Knowledgeable-Dew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,380

lifetime

Volume

$546.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$230

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 04-07 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 12% $-21

Politics

20% 0% $-2

Crypto

17% 0% $-2

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	180	$150.4K	268,028	264,645	+3,384	open	—	01-30 15:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$45.8K	31,995	31,995	+0	open	—	01-31 16:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$40.1K	0	41,368	-41,368	open	—	01-10 07:16
btc updown 15m 1769879700	268	$23.2K	20,308	15,170	+5,138	open	—	01-31 17:28
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	34	$20.1K	13,749	13,701	+48	open	—	02-18 14:44
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	125	$18.9K	10,384	9,980	+405	open	—	02-16 23:56
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$16.8K	8,645	8,645	+0	open	—	02-05 01:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	32	$16.4K	20,698	0	+20,698	open	—	02-20 14:35
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$14.9K	8,057	8,057	-0	open	—	02-15 05:02
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	20	$14.3K	41,380	45,452	-4,072	open	—	01-31 05:30
btc updown 15m 1769958000	60	$13.8K	7,860	7,806	+54	open	—	02-01 15:13
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$11.6K	6,142	6,142	+0	open	—	02-01 15:06
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	26	$10.0K	13,163	2,775	+10,387	open	—	02-03 19:22
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	9	$9.2K	76,166	76,166	+0	open	—	02-02 07:08
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	33	$9.1K	119,701	4,780	+114,921	open	—	02-03 23:02
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	15	$9.0K	4,763	4,763	+0	open	—	02-18 02:06
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$8.7K	3,627	6,450	-2,824	open	—	01-27 04:26
btc updown 15m 1769850000	57	$8.0K	6,392	6,329	+63	open	—	01-31 09:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$6.4K	29,133	29,133	+0	open	—	03-27 18:36
btc updown 15m 1769851800	83	$6.2K	3,474	3,463	+11	open	—	01-31 09:39
btc updown 15m 1769877000	8	$5.8K	7,344	3,297	+4,047	open	—	01-31 16:39
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	28	$5.2K	5,465	5,465	+0	open	—	02-16 17:25
btc updown 15m 1769880600	1	$5.0K	5,603	0	+5,603	open	—	01-31 17:39
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$4.3K	3,833	3,833	+0	open	—	02-16 17:25
btc updown 15m 1769877900	1	$4.0K	4,351	0	+4,351	open	—	01-31 16:49
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$3.8K	3,639	3,639	+0	open	—	01-16 07:54
lol dcg cfo 2026 01 31	9	$3.6K	2,668	2,668	+0	open	—	01-31 08:58
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$3.6K	2,501	2,501	+0	open	—	01-20 07:25
btc updown 15m 1769847300	21	$3.1K	2,480	1,424	+1,056	open	—	01-31 08:25
btc updown 15m 1769845500	35	$3.0K	4,263	3,123	+1,139	open	—	01-31 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-07 18:00:37	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$1	0x12c161…
04-07 18:00:15	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x44beba…
04-07 17:58:05	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xccb90d…
04-07 17:57:57	Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x7d69ec…
04-07 17:57:51	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x8e75b7…
04-07 17:57:17	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x5320de…
04-07 17:57:13	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x547f5d…
04-07 17:56:53	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	290	1¢	$3	0xfcd888…
04-07 17:56:49	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	220	2¢	$4	0x368a76…
04-07 17:56:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	874	0¢	$3	0x52564e…
04-07 17:56:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	131	3¢	$4	0x16607e…
04-07 17:56:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x90672b…
04-07 17:56:19	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x876192…
04-07 17:56:15	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	135	6¢	$8	0xb035b3…
03-31 23:38:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	474	42¢	$199	0xe4ae30…
03-31 01:08:27	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Bulls	SELL	9,952	2¢	$199	0x426205…
03-31 00:21:27	nba chi sas 2026 03 30	Bulls	BUY	9,974	8¢	$798	0x1d179f…
03-30 21:41:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	85	8¢	$7	0x6e019f…
03-30 21:40:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x4f6f7c…
03-30 21:09:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x278290…
03-30 21:06:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	290	8¢	$23	0x7957f8…
03-30 21:01:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	572	8¢	$46	0xe9ed62…
03-30 19:37:21	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 draw	Yes	SELL	145	6¢	$8	0xf6e5e2…
03-30 19:36:59	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 draw	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xc36ab9…
03-30 19:36:29	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0x6b5b2b…
03-30 19:08:09	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	Yes	BUY	710	88¢	$624	0x530199…
03-30 19:07:17	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0x94d0e7…
03-30 19:03:19	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	BUY	901	10¢	$90	0xf7da2c…
03-30 19:03:19	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	BUY	57	10¢	$6	0xd7516d…
03-30 19:03:19	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x9afc31…
03-30 18:56:23	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	SELL	367	1¢	$4	0xf1d026…
03-30 18:54:17	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf2d5c6…
03-30 18:54:17	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0xc4e501…
03-30 18:54:17	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x61288a…
