Joyous-Principal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.48K

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$420.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.08K

Open exposure

$13.5K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-26 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

79% 69% -$29,024

Other

20% 85% -$4,454

Sports

2% 80% +$897

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-14,487	-$10,351	82¢	$-11952	-$1,600	09-03 22:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+1,566	$1,441	100¢	$1.6K	+$117	10-26 18:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	16	$53.1K	29,248	29,248	+0	Yes	+$5,261	05-25 08:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	22	$38.2K	17,812	32,299	-14,487	open	—	09-03 22:32
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	8	$17.7K	9,431	9,431	+0	No	+$939	04-15 18:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$16.2K	8,346	8,346	+0	Yes	+$427	05-23 14:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	9	$15.1K	8,162	8,162	+0	Yes	+$1,196	08-05 13:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$14.5K	24,955	22,339	+2,616	No	-$7,243	10-25 23:20
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	4	$14.4K	7,447	7,447	+0	No	+$356	04-11 19:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	16	$14.2K	15,890	0	+15,890	No	-$14,169	05-25 13:19
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	7	$13.0K	6,712	6,712	+0	No	+$296	04-13 04:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$9.6K	10,686	0	+10,686	No	+$1,089	05-25 08:49
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	15	$9.6K	9,162	6,245	+2,917	Yes	-$7,596	07-19 09:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$9.5K	10,600	10,600	+0	No	-$9,258	05-22 22:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	8	$7.7K	4,115	4,115	+0	Yes	+$445	07-25 21:02
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$7.6K	9,505	0	+9,505	No	+$1,912	06-01 15:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	4	$7.5K	8,157	0	+8,157	No	-$7,520	05-25 08:45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$7.5K	4,624	4,624	+0	No	-$524	09-15 22:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$7.3K	4,124	4,122	+2	No	+$86	04-30 04:54
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	3	$6.6K	3,544	3,544	+0	Yes	+$466	07-29 19:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	3	$6.3K	3,310	3,310	+0	Yes	+$273	08-09 22:59
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	5	$6.1K	3,291	3,291	+0	No	+$392	04-23 02:17
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 6pt5	1	$6.1K	6,270	0	+6,270	Under	+$150	07-04 20:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$5.3K	3,395	3,395	+0	Yes	+$1,429	04-21 21:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	3	$5.3K	2,791	2,791	+0	No	+$193	08-28 19:14
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$5.0K	5,882	0	+5,882	Lakers	+$882	05-02 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	6	$4.9K	5,444	329	+5,115	No	+$877	04-30 04:55
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Morocco?	2	$4.7K	4,791	0	+4,791	No	+$51	07-04 10:28
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 5pt5	2	$4.6K	4,915	0	+4,915	Under	+$275	07-02 22:37
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?	3	$4.6K	4,689	0	+4,689	No	+$105	07-05 21:14
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$4.5K	4,891	0	+4,891	No	+$391	07-06 06:52
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$4.5K	7,140	0	+7,140	Yes	+$2,642	03-06 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:40:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,566	92¢	$1,441	0x256392…
10-26 18:39:39	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,567	92¢	$1,441	0xdede92…
10-26 04:36:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,567	93¢	$1,457	0x2d5ce7…
10-26 04:35:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	399	98¢	$390	0x0b006b…
10-26 04:35:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	790	98¢	$772	0x1430b6…
10-25 23:20:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,615	89¢	$2,330	0xcc66ed…
10-25 23:20:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22,339	10¢	$2,334	0xd3e65d…
10-05 23:24:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	181	84¢	$152	0xa26913…
10-01 01:44:59	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x68ab22…
10-01 01:44:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb12438…
10-01 01:44:26	Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?	Yes	BUY	123	85¢	$105	0xc3075f…
09-23 02:41:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	63	54¢	$34	0xd26f02…
09-23 02:41:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	115	28¢	$32	0x3d0f91…
09-15 23:05:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x1ecc23…
09-15 22:29:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6,308	53¢	$3,360	0x857a13…
09-15 22:28:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,624	75¢	$3,470	0xdad69a…
09-10 11:04:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0xe74149…
09-03 22:33:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10,741	44¢	$4,732	0x13419a…
09-03 22:33:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,218	44¢	$533	0xa9a82a…
09-03 22:32:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,359	85¢	$5,405	0x586322…
09-01 01:14:10	will wti reach 100 in september 2026	No	BUY	188	83¢	$156	0xecd0a3…
09-01 01:13:52	will wti reach 100 in september 2026	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xe43886…
09-01 01:13:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	106	84¢	$89	0x1122e7…
09-01 01:13:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	295	100¢	$294	0xdc9b94…
08-28 19:15:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	153	88¢	$135	0xed043e…
08-28 19:15:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,020	86¢	$2,611	0xc5e7e7…
08-28 19:14:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	SELL	2,791	99¢	$2,762	0x4fc0f8…
08-18 02:33:51	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	198	92¢	$182	0x461a20…
08-18 02:33:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	191	95¢	$182	0x39e4ff…
