Near-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

3,028

Trades

3,966

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-27 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 71% -$200

Other

10% 43% -$220

Sports

0% 80% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$213	107	107	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7PM ET	2	$118	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	09-14 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-15 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	10-03 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:00 UTC	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	10-03 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:45 UTC	2	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	10-03 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	10-03 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-14 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2PM ET	3	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-15 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6PM ET	1	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-14 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET	1	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-14 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8PM ET	1	$104	107	0	+107	Down	+$3	09-15 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	09-16 11:38
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	1	$65	130	0	+130	No	+$65	07-02 20:45
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	1	$65	125	0	+125	No	-$65	07-18 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	2	$64	33	33	+0	Up	+$0	10-01 01:28
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	2	$64	114	0	+114	Over	-$62	07-01 17:22
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$64	168	0	+168	Argentina	-$64	07-07 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 18:30 UTC	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	-$60	09-14 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 18:15 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-14 18:22
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$60	177	0	+177	Spain	-$60	07-06 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 17:45 UTC	1	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-14 17:58
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$59	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	07-18 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 16:15 UTC	1	$56	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	09-14 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 16:45 UTC	1	$56	58	0	+58	Up	+$2	09-14 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x260e04…
10-27 12:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x443e34…
10-27 07:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8797c0…
10-27 05:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8e2ca4…
10-27 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa8fa2a…
10-27 01:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcbfcd9…
10-27 00:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb1bd5…
10-26 23:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7156bb…
10-26 20:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc45a10…
10-26 20:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5ed813…
10-26 20:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd672b…
10-26 18:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf655cd…
10-26 17:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x38261f…
10-26 16:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d0b9d…
10-26 16:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ab573…
10-26 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1c81db…
10-26 15:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4016f7…
10-26 15:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4d4592…
10-26 15:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc20ce9…
10-26 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeb553d…
10-26 14:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x63e313…
10-26 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x04a8cc…
10-26 13:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x682801…
10-26 13:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x27cf24…
10-26 12:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70276e…
10-26 11:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51c5d4…
10-26 10:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf462fb…
10-26 09:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27badb…
10-26 08:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8285df…
10-26 08:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbe5ea…
10-26 08:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x451239…
10-26 06:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3ee11…
10-26 06:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe39f07…
10-26 04:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1b140…
10-26 03:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fb491…
10-26 03:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x105260…
10-26 02:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x622e8a…
10-26 01:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x13178f…
10-26 00:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2eba1c…
10-25 23:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb941e…
10-25 23:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9c093…
10-25 23:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34ee1a…
10-25 22:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b3506…
10-25 21:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc5556…
10-25 16:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7ab85…
10-25 15:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f6a0f…
10-25 14:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3155c0…
10-25 14:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6519ca…
10-25 14:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd7be9…
10-25 13:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82a227…
10-25 12:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf92ec3…
10-25 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0096ff…
10-25 12:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x344b22…
10-25 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a2c37…
10-25 10:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60398f…
10-25 10:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e7040…
10-25 09:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21fe6c…
10-25 09:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb89cf0…
10-25 08:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87bd67…
10-25 08:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21bf53…
10-25 07:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x74ff50…
10-25 06:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x389018…
10-25 05:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68593e…
10-25 04:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e022c…
10-25 03:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa23147…
10-25 02:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61c245…
10-25 02:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab24f4…
10-25 01:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf3e78…
10-25 00:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ab831…
10-24 23:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1d8ec…
10-24 22:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d16cc…
10-24 21:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1792b8…
10-24 21:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b5a81…
10-24 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8209ec…
10-24 20:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc60f51…
10-23 20:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xecdfa0…
10-23 16:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4db33d…
10-23 16:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedd717…
10-23 15:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e9e06…
10-23 15:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab9ec5…
10-23 15:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x682f9a…
10-23 15:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb281fc…
10-23 14:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa1154e…
10-23 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb1830…
10-23 12:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba5756…
10-23 12:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0404e8…
10-23 12:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x546783…
10-23 12:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3fce43…
10-23 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x554ec9…
10-23 12:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65506a…
10-23 11:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf61f79…
10-23 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee7df1…
10-23 11:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa98e50…
10-23 11:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a0eb7…
10-23 11:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cdde2…
10-23 11:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb8a0d…
10-23 11:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfae1c4…
10-23 10:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf173a0…
10-23 10:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3805cd…
10-21 15:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xcb8c71…