Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

188

Trades

801

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$205

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 10-28 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

53% 65% -$1,125

Politics

41% 63% -$64

Crypto

5% 100% +$21

Sports

1% 50% +$2

Tech

1% 67% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	+200	$172	90¢	$181	+$9	08-15 13:38
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+200	$26	10¢	$19	-$7	08-15 19:07
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	No	+5	$2	92¢	$5	+$2	08-05 00:13
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	+5	$9	8¢	$0	-$8	08-08 16:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	32	$2.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	-$1,113	08-11 19:41
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	10	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$24	08-29 08:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	10	$1.2K	990	590	+400	No	-$316	08-28 18:20
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	16	$882	1,375	1,175	+200	No	+$154	08-30 19:16
will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	9	$770	465	465	+0	No	+$105	08-13 16:34
will bitcoin dip to 70k in august 2026	12	$416	400	200	+200	No	+$14	08-23 10:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$408	250	250	+0	open	—	08-25 16:01
W15 Sumter, SC: Juliana Nicole Singeorzan vs Isha Manchala	1	$374	377	0	+377	Juliana Nicole Singeorzan	+$3	10-27 16:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	21	$324	300	300	+0	Yes	+$37	08-05 14:32
will luan santana attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000739430	2	$289	166	166	+0	No	+$23	08-13 16:34
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	10	$282	350	350	+0	open	—	08-19 18:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$282	200	200	+0	No	+$2	08-19 22:05
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	6	$271	150	150	+0	No	+$4	08-22 23:48
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?	10	$259	140	135	+5	Yes	+$11	08-24 20:56
Grischa Prömel: 3+ shots	13	$236	412	25	+387	Yes	+$200	10-21 01:32
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	8	$236	835	835	+0	No	-$20	08-30 19:13
Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan	1	$234	350	0	+350	open	—	10-28 11:59
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	1	$224	350	0	+350	Valentin Vacherot	+$126	10-25 12:22
Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	2	$215	215	0	+215	Yes	+$0	10-07 02:38
us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	3	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	08-17 12:38
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?	2	$199	123	119	+4	No	-$1	08-23 16:47
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	6	$198	400	0	+400	open	—	08-15 19:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	25	$195	420	420	+0	open	—	09-06 22:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	4	$184	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	08-05 07:11
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$184	200	0	+200	Yes	+$16	07-19 01:21
will gareth bale attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630271	4	$182	95	95	+0	No	+$3	08-14 13:45
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	9	$172	175	175	+0	Yes	-$55	08-16 12:31
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	4	$169	100	100	+0	No	+$3	08-11 19:38
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	3	$165	100	100	+0	No	+$7	07-23 23:29
Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	2	$159	301	0	+301	Alan Magadan	-$143	10-26 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:59:47	Guayaquil: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	350	67¢	$234	0x4e45bb…
10-27 16:22:17	W15 Sumter, SC: Juliana Nicole Singeorzan vs Isha Manchala	Juliana Nicole Singeorzan	BUY	377	99¢	$374	0xf95554…
10-26 16:02:03	Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Knutson	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	31	69¢	$22	0xf23b3d…
10-26 12:55:42	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	285	53¢	$151	0xdd8081…
10-26 12:52:48	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Alan Magadan	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xb63bf3…
10-25 12:22:05	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	350	64¢	$224	0x62a073…
10-21 21:35:11	ucl spo lin2 2026 10 21 shots maximiliano araujo 90061407 gte2	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x565f1d…
10-21 21:34:50	ucl spo lin2 2026 10 21 shots maximiliano araujo 90061407 gte2	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xac928c…
10-21 01:32:29	Grischa Prömel: 3+ shots	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf884fd…
10-21 01:30:48	Grischa Prömel: 3+ shots	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcda39f…
10-21 01:30:47	Grischa Prömel: 3+ shots	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd8f28b…
10-21 00:57:56	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xe8a1b5…
10-21 00:57:29	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb3b177…
10-21 00:57:21	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0xf71be7…
10-21 00:57:17	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x6d649d…
10-21 00:56:45	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x870fad…
10-21 00:56:41	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x75db30…
10-21 00:56:33	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xeb20ff…
10-21 00:56:27	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd4b6c7…
10-21 00:56:27	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8526a8…
10-21 00:56:15	ucl stu atm 2026 10 20 shots grischa promel 90074463 gte3	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf3d2f3…
10-07 02:38:47	Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x69eb49…
10-07 02:38:27	Will ADI win the second-most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5790c…
09-26 01:53:50	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xcbed48…
09-26 01:50:45	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x2b598f…
09-24 22:42:11	Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$54	0x8349cc…
