Animated-Grant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$496

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$307

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-06 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

76% 64% -$497

Politics

24% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	10-06 05:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	2	$878	465	465	+0	No	+$1	05-18 04:36
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$855	450	450	+0	open	—	05-19 11:31
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$841	425	425	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:46
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	2	$818	447	447	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 06:50
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	2	$816	429	429	+0	open	—	05-21 04:53
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$510	545	0	+545	Al Hazem SC	-$510	05-21 04:56
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$477	508	0	+508	Dalian Yingbo FC	+$31	05-19 11:34
Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)	1	$439	482	0	+482	SD Huesca	+$43	05-18 04:44
Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$432	440	0	+440	Damac Saudi Club	+$8	05-15 05:56
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	1	$422	431	0	+431	Valencia CF	+$9	05-14 05:27
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	1	$417	422	0	+422	RC Celta de Vigo	+$5	05-12 05:24
elc sot bri 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$367	375	0	+375	Southampton FC	+$8	04-21 09:09
lib lib ros 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	4	$64	689	20	+669	CA Rosario Central	-$60	04-15 09:01
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	2	$34	765	0	+765	Manchester United FC	-$34	04-13 05:25
US military draft authorized in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-06 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:27:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x75d7ba…
07-06 06:50:56	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	447	92¢	$410	0xab4cc4…
07-06 05:51:44	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	BUY	447	91¢	$408	0xef2007…
05-21 04:56:26	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	545	94¢	$510	0xacc067…
05-21 04:53:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	429	95¢	$408	0x17b950…
05-21 02:20:45	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	429	95¢	$408	0x324d51…
05-19 11:34:32	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	508	94¢	$477	0xe17210…
05-19 11:31:51	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	450	95¢	$428	0x9efbb5…
05-19 10:58:27	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	450	95¢	$428	0x98d9c0…
05-18 04:44:31	Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)	SD Huesca	BUY	482	91¢	$439	0x204777…
05-18 04:36:21	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	465	94¢	$439	0xef369b…
05-18 02:21:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	465	94¢	$438	0xb28bb1…
05-15 05:56:24	Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)	Damac Saudi Club	BUY	440	98¢	$432	0xcb6315…
05-14 05:27:02	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	431	98¢	$422	0xbc8ace…
05-14 04:46:45	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	425	99¢	$420	0x8b9be4…
05-14 02:39:00	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	425	99¢	$420	0xc091a8…
05-12 05:24:12	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	422	99¢	$417	0xf4e232…
04-21 09:09:28	elc sot bri 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	Southampton FC	BUY	375	98¢	$367	0x748b5c…
04-15 09:01:34	lib lib ros 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	Club Libertad	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xdea515…
04-15 09:00:36	lib lib ros 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	Club Libertad	BUY	348	9¢	$31	0xbcce99…
04-15 09:00:36	lib lib ros 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	Club Libertad	BUY	321	9¢	$29	0x577ab0…
04-15 09:00:30	lib lib ros 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	Club Libertad	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x42cba5…
04-13 05:25:27	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Leeds United FC	BUY	406	4¢	$18	0x612bda…
04-13 05:25:27	epl mun lee 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Leeds United FC	BUY	359	5¢	$16	0x4ee0cf…