08-16 17:56:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,451	86¢	$1,248	0x95a21f…
08-16 17:55:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0xaeffda…
08-13 03:15:01	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,594	92¢	$2,386	0xe5c65d…
08-12 22:12:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xb87069…
08-12 22:11:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,877	28¢	$1,082	0xf385ca…
08-09 22:59:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	3,511	94¢	$3,300	0xbbc0ce…
08-09 22:59:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	3,310	100¢	$3,300	0xbf6f7d…
08-05 20:22:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2,802	91¢	$2,550	0x8f0754…
08-05 20:22:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xca4200…
08-05 13:13:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	338	85¢	$287	0x4de8f8…
08-05 13:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	260	89¢	$231	0x6774c6…
08-05 13:13:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	519	100¢	$518	0x4a3042…
08-05 13:12:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6,509	85¢	$5,533	0x717938…
08-05 13:11:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	5,539	100¢	$5,533	0x6a9eb2…
08-05 02:52:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xb824b1…
08-05 02:51:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x415afd…
08-05 02:51:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,412	85¢	$1,200	0xc762f3…
08-05 02:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xb5b108…
08-05 02:50:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xbf3d58…
08-05 02:50:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6572eb…
08-05 02:50:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x470fda…
08-05 02:50:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x40fd2a…
08-05 02:50:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe43758…
08-05 02:50:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x726fb0…
08-05 02:50:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x2026de…
08-05 02:50:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xd3c166…
08-05 02:50:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xca4e0e…
08-05 02:50:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x54b05b…
08-05 02:49:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	2,145	100¢	$2,141	0x249edf…
08-04 17:33:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	507	94¢	$477	0xd5ef4e…
08-04 17:33:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	478	100¢	$478	0xdf2092…
08-02 00:59:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2,209	92¢	$2,032	0xbf72fe…
08-02 00:58:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	2,034	100¢	$2,032	0x7c8344…
08-01 22:31:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	254	76¢	$193	0x840afa…
08-01 22:31:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x83cea9…
08-01 22:31:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xbc6dbe…
08-01 21:54:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1,691	78¢	$1,319	0x429453…
08-01 21:31:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	519	67¢	$348	0x07ce8b…
08-01 21:29:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1,670	76¢	$1,264	0x41072e…
07-30 11:26:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	733	91¢	$668	0xcb7e58…
07-30 11:25:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0xb849c2…
07-30 11:25:09	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xa86450…
07-30 11:24:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2,193	92¢	$2,014	0x5e013a…
07-30 11:24:05	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	275	91¢	$250	0xd7864b…
07-30 11:23:54	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	480	89¢	$428	0x6200ee…
07-29 19:49:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	SELL	3,544	100¢	$3,533	0xc3606a…
07-29 16:18:51	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	324	75¢	$242	0x4ac427…
07-29 16:18:32	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	372	92¢	$342	0x31ddc1…
07-29 16:17:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x8ba703…
07-29 16:17:39	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc1ab60…
07-29 16:17:23	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	SELL	137	97¢	$132	0x64c2ce…
07-29 16:17:14	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x1bc9b1…
07-29 16:17:03	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	584	97¢	$567	0x853db9…
07-27 11:44:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	138	92¢	$127	0xc58018…
07-25 21:07:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	3,104	87¢	$2,693	0x497fe2…
07-25 21:06:31	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	566	78¢	$443	0x2b2b47…
07-25 21:04:04	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	431	75¢	$323	0xaa657f…
07-25 21:03:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	191	65¢	$124	0x4b7dfb…
07-25 21:02:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	3,615	99¢	$3,582	0xbc8d39…
07-25 21:01:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	440	85¢	$374	0x0348e8…
07-25 21:01:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	377	99¢	$374	0x41849b…
07-25 20:59:57	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	Yes	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x5926c6…
07-25 20:59:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x21418d…
07-25 11:43:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	296	98¢	$289	0xec07af…
07-25 11:43:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x61931d…
07-25 11:13:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	1,088	98¢	$1,067	0x48c11e…
07-20 17:44:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	1,951	85¢	$1,658	0xe160d1…
07-20 17:43:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xde5600…
07-20 17:23:06	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	753	93¢	$700	0xb2ef42…
07-20 08:13:54	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	315	88¢	$277	0x9428d5…
07-20 08:10:54	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 31 2026 20260714210303209	No	BUY	137	93¢	$127	0x527e28…