Insignificant-Trim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

3,089

Trades

8,706

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-26 07:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 60% +$2,129

Sports

4% 50% +$198

Other

4% 55% -$422

Politics

0% 50% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+107	$58	31¢	$33	-$24	05-30 04:33
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+29	$13	96¢	$28	+$15	05-26 09:22
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+117	$40	15¢	$18	-$22	05-21 01:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+10	$2	4¢	$0	-$1	05-29 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5	5	$198	138	138	+0	Under	+$79	10-23 01:55
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5	2	$175	115	115	+0	Under	+$55	10-23 01:55
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5	2	$173	113	113	+0	Under	+$53	10-22 02:44
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 244.5	3	$161	102	102	+0	Under	+$42	10-22 02:40
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$111	68	68	+0	Yes	+$12	06-18 03:28
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5	11	$104	74	74	-0	Under	+$45	10-22 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$99	58	58	+0	Down	+$9	05-20 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$98	76	70	+7	Down	+$19	05-20 22:17
Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	8	$97	70	64	+6	Under	+$23	10-25 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$96	63	63	+0	Up	+$15	05-23 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$94	64	64	+0	Down	+$14	05-23 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	9	$91	60	60	+0	Up	+$11	05-21 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$91	46	46	+0	Up	+$2	10-25 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$88	47	47	+0	Down	+$6	10-25 04:06
Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina	2	$85	59	59	+0	Daria Kasatkina	-$1	10-25 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$85	67	57	+10	Up	+$14	05-20 11:03
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$75	79	0	+79	No	+$4	06-24 13:52
atp gill gaston 2026 06 15	1	$74	147	0	+147	Felix Gill	-$74	06-16 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$73	45	45	+0	No	+$2	06-18 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$72	78	60	+18	Down	+$11	05-16 06:45
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$70	75	0	+75	No	+$4	07-09 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$70	74	40	+34	Down	+$24	05-22 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$66	41	40	+0	Up	+$14	10-25 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	7	$66	90	59	+31	Down	+$16	05-23 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$65	38	35	+3	Up	+$4	05-23 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$65	46	46	+0	Up	+$27	05-31 11:45
Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	3	$63	44	44	+0	Melbourne United	+$24	10-25 07:48
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	3	$61	39	39	+0	Yes	+$12	06-18 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$61	86	0	+86	Up	-$61	05-16 07:16
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	1	$60	75	0	+75	Nuggets	-$60	10-25 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3182dc…
10-26 07:34:05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7d1759…
10-26 07:04:20	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xbf9948…
10-25 21:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d344e…
10-25 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x54ed17…
10-25 21:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa3f87f…
10-25 21:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xba77cd…
10-25 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xbfedc9…
10-25 21:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x5c3e32…
10-25 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x27f59e…
10-25 21:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd1a946…
10-25 21:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4238b9…
10-25 21:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc28f81…
10-25 21:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x912427…
10-25 21:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xa10dd7…
10-25 21:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbc0f56…
10-25 21:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x3cadfe…
10-25 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x176103…
10-25 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb134af…
10-25 21:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x233389…
10-25 21:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x536014…
10-25 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x01558e…
10-25 20:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f196e…
10-25 20:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x509107…
10-25 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x0f4e5a…
10-25 20:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa0d31a…
10-25 20:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x09c944…
10-25 20:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3839a0…
10-25 20:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x4a18a3…
10-25 20:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa958e4…
10-25 20:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcc27ad…
10-25 20:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x58c77c…
10-25 20:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x07865a…
10-25 20:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xbd18f9…
10-25 20:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa6ddee…
10-25 18:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4915f5…
10-25 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc74171…
10-25 18:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8ae1a3…
10-25 18:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x03d23f…
10-25 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe17a4f…
10-25 18:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x358ed1…
10-25 18:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa0b9d5…
10-25 18:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5002ab…
10-25 18:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb16179…
10-25 18:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x48679f…
10-25 18:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9af130…
10-25 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61bba9…
10-25 17:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xab0929…
10-25 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x86286f…
10-25 17:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc4761a…
10-25 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x81b779…
10-25 17:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4715b0…
10-25 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ec412…
10-25 16:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x38a519…
10-25 08:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdf3da2…
10-25 08:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8606e7…
10-25 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xed69e1…
10-25 08:10:45	Daegu Pegasus vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x4aba66…
10-25 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x1f0494…
10-25 07:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x3af1f0…
10-25 07:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xe38569…
10-25 07:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x49ea55…
10-25 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x468ed2…
10-25 07:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x423f76…
10-25 07:52:23	Daegu Pegasus vs. Seoul Thunders	Seoul Thunders	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf462c7…
10-25 07:48:57	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	Melbourne United	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1f3e4d…
10-25 07:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x90ecf8…
10-25 06:14:23	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	66	57¢	$38	0x28b6dc…
10-25 06:07:42	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	Melbourne United	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xb87df3…
10-25 06:06:15	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings	Melbourne United	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x56a21e…
10-25 05:55:42	Melbourne United vs. Sydney Kings: O/U 193.5	Under	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x09edd7…
10-25 05:53:18	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	SELL	64	90¢	$57	0x091caf…
10-25 05:49:15	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 39.5	Under	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xf01c74…
10-25 05:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x97fa46…
10-25 05:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x31feb9…
10-25 04:59:54	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 39.5	Under	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x2448ea…
10-25 04:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x497f8e…
10-25 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9ae277…
10-25 04:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8be97e…
10-25 04:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xa50837…
10-25 04:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa14062…
10-25 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5147ba…
10-25 04:48:47	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xdccba4…
10-25 04:48:23	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d5371…
10-25 04:47:06	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xf76e37…
10-25 04:46:57	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xee7666…
10-25 04:46:50	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x372c52…
10-25 04:46:42	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xd320b1…
10-25 04:46:35	Houston vs. Utah: O/U 35.5	Under	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x46a087…
10-25 04:28:38	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	SELL	59	71¢	$42	0x753a67…
10-25 04:21:36	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0xcd4eb0…
10-25 04:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xdf0622…
10-25 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x9db3fd…
10-25 04:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x23eb2f…
10-25 04:13:18	Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x2fdd9e…
10-25 04:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x66f44b…
10-25 04:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x1bdfc1…
10-25 04:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2ca772…
10-25 04:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5ecdeb…
10-25 04:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x31a2ae…