a2…
10-02 10:24:41	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2636fc…