09-21 14:01:57	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x14e609…
09-20 22:18:50	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xfc3b66…
09-06 22:14:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	16¢	$25	0x1c75bb…
09-06 21:42:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	16¢	$19	0x5fc593…
09-06 21:20:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	16¢	$20	0xacca27…
08-30 19:16:07	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x3d67f3…
08-30 19:15:55	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x0376cb…
08-30 19:13:12	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xdffca2…
08-30 00:12:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x026c64…
08-29 21:17:46	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x117cc6…
08-29 16:03:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xceb729…
08-29 08:49:49	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x2fdeb9…
08-28 18:20:00	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x89f37b…
08-28 01:33:00	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xc5a38d…
08-26 21:49:46	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x6742f3…
08-26 16:27:48	GitHub.com critical incident by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xd2a7a4…
08-26 11:11:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xbc25e0…
08-26 08:01:30	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe919d1…
08-25 22:41:16	Will Solana reach $120 in August?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x137353…
08-25 19:59:27	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x7afe88…
08-25 19:45:33	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x93a5fc…
08-25 17:06:55	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	235	34¢	$80	0xd67430…
08-25 16:01:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xa894a6…
08-25 14:38:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0x5b5fae…
08-25 14:37:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	206	34¢	$70	0x5bec0a…
08-25 13:29:18	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x2732de…
08-25 11:16:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xabe064…
08-25 11:12:36	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x72ab81…
08-25 10:03:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	190	76¢	$144	0x42f1bd…
08-25 09:40:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	235	33¢	$78	0x7d95f8…
08-25 06:48:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	235	37¢	$87	0x289e56…
08-25 05:06:57	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xa00b82…
08-24 20:56:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?	Yes	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x82cb5a…
08-24 20:53:52	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0a4465…
08-24 20:53:52	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0095f3…
08-24 20:52:43	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by August 31?	Yes	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x791c34…
08-24 05:13:42	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x2c953e…
08-24 00:22:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	95	35¢	$33	0xb263df…
08-23 22:10:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0xac732c…
08-23 20:53:58	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0xd0925e…
08-23 20:53:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x93e08d…
08-23 20:49:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	209	36¢	$75	0x3eb6ec…
08-23 20:45:18	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	155	75¢	$116	0x7dfeae…
08-23 20:42:46	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb456cf…
08-23 20:40:45	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xa1411a…
08-23 20:35:22	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	235	35¢	$82	0x698655…
08-23 20:34:42	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xccd734…
08-23 20:03:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	SELL	235	36¢	$85	0x08eb72…
08-23 19:58:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	235	35¢	$82	0xedd0b7…
08-23 18:23:48	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xdce089…
08-23 16:47:15	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	119	83¢	$99	0xae83e6…
08-23 16:43:06	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xbf2b64…
08-23 16:31:24	Alexander Sorloth: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x56682b…
08-23 10:19:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	81	82¢	$67	0x0167da…
08-23 09:36:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$14	0x7a5c8c…
08-23 09:16:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xab07fd…
08-23 08:54:07	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xd00bb7…
08-23 08:53:39	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xcb8765…
08-23 08:52:16	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x61bac7…
08-23 08:20:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xf48dc6…
08-23 08:20:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	BUY	97	78¢	$75	0x0f4fa0…
08-23 06:12:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x1ee774…
08-23 03:11:37	extended listed on binance within 30 days of tge	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xcf3625…
08-23 00:53:43	will solana reach 120 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xc2bcef…
08-22 23:48:01	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x1e93b3…
08-22 22:26:52	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x117e84…
08-22 16:17:15	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xa64525…
08-22 16:06:52	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x6fa9ed…
08-22 15:39:58	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x2dc124…
08-22 15:19:30	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x33fff5…
08-22 14:56:25	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x668434…
08-22 13:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	94	83¢	$78	0x330280…
08-22 11:12:42	will bitcoin dip to 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xfc7d45…
08-22 10:15:12	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3d1375…