03-30 18:54:17	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x406430…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff7d25…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	88	7¢	$6	0xf73186…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xba4525…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xb0e5c8…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xab7551…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x92001c…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x8cb4be…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8a8e1f…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x849250…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x7cb2e5…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x64b221…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x51f96d…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x39fe5e…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x097e86…
03-30 18:54:15	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x053271…
03-30 18:54:13	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xfbc8a1…
03-30 18:54:13	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x48a756…
03-30 18:54:11	btc updown 15m 1774896300	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xe61242…
03-30 18:39:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x842c9b…
03-30 18:31:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xd09c9f…
03-27 18:36:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	29,133	3¢	$826	0x795184…
03-24 21:09:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,878	22¢	$633	0xa917c1…
03-24 21:09:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,802	22¢	$396	0xa138e0…
03-24 21:09:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7,883	22¢	$1,734	0x0ce01e…
03-23 21:42:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	12,484	17¢	$2,122	0x05f282…
03-23 19:48:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,844	17¢	$483	0x672ff8…
03-23 19:48:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,243	17¢	$211	0x24e3cc…
03-23 03:45:51	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x13712d…
03-23 02:41:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd65ce8…
03-17 03:20:49	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xfcd5cd…
03-17 02:43:21	will troy win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x93ffa0…
03-17 02:43:13	will idaho win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x894d21…
03-17 02:43:05	will team 34 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3e4f24…
03-17 02:42:53	will kennesaw state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc7818c…
03-17 02:42:47	will high point win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	615	0¢	$1	0xe00047…
03-17 02:42:35	will liu win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x630167…
03-17 02:42:29	will north dakota state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e458f…
03-17 02:42:01	will northern iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55696b…
03-17 02:41:55	will smu win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x54c2ce…
03-17 02:41:47	will miami oh win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2efe20…
03-17 02:41:35	will umbc win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa7aed4…
03-17 02:41:29	will team 42 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae5b67…
03-17 02:41:21	will akron win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	569	0¢	$1	0x82be71…
03-17 02:41:13	will mcneese win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb72816…
03-17 02:41:05	will vcu win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3abe47…
03-17 02:40:59	will texas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1406e9…
03-17 02:40:49	will siena win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4f57d2…
03-17 02:40:43	will cal baptist win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe55a93…
03-17 02:40:33	will furman win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8b12d7…
03-17 02:40:27	will hawaii win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x89c304…
03-17 02:40:19	will queens win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcccfda…
03-17 02:40:11	will lehigh win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7eace5…
03-17 02:40:03	will penn win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7e1d98…
03-17 02:39:57	will tennessee state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x57d71b…
03-17 02:39:51	will team 41 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd38d0…
03-17 02:39:43	will team 43 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x91c51d…
03-17 02:39:31	will south florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x717e67…
03-17 02:39:17	will ucf win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3d62da…
03-17 02:39:11	will clemson win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6313e2…
03-17 02:39:03	will villanova win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0efe78…
03-17 02:38:55	will tcu win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfa50f9…
03-17 02:38:49	will ucla win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x785c57…
03-17 02:38:41	will saint louis win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	365	0¢	$1	0x8d5326…
03-17 02:31:29	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	280	1¢	$2	0xd1c39e…
03-17 02:31:23	will nc state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0x218c88…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	209	$64.1K	31,493	04-22 08:03
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	206	$783.9K	15,930	05-21 15:53
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	190	$4.19K	3,012	03-27 14:04
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	174	$59.9K	11,502	04-12 06:53
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	164	$129.5K	1,283	05-30 20:32
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	160	$1.23M	71,091	04-07 02:53
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	156	$14.8K	5,236	05-29 05:14
Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6	154	$377.4K	22,476	04-24 19:51