Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$714

Unrealized P&L

-$222

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 11-03 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

53% 54% -$227

Tech

28% 0% -$386

Politics

13% 0% -$219

Crypto

3% 72% +$117

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+1	$11	98¢	$1	-$10	08-11 07:37
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	+1	$21	88¢	$1	-$20	08-10 15:53
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+1	$14	88¢	$1	-$13	10-26 03:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	-$6	82¢	$0	+$6	10-04 14:03
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	No	+0	$12	98¢	$0	-$12	10-23 12:48
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 671	Yes	+1	$68	12¢	$0	-$68	08-22 19:02
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	Yes	+1	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	10-23 12:48
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	+1	$100	1¢	$0	-$100	07-28 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 671	37	$4.6K	4,926	4,924	+1	open	—	08-22 19:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	61	$4.2K	10,119	10,118	+1	open	—	08-19 18:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$1.8K	2,089	2,089	+0	open	—	10-04 14:03
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	4	$1.3K	7,120	7,120	+0	No	-$272	07-30 03:00
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	6	$903	640	639	+1	open	—	07-28 01:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$667	895	895	+0	Yes	+$67	09-16 18:36
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	13	$603	592	591	+1	open	—	10-23 23:39
No one announced as next James Bond?	14	$561	358	357	+1	open	—	10-26 03:11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	10	$530	2,025	2,025	+0	No	-$134	08-03 04:53
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	15	$311	254	253	+1	open	—	10-23 12:48
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	26	$279	388	241	+147	open	—	11-03 09:00
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?	2	$264	357	357	+0	No	-$186	07-31 23:26
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	6	$239	158	157	+0	No	-$1	07-25 03:42
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	12	$228	261	260	+1	No	+$3	10-23 12:43
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	20	$217	292	246	+47	open	—	10-30 04:26
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$203	185	62	+123	open	—	11-02 01:31
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	2	$189	789	789	+0	No	-$110	08-05 20:43
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	2	$179	192	192	+0	open	—	09-19 13:20
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$167	265	264	+1	open	—	10-28 16:23
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	10	$158	153	152	+1	Yes	-$5	08-12 10:00
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	9	$153	227	226	+1	open	—	10-23 12:43
Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	8	$141	793	792	+1	No	-$41	07-30 17:03
Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	7	$134	127	127	+1	open	—	10-29 20:45
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of August 2026?	2	$102	222	101	+121	No	-$98	08-13 07:23
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	2	$101	78	78	+0	open	—	10-23 12:43
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$100	63	63	+0	open	—	10-29 17:56
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$96	59	59	+0	open	—	10-26 15:23
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	10	$96	145	145	+0	open	—	10-30 01:18
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	3	$91	625	625	+0	open	—	10-22 16:46
Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	8	$90	133	133	+0	open	—	10-23 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:01:09	Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xd24e98…
11-03 12:51:07	Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	21	80¢	$17	0xd035e6…
11-03 11:33:31	Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x2e95e0…
11-03 11:29:39	Will "Dollhouse Elephant" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc16a75…
11-03 10:12:27	Will "The End of Oak Street" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xcb271f…
11-03 09:00:24	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x241468…
11-03 06:39:22	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xf41ec0…
11-02 22:30:28	Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x770e04…
11-02 17:46:58	Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x453f9a…
11-02 16:35:01	Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xa1afa6…
11-02 16:26:46	Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0xa3106e…
11-02 16:09:49	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0xf5243e…
11-02 16:09:49	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$9	0xd069c1…
11-02 15:52:09	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x51e7e5…
11-02 15:50:06	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x07165d…
11-02 02:54:09	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x9a19ef…
11-02 02:54:07	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xc97e77…
11-02 02:47:09	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x0fe617…
11-02 01:35:46	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8dc626…
11-02 01:35:42	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x7179a9…
11-02 01:31:07	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xc6f8e6…
11-01 17:24:09	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xd5ed53…
11-01 17:23:51	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x5a9a10…
11-01 17:23:49	Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xabcf91…
11-01 11:46:15	Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x870faf…
11-01 03:18:15	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x0b4618…
