Dear-Hops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

27.4%

Resolved

233

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$138

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-08 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

65% 38% -$134

Politics

20% 67% -$39

Crypto

10% 11% -$56

Sports

5% 33% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+106	$98	98¢	$104	+$6	09-15 17:59
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+50	$18	24¢	$12	-$7	11-08 14:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+50	$16	18¢	$9	-$7	11-04 16:05
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$12	6¢	$3	-$9	10-23 07:32
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	$0	10-11 09:31
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+150	$6	2¢	$3	-$3	10-23 12:36
Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	+54	$4	4¢	$2	-$2	10-29 00:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	+50	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	07-02 02:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+99	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	06-15 12:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$3.8K	4,837	4,837	+0	No	-$37	05-19 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,545	1,545	+0	No	-$46	05-25 19:38
will wti reach 105 in october 2026	24	$316	387	385	+2	Yes	+$0	10-30 22:15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	13	$272	320	320	+0	No	$0	09-29 02:51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	3	$247	171	102	+69	Yes	-$15	06-10 22:49
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	14	$246	410	410	+0	No	-$9	09-28 03:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	10	$237	235	235	+0	No	-$16	10-27 04:50
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$196	150	100	+50	open	—	10-11 09:31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	11	$193	294	244	+50	open	—	11-08 14:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	7	$190	150	150	+0	No	-$2	10-25 10:21
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	13	$163	310	245	+65	Yes	+$35	10-28 11:43
will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	15	$142	205	205	+0	No	-$48	10-23 00:33
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$134	225	225	+0	Yes	-$3	10-24 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	4	$129	74	74	+0	Yes	-$15	06-24 19:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	8	$129	158	118	+40	Yes	-$6	10-13 03:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	4	$122	151	50	+101	Yes	+$35	10-17 01:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	5	$101	156	0	+156	open	—	09-15 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?	2	$101	97	97	+0	Yes	-$89	06-10 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	1	$99	102	0	+102	Yes	+$3	06-26 16:08
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	4	$98	73	73	+0	No	-$2	10-21 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	06-27 14:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	19	$95	454	450	+4	No	-$26	10-29 17:48
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	1	$92	96	0	+96	Yes	+$4	06-24 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	1	$89	100	0	+100	Yes	+$11	07-25 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	1	$88	89	0	+89	Yes	+$1	06-09 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?	1	$87	100	0	+100	Yes	+$13	07-30 15:39
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?	1	$86	88	0	+88	Yes	+$2	06-08 11:03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?	1	$82	85	0	+85	Yes	+$3	06-08 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?	1	$81	82	0	+82	Yes	+$1	06-04 22:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 2?	1	$76	87	0	+87	Yes	+$11	08-02 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 14:39:51	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x97f435…
11-08 02:51:49	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf7d91c…
11-07 17:51:58	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xa3e1f7…
11-04 16:05:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x1024d0…
11-04 13:31:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xadc633…
11-04 12:01:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xbc7351…
11-03 11:19:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x5e973a…
11-02 19:05:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3cef24…
11-01 18:36:10	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x83a854…
11-01 17:30:45	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x915c42…
10-31 05:49:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x3483c6…
10-30 22:15:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x62b46a…
10-30 22:15:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x85ce5f…
10-30 22:03:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xe05e5f…
10-30 21:56:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x7d1a25…
10-30 21:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc02cc6…
10-30 17:41:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x4ae1e0…
10-30 15:09:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xe629b9…
10-30 07:21:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0x9a18fc…
10-30 05:29:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xe927fe…
10-29 17:48:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x45f327…
10-29 17:47:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xec795b…
10-29 09:43:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x395232…
10-29 09:41:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7c9471…
10-29 09:40:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$1	0x8b3111…
10-29 09:38:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x9af058…
10-29 06:50:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x987ce9…
10-29 06:41:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xe9ce46…
10-29 06:37:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x4d5532…
10-29 05:18:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xee7ef9…
10-29 00:36:52	Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0xba19b7…
10-28 19:46:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x69c82c…
10-28 15:12:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7035d…
10-28 11:43:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xbcf820…
10-28 11:15:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8d7e81…
10-27 22:08:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x30a6fb…
10-27 04:50:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xbf0f48…
10-25 10:53:27	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x864876…
10-25 10:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8758b5…
10-24 09:45:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x78f3ce…
10-24 07:27:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x6076a4…
10-24 05:28:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x607ff8…
10-24 03:50:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x6709a9…
10-24 02:05:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xbb5dee…
10-24 01:20:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xc49c24…
10-23 22:57:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x72f2e9…
10-23 22:57:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0x3e6a91…
10-23 17:31:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x55d3c6…
10-23 16:06:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x301139…
10-23 12:36:30	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xc0131b…
10-23 12:27:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xe9b8d9…
10-23 11:07:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xab6a40…
10-23 07:48:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xf0cc4e…
10-23 07:32:57	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xe947ee…
10-23 04:26:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xf20871…
10-23 03:29:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x2f270b…
10-23 00:33:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x52d9c1…
10-22 18:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x2d9552…
10-22 12:43:11	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x47cf58…
10-22 06:28:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xed14d3…
10-22 05:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf39b60…
10-22 04:21:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x939801…
10-21 22:04:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xf368c1…
10-21 21:09:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xc8b79c…
10-21 20:58:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xbf7c06…
10-21 19:05:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9241b3…
10-21 18:58:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0xb244ae…
10-21 16:56:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xd365d7…
10-21 09:35:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0x3030bd…
10-21 09:29:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xb6df0d…
10-21 08:54:45	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x614e81…
10-21 06:43:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x2ce279…
10-20 09:44:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x6f1c82…
10-20 01:04:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xa8ea16…
10-19 09:51:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xf044fe…
10-18 22:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0x33cbd1…
10-17 03:43:45	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe41d62…
10-17 01:19:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb3cad0…
10-16 19:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5f61e9…
10-16 19:31:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xc695e0…
10-16 15:19:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x478572…
10-16 14:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xee77f5…
10-15 22:10:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x1387f2…
10-15 05:41:47	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x1a2406…
10-14 21:59:49	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xa5eef7…
10-14 17:04:10	will wti reach 105 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x44e957…
10-14 16:33:04	will wti dip to 75 in october 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x456253…
10-14 15:16:03	will wti reach 100 in october 2026	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xfefb28…
10-14 10:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9fe4f9…
10-14 07:51:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0xb85298…
10-13 14:44:10	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6eb094…
10-13 11:43:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0xc9782a…
10-13 03:36:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8e2222…
10-13 00:28:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x4754c7…
10-12 23:46:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x1f8e7f…
10-12 21:19:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x245043…
10-12 20:17:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x6f9391…
10-12 18:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x44a569…
10-12 14:18:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xaf6a16…
10-12 13:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xaf23b1…