Disguised-Bag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

124

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-18 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

88% 51% -$793

Crypto

9% 0% -$407

Sports

3% 67% +$194

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elc lei sot 2026 02 14 lei	1	$3.0K	3,046	0	+3,046	No	+$46	02-10 22:24
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	1,099	1,099	+0	No	-$200	02-05 17:40
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$1.5K	1,561	0	+1,561	No	+$81	03-15 17:49
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	6	$904	858	622	+237	Yes	+$81	06-22 00:59
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	5	$750	752	752	+0	Under	-$150	06-22 00:01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	7	$616	1,827	1,827	+0	Yes	+$116	07-07 17:56
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	2	$582	515	515	+0	Over	-$118	06-23 17:18
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	8	$567	821	821	+0	Yes	-$93	06-22 00:01
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	5	$514	763	191	+572	Over	-$346	06-21 22:39
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$505	328	328	+0	Yes	+$144	05-30 19:02
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	2	$449	294	294	+0	Under	+$49	06-21 23:44
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$393	455	455	+0	No	-$207	02-05 17:41
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	2	$387	421	93	+328	Over	-$253	06-21 22:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$382	489	489	+0	No	-$10	05-30 13:22
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	5	$361	375	150	+225	Morocco	+$68	06-13 10:40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$344	342	171	+171	No	-$176	06-17 18:30
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	5	$334	272	272	+0	Yes	+$104	06-17 19:29
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$261	165	165	+0	Yes	+$61	07-09 21:33
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	5	$237	200	200	+0	Yes	+$80	06-15 17:56
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	2	$237	308	154	+154	Over	+$71	06-22 21:55
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$230	324	0	+324	Yes	+$94	06-17 08:39
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	2	$220	140	140	+0	Over	+$60	07-05 22:02
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	3	$218	345	177	+168	No	+$18	06-20 21:51
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	3	$202	312	195	+117	No	+$2	07-01 17:40
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$200	345	0	+345	Argentina	-$200	06-16 10:26
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$200	328	0	+328	France	-$200	06-16 10:28
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	1	$200	263	0	+263	Yes	+$63	06-18 13:53
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 team total home 2pt5	2	$198	118	118	+0	Under	-$2	06-18 13:55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$192	287	287	+0	No	-$8	07-09 21:05
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	2	$181	120	120	+0	Under	+$59	06-15 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 19:28:31	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x67d992…
07-15 19:13:58	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xf25543…
07-11 22:57:25	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	58	84¢	$49	0xe1a672…
07-11 22:48:26	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xfe60c6…
07-11 22:48:25	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0xda088e…
07-11 22:27:56	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x2da7ee…
07-10 20:58:20	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	104	95¢	$100	0xaffaba…
07-10 20:46:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xcef9c6…
07-09 21:33:13	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	165	98¢	$161	0x19da0a…
07-09 21:06:46	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0xb79178…
07-09 21:05:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	287	32¢	$92	0x424bb1…
07-07 21:54:01	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	85	54¢	$46	0xe20e31…
07-07 20:57:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x6173e1…
07-07 20:57:05	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x4f266b…
07-07 17:56:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	106	91¢	$96	0x80d230…
07-07 17:50:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0x262533…
07-07 17:49:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	139	31¢	$43	0xf1f847…
07-07 17:48:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	320	32¢	$101	0x0c7c28…
07-07 17:43:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	1,224	9¢	$115	0x462e89…
07-07 17:42:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,419	4¢	$50	0xf60d16…
07-07 17:39:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	287	35¢	$100	0x0cecb1…
07-07 17:38:14	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	323	13¢	$42	0x94db84…
07-07 16:24:34	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x7b1ff5…
07-07 16:24:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x4aad87…
07-06 21:02:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xbb5908…
07-06 21:00:25	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xa7611d…
07-06 19:35:19	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	77	78¢	$60	0xd88249…
07-06 19:35:04	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x9d640e…
07-06 19:34:55	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x2c480a…
07-06 19:34:28	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x957c25…
07-05 22:02:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xbad80f…
