Near-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$416

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

3,696

Trades

4,731

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 11-15 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 74% -$199

Other

9% 43% -$220

Sports

0% 80% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$213	107	107	+0	Up	+$1	10-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7PM ET	2	$118	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	09-14 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-15 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-15 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	10-03 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:00 UTC	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	10-03 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:45 UTC	2	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	10-03 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	10-03 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Up	+$1	09-18 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5PM ET	1	$106	107	0	+107	Down	+$1	09-14 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2PM ET	3	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-15 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6PM ET	1	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-14 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET	1	$105	107	0	+107	Down	+$2	09-14 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8PM ET	1	$104	107	0	+107	Down	+$3	09-15 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	09-16 11:38
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	1	$65	130	0	+130	No	+$65	07-02 20:45
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	1	$65	125	0	+125	No	-$65	07-18 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	2	$64	33	33	+0	Up	+$0	10-01 01:28
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	2	$64	114	0	+114	Over	-$62	07-01 17:22
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$64	168	0	+168	Argentina	-$64	07-07 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 18:30 UTC	2	$60	61	0	+61	Up	-$60	09-14 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 18:15 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	09-14 18:22
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$60	177	0	+177	Spain	-$60	07-06 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 17:45 UTC	1	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-14 17:58
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	2	$59	120	120	+0	Yes	-$1	07-18 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 16:15 UTC	1	$56	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	09-14 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 16:45 UTC	1	$56	58	0	+58	Up	+$2	09-14 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 11:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d7536…
11-15 11:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xecd9b4…
11-15 11:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x67b81f…
11-15 11:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69e90f…
11-15 10:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5a4cc…
11-15 10:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1420e3…
11-15 09:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd8b473…
11-15 09:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b2c8e…
11-15 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x23ed03…
11-15 08:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x32f303…
11-15 07:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f8165…
11-15 07:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8ab2b…
11-15 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf6fcfc…
11-15 07:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e3be8…
11-15 06:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x614fd5…
11-15 06:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5136ec…
11-15 05:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b8122…
11-15 05:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57396d…
11-15 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb4eb43…
11-15 03:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa63c8d…
11-15 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c2487…
11-15 02:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x592102…
11-15 02:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x17086b…
11-15 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2da27…
11-15 01:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x81924c…
11-15 01:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd6c5e1…
11-15 01:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x848437…
11-15 00:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9b95a…
11-15 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb762f5…
11-15 00:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4b8032…
11-14 23:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x089337…
11-14 23:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea837e…
11-14 22:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb15811…
11-14 22:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0e381…
11-14 22:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x295e97…
11-14 22:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7edef3…
11-14 21:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f7d6d…
11-14 21:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbfcc1b…
11-14 21:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d2f7f…
11-14 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x462f37…
11-14 20:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8acf8…
11-14 19:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbab2f4…
11-14 19:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f1b49…
11-14 19:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x87e292…
11-14 19:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8226de…
11-14 19:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c928e…
11-14 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa508e3…
11-14 18:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcbf4f8…
11-14 17:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78c9ba…
11-14 17:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd89d64…
11-14 17:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x79aea3…
11-14 16:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb46704…
11-14 15:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4b0451…
11-14 15:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02dc1c…
11-14 15:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe0b5ec…
11-14 15:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfa8241…
11-14 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75625b…
11-14 14:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdfe7b8…
11-14 14:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff4605…
11-14 13:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5858b2…
11-14 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08f4b2…
11-14 13:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x18060d…
11-14 13:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb36c06…
11-14 13:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x12bd71…
11-14 12:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34c310…
11-14 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x367a11…
11-14 09:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa72bfa…
11-14 09:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x55e7a8…
11-14 09:24:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62c38b…
11-14 09:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7822c…
11-14 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9bf0c…
11-14 08:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x093d7f…
11-14 08:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd033d9…
11-14 07:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad091a…
11-14 07:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e2e6f…
11-14 07:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9a289a…
11-14 06:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ff2fd…
11-14 06:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3a44f…
11-14 05:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7457b8…
11-14 05:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8f16c…
11-14 05:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd53254…
11-14 05:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21bf23…
11-14 04:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa14d59…
11-14 04:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x44e13b…
11-14 03:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x05f7fc…
11-14 03:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x07ef86…
11-14 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf77a8f…
11-14 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76e6a4…
11-14 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x813e6d…
11-14 02:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9757a0…
11-14 01:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4e40a…
11-14 01:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd885da…
11-14 01:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6d16f…
11-14 00:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x856127…
11-14 00:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea6e79…
11-14 00:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2967b5…
11-14 00:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x114ad5…
11-13 23:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x804762…
11-13 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde1f07…
11-13 23:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e030d…