Brown-Object — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

3,390

Trades

9,277

lifetime

Volume

$45.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-26 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% -$1,401

Politics

17% 22% -$248

Crypto

11% 42% -$109

Tech

5% 16% -$138

Sports

4% 41% -$165

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	+3	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	06-28 16:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	+2	$3	74¢	$2	-$2	07-15 06:11
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556	Yes	+2	$1	22¢	$0	$0	08-17 15:44
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	+3	$9	6¢	$0	-$9	06-28 17:11
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+4	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	09-17 13:56
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	06-25 19:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	200	$1.7K	1,851	1,847	+5	No	-$41	07-31 15:13
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	159	$622	769	768	+2	No	-$28	06-23 18:00
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	63	$595	635	635	+0	open	—	06-30 05:02
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	102	$515	507	507	+0	No	-$18	06-26 18:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	83	$455	452	447	+5	Yes	-$5	06-13 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?	57	$407	421	417	+4	No	-$8	06-22 19:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	45	$377	400	378	+22	Yes	-$7	06-14 21:02
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	39	$363	361	357	+4	No	-$3	06-25 19:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	43	$291	343	336	+7	No	+$2	06-17 15:18
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	41	$266	315	310	+5	No	+$1	08-02 00:11
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	29	$248	260	260	+0	open	—	06-21 16:15
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026	35	$248	293	293	+0	No	-$20	07-08 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	39	$243	253	253	+0	Yes	-$4	06-21 10:11
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	33	$227	247	247	+0	No	-$4	07-21 20:18
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	35	$225	261	261	+0	No	-$4	06-30 22:31
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	25	$222	230	225	+5	open	—	06-28 17:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?	38	$205	221	216	+5	No	-$11	06-23 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 24?	28	$203	199	199	+0	Yes	-$8	06-23 13:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?	26	$198	232	232	+0	Yes	-$18	06-21 11:16
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?	43	$193	182	182	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 11:37
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	35	$189	177	177	+0	No	+$11	06-26 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	35	$187	190	186	+4	No	-$5	06-23 16:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 24?	32	$187	183	183	+0	Yes	+$3	06-23 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	16	$178	178	178	+0	Yes	-$3	06-20 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?	33	$177	187	174	+13	Yes	-$5	06-20 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?	34	$173	168	164	+4	Yes	-$5	06-23 23:59
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	18	$173	180	179	+1	Yes	-$16	07-05 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	46	$169	153	146	+7	No	+$2	06-21 23:07
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	41	$162	180	180	+0	No	-$14	06-23 17:04
will att t q2 total revenue be above 31pt8b 20260703212929588	26	$150	162	162	+0	No	-$23	07-09 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:04:35	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xa21bcb…
10-26 08:04:24	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x98ff5f…
10-13 11:13:49	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x5228b1…
10-13 02:21:32	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x7ff65c…
10-11 19:39:57	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd82130…
10-11 11:25:15	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x86e284…
10-11 11:19:14	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xae2821…
10-11 05:38:20	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6ba103…
10-11 02:39:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x934171…
10-11 02:19:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf75096…
10-10 17:56:12	Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xb00e9c…
10-10 17:54:30	Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xb054ec…
10-10 12:23:13	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xf0d4d8…
10-10 12:22:58	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc982c0…
10-10 10:20:39	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xd8f2cb…
10-10 08:35:33	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x3c90c1…
10-10 07:10:04	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xc8b6ae…
10-10 04:48:10	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x7ab20f…
10-10 04:41:16	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0120 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x1a9640…
10-10 04:41:10	Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x8c5d81…
10-10 03:59:46	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x3d18a6…
10-09 17:00:55	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x77ed1c…
10-09 17:00:52	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0x98e3a9…
10-09 15:35:48	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x877f19…
10-09 15:35:46	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x6e6344…
10-09 15:35:34	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xa5f70d…
10-09 15:35:34	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x234353…
10-09 15:07:57	Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9de435…
10-09 08:39:58	Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xf2cf99…
10-09 08:39:51	Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xed22c9…
10-09 06:52:37	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x57acc8…
10-09 06:48:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x062841…
10-08 21:10:45	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6594b5…
10-08 21:09:53	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xcf1cb0…
10-08 12:28:20	Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1834dd…
10-08 10:54:23	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0120 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0b9a65…
10-08 08:15:59	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x46ce3f…
10-08 08:15:43	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd93d6e…
10-08 05:28:26	Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xaf8d80…
10-08 05:05:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x87ec10…
10-08 05:04:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7af33c…
10-07 08:55:08	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd21ce1…
10-07 04:08:29	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xad96d8…
10-07 03:04:57	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x9625e8…
10-07 03:04:51	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x321223…
10-06 21:50:03	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x832569…
10-06 21:49:54	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x7d2d4a…
10-06 19:27:05	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xbe445e…
10-06 13:13:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xa6bdc1…
10-06 13:13:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6160bf…
10-06 12:59:46	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x33b88f…
10-06 12:58:37	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x2232de…
10-06 10:01:15	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x1e8020…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd142a4…
10-06 09:09:22	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5cfe39…
10-06 06:59:13	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x740e77…
10-06 01:33:38	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4978ce…
10-05 23:43:07	Will Jaylen Waddle finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xe42739…
10-05 14:12:04	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x8aa3ee…
10-05 14:11:56	Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfca272…
10-05 13:29:05	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xbf42a2…
10-05 10:38:43	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xdd2fbd…
10-05 05:39:55	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2a9120…
10-05 00:56:25	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x8d5490…
10-05 00:56:23	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xbfa4ec…
10-05 00:55:43	Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa336c1…
10-04 20:07:07	Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x3b6b2d…
10-04 20:06:58	Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4c6ec6…
10-04 18:13:29	Will Jaylen Waddle finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x7f0c98…
10-04 16:40:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x401842…
10-04 13:47:52	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x078dd6…
10-04 13:09:53	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xc72292…
10-04 13:09:46	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdb6c8e…
10-04 00:01:22	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xc539f1…
10-03 21:28:34	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x69da60…
10-03 16:08:26	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6fdd31…
10-03 12:46:11	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x736a8a…
10-03 12:45:48	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x30e041…
10-03 03:32:39	Will Bijan Robinson finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1dcb89…
10-02 21:56:26	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xe0e212…
10-02 21:56:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x62a107…
10-02 21:56:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0bdff5…
10-02 15:05:36	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd9f489…
10-02 15:05:26	Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf383e8…
10-02 04:20:15	Will Bijan Robinson finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4dc37b…
10-02 01:37:14	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1b20d6…
10-02 01:37:06	Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xe163b2…
10-01 20:12:29	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x09b435…
10-01 20:12:20	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x27e368…
10-01 20:01:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x19d939…
10-01 19:40:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf16344…
10-01 17:03:33	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x94b6b3…
10-01 17:03:27	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x819a75…
10-01 16:11:18	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x249125…
10-01 16:11:06	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6c0eee…
10-01 05:06:44	Will Brandon McManus finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x49eba2…
10-01 01:02:44	Will Jaylen Waddle finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde900a…
10-01 00:54:57	Will Brandon McManus finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe13d48…
09-30 20:07:05	Will Cade Otton finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x38fdd2…
09-30 18:53:02	Will Cade Otton finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x07c323…