Immense-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

13.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

57 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$132

$132 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 29% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	+62	$1	30¢	$19	+$17	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	+8	$5	99¢	$8	+$3	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	+11	$2	48¢	$5	+$3	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	+6	$1	66¢	$4	+$3	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	+4	$3	86¢	$3	+$1	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	+2	$2	34¢	$1	$-1	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	+6	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-06 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xecf3d8…
05-06 07:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x911e39…
05-06 07:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb2cd3c…
05-06 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc020a0…
05-06 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4d57c0…
05-06 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7b6a46…
05-06 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8cc8d6…
05-06 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xc07180…
05-06 07:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x61c3b0…
05-06 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x5aa2c5…
05-06 07:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xc7576f…
05-06 06:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x891766…
05-06 06:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0aa58e…
05-06 05:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x482c9b…
05-06 05:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8517c6…
05-06 05:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xef0ce4…
05-06 05:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x302057…
05-06 05:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xa6ca80…
05-06 05:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x118e82…
05-06 05:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x42a716…
05-06 05:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x76337b…
05-06 05:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2c5d9e…
05-06 05:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa938b7…
05-06 05:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf98a62…
05-06 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x36a1cf…
05-06 03:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x002fae…
05-06 03:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x056195…
05-06 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb52045…
05-06 03:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x4040d7…
05-06 03:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2557cc…
05-06 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b81e5…
05-06 03:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3f5da…
05-06 03:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xaf9933…
05-06 02:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0d0fea…
05-06 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6ed26c…
05-06 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x04b948…
05-06 02:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa9bbf9…
05-06 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8ab9d9…
05-06 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x0fd9d6…
05-06 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xde27d5…
05-06 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xbed283…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x454a1a…
05-06 00:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x427b60…
05-06 00:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x50147d…
05-06 00:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x661dad…
05-06 00:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x49c735…
05-06 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6635b0…
05-06 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x45adcc…
05-06 00:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe58811…
05-06 00:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc9b7dc…
05-05 02:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7a1e80…
05-05 02:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf6096f…
05-05 01:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x688ccd…
05-05 01:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd5ac58…
05-05 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89ad18…
05-05 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0xbf7887…
05-05 00:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa8e301…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	33	$4.80K	248	05-06 07:49
Sad-Polliwog 0x02f4…4658	32	$962	78	05-06 07:49
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	30	$628	126	05-06 07:46
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	29	$6.83K	166	05-06 07:46
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	29	$770	132	05-06 07:49
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	28	$4.46K	63	05-06 07:46
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	28	$852	113	05-06 07:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	27	$4.19K	343	05-06 07:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$31	0	34	-34	Up	$-3	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$16	77	0	+77	Up	$-1	05-06 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	Down	$-1	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Up	$-7	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$6	13	0	+13	Down	$-2	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-06 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$4	12	0	+12	Up	$-4	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-06 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$2	124	0	+124	Down	$-2	05-06 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Up	$-2	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-06 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$1	21	0	+21	Up	$-1	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	+$7	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$1	62	0	+62	Up	$-1	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	62	0	+62	Up	$-1	05-06 02:59