07-05 19:43:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	180	61¢	$110	0x9ebeea…
07-05 19:42:52	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0x093397…
07-04 23:01:17	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Paraguay	SELL	95	91¢	$87	0xdcd5e3…
07-04 16:57:02	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x0f05d5…
07-04 16:56:31	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xb9c0bb…
07-04 16:55:32	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xacde78…
07-03 17:49:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xdac002…
07-03 17:49:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x5a0b57…
07-03 17:48:52	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x063852…
07-03 17:48:08	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xb02af9…
07-02 20:26:10	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	122	38¢	$46	0x994528…
07-02 18:10:46	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	165	67¢	$110	0xb21c64…
07-02 18:10:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	157	44¢	$70	0xd4ec68…
07-02 18:09:53	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	122	57¢	$70	0x76bd33…
07-01 17:40:44	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0xedbcf9…
07-01 17:40:17	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	156	52¢	$81	0x1621d5…
07-01 17:35:31	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	119	19¢	$23	0xf1811f…
07-01 17:09:58	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xd4a289…
07-01 16:58:08	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xc3c243…
06-30 20:49:40	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x8d6d61…
06-30 20:49:02	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0x16a9b5…
06-29 21:54:58	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	179	6¢	$11	0xd47cbd…
06-29 21:33:10	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xf4fc73…
06-29 18:48:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	104	25¢	$26	0x53262c…
06-29 18:30:23	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	222	39¢	$87	0x23bc13…
06-29 18:08:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	222	23¢	$50	0x368bb1…
06-28 19:15:40	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x80c920…
06-28 19:15:14	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x89f38e…
06-28 18:13:13	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xfa5890…
06-28 18:12:46	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0x24c250…
06-28 18:12:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	176	74¢	$130	0xa4dc28…
06-27 22:10:41	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x86c54f…
06-27 22:02:23	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xf9b968…
06-27 21:20:50	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	SELL	133	35¢	$47	0xc9a0d5…
06-27 11:19:25	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x2215ee…
06-27 11:19:02	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x413005…
06-27 11:18:50	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	177	62¢	$110	0x69fac4…
06-27 11:18:02	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x9a8301…
06-27 11:17:52	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0xc44f14…
06-26 13:27:54	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x8d5f1f…
06-26 13:27:39	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	148	61¢	$90	0x54b714…
06-26 13:27:27	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x86b9cf…
06-26 13:26:46	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	224	58¢	$130	0xccbcb8…
06-26 13:25:51	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	217	60¢	$130	0x7e27c0…
06-26 00:42:02	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	SELL	182	30¢	$55	0x99c4ce…
06-26 00:41:38	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	173	35¢	$61	0x626d1c…
06-25 21:52:52	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x317dea…
06-25 21:51:23	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x15194e…
06-25 11:37:25	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x211649…
06-25 11:37:05	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0xb137d5…
06-25 11:36:55	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x411c39…
06-24 20:32:52	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0xf5b494…
06-24 16:19:05	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x0343a5…
06-24 16:18:29	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xa69076…
06-24 16:17:59	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xcd462f…
06-24 16:17:34	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x0ff4d9…
06-24 16:17:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xded837…
06-23 17:18:11	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	515	45¢	$232	0x304d8c…
06-23 17:16:29	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	515	68¢	$350	0xb6db77…
06-23 12:29:49	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x140b56…
06-23 12:29:25	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x400517…
06-23 12:29:05	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	190	58¢	$110	0x4733ac…
06-23 12:28:08	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	197	66¢	$130	0xa1fe56…
06-22 21:55:32	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	154	50¢	$77	0x0125d0…
06-22 21:42:37	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	170	32¢	$54	0x4bee20…
06-22 11:18:25	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1de5da…
06-22 11:17:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0x531fb7…
06-22 11:17:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	162	68¢	$110	0xa60c9a…
06-22 11:16:13	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	308	52¢	$160	0x21ef90…