10-31 23:11:33	Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x4b3893…
10-31 19:07:57	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x1d6ad8…
10-31 18:49:22	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	22	67¢	$15	0x181dc5…
10-31 18:38:40	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xd88949…
10-31 18:30:36	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x7e8999…
10-31 18:28:49	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x89fd46…
10-31 16:48:46	Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7c8414…
10-31 15:49:03	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	36	43¢	$16	0xbad5a3…
10-31 06:12:16	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0xfdcc10…
10-31 06:12:13	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	64	82¢	$53	0x4642f9…
10-30 04:26:52	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xd83336…
10-30 02:03:37	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x8a1480…
10-30 01:18:13	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x155a7f…
10-29 23:50:36	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xfd2e3d…
10-29 23:45:25	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0x64998f…
10-29 23:45:21	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$6	0xa625a8…
10-29 22:32:04	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0xbd543f…
10-29 20:45:04	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x4dfe0a…
10-29 20:22:42	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	66	59¢	$39	0x7ba54d…
10-29 20:22:42	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x768729…
10-29 20:22:42	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x40f6a1…
10-29 19:10:33	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	18	76¢	$14	0x7dbf7e…
10-29 17:56:13	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xdb14a4…
10-29 17:56:13	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xd7743a…
10-29 17:56:13	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x7b7e9b…
10-29 17:53:46	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x2cfdcb…
10-29 11:54:37	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x496397…
10-29 11:24:04	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3dd243…
10-29 10:04:32	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x4920dd…
10-29 09:13:55	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x07763d…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0x602c4c…
10-29 03:24:49	Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfb0c8c…
10-28 21:46:34	Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	141	17¢	$24	0x8abb67…
10-28 21:19:38	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x850376…
10-28 16:23:19	Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x3ef21b…
10-28 15:33:46	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x6b9b48…
10-28 15:33:46	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1b6377…
10-28 11:54:56	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x656fcb…
10-28 09:08:17	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xfa1ef2…
10-28 09:08:17	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x89c9de…
10-28 09:08:17	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x1d3ce4…
10-28 08:36:40	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xe4b07e…
10-28 08:36:40	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	79	22¢	$17	0x659ae2…
10-28 08:36:40	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x2aa391…
10-28 01:58:20	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x33f1b6…
10-28 01:42:00	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xe9aafc…
10-28 01:42:00	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0x40db85…
10-28 01:05:29	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	58	34¢	$20	0xaa530d…
10-28 01:05:08	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x33f48b…
10-28 00:47:51	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xe0976b…
10-28 00:28:56	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0xf7a54b…
10-28 00:27:57	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x46aac4…
10-28 00:07:47	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x5ffd14…
10-28 00:06:44	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x997a50…
10-27 19:06:21	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xe03502…
10-27 19:06:11	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	88	35¢	$31	0x5af366…
10-27 19:05:59	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x060298…
10-26 21:07:15	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xdd6251…
10-26 21:01:36	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0xaf88fe…
10-26 17:33:24	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf5f273…
10-26 16:10:26	Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x032f8a…
10-26 16:09:21	Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	64	74¢	$47	0xb50fab…
10-26 16:03:00	Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xc8c41c…
10-26 16:03:00	Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	48	76¢	$36	0x5c3c7f…
10-26 15:23:18	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x6024ef…
10-26 15:12:47	Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xffef61…
10-26 07:49:26	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x752904…
10-26 03:11:32	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	117	70¢	$82	0xebd6fb…
10-26 00:15:14	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x2363fe…
10-26 00:15:12	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd8f418…
10-25 23:34:09	Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xc60000…
10-25 23:01:20	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xc5f8fb…
10-25 16:14:24	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe83b31…
10-25 15:18:33	Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd9a7fb…