Agonizing-Counterpart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$160

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 62% $-67

Politics

9% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	+100	$96	96¢	$96	+$0	05-10 23:46
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	+44	$42	96¢	$43	+$0	05-10 22:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	+25	$21	86¢	$22	+$1	05-11 23:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$171	143	143	+0	Down	$-29	05-11 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$107	0	110	-110	Up	$-3	05-12 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$102	0	185	-185	Up	+$102	05-12 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	$-100	05-13 07:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	05-10 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$74	0	195	-195	Down	+$74	05-11 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$60	46	46	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$56	36	36	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$51	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:07
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	1	$42	44	0	+44	open	—	05-10 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$30	31	12	+19	Down	$-20	05-11 23:53
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	05-12 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Down	$-25	05-12 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-11 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	05-12 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$22	0	110	-110	Down	$-88	05-12 00:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	05-11 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$18	9	20	-11	Up	$-3	05-11 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$15	40	0	+40	Down	$-15	05-11 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-11 22:07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	1	$8	10	0	+10	San Diego Padres	+$2	05-10 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$7	15	15	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$7	0	9	-9	Down	$-2	05-11 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-11 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2ba7bb…
05-13 05:09:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x139852…
05-12 08:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x92e32b…
05-12 06:56:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf5a251…
05-12 05:35:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7d4709…
05-12 05:31:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xb5a844…
05-12 05:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b7d59…
05-12 04:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	185	55¢	$102	0xd3d50b…
05-12 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x6d1a52…
05-12 02:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x62f0b4…
05-12 02:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x69cfae…
05-12 00:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0xbc7210…
05-11 23:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	143	50¢	$71	0xe77533…
05-11 23:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x43a5cb…
05-11 23:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0xa31212…
05-11 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x268c39…
05-11 23:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x587e39…
05-11 23:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xed4bfc…
05-11 23:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0501fc…
05-11 23:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xb0acd1…
05-11 23:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x9e4512…
05-11 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x2f0b5d…
05-11 23:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5161f3…
05-11 23:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x21f6e1…
05-11 23:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x51d5ca…
05-11 23:15:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x61c95c…
05-11 23:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0b3d40…
05-11 23:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xfb85c1…
05-11 23:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x04c830…
05-11 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	195	38¢	$74	0xb26ab7…
05-11 22:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x41386f…
05-11 22:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa64502…
05-11 11:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x5a1339…
05-11 10:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0x60570f…
05-11 10:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x708aa5…
05-11 10:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8564da…
05-11 10:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1ffa4f…
05-11 10:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5798b3…
05-11 10:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	46	76¢	$35	0x5afaa5…
05-11 10:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x379faa…
05-11 10:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x195565…
05-11 10:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbcd92c…
05-11 10:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x46bc92…
05-11 10:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x93c64b…
05-11 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbff71f…
05-11 09:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf447ef…
05-11 09:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc9870e…
05-11 04:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3733e4…
05-11 04:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x083047…
05-11 04:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x09550e…
05-11 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc05bc8…
05-10 23:57:21	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdbb438…
05-10 23:46:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf74128…
05-10 22:57:44	St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfc6429…
05-10 22:40:50	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x3e0ecf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	32	$12.7K	403	05-13 07:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$21.6K	404	05-12 05:24
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	26	$1.77K	83	05-12 05:24
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	26	$1.25K	144	05-13 07:36
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	26	$1.06K	288	05-13 07:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	24	$8.11K	124	05-13 07:36
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$3.03K	269	05-12 05:24
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	24	$2.33K	125	05-12 05:21