Frank-Ballpark — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved (30d)

2,848

Trades (30d)

7,639

44,453 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$73.0K

$302.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-16 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 94% +$5,270

Other

2% 94% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1650 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	5	$977	987	0	+987	Yes	+$10	04-13 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:45 UTC	14	$890	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$110	04-09 19:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:40 UTC	44	$874	500	420	+80	Up	+$29	04-22 05:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 09:00 UTC	5	$591	600	0	+600	Down	+$9	04-23 09:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:20 UTC	8	$576	583	0	+583	Down	+$8	04-22 22:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-23 08:00 UTC	1	$572	584	0	+584	Down	+$12	04-23 10:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	8	$540	550	0	+550	Up	+$10	04-22 17:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:20 UTC	3	$502	510	10	+500	Down	-$2	04-22 16:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:15 UTC	5	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-22 22:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:55 UTC	2	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-22 05:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:25 UTC	1	$495	500	0	+500	Up	+$5	04-22 20:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:35 UTC	1	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	04-22 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 19:35 UTC	8	$455	465	0	+465	Up	+$9	04-09 19:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:15 UTC	6	$443	450	0	+450	Down	+$7	04-22 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 16:00 UTC	24	$431	410	310	+100	Down	+$69	06-25 16:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:50 UTC	3	$415	420	0	+420	Up	+$5	04-22 11:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 16:40 UTC	2	$392	400	0	+400	Down	+$8	04-22 16:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:00 UTC	4	$386	398	0	+398	Up	+$12	04-22 21:03
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	9	$347	191	191	+0	No	+$22	06-30 17:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:00 UTC	9	$346	363	0	+363	Up	+$17	04-22 11:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:10 UTC	13	$338	400	0	+400	Up	+$62	04-21 20:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 05:35 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	04-22 05:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:40 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-22 11:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:30 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	04-23 08:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:35 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-22 17:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:55 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-22 05:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 11:45 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-22 11:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:10 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	04-22 18:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 10:45 UTC	1	$292	300	0	+300	Up	+$8	04-22 10:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:20 UTC	2	$291	300	0	+300	Down	+$9	04-22 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 11:01:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x725dc2…
10-16 11:01:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x80b7ea…
10-16 10:59:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5aa78b…
10-16 10:49:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcb68d6…
10-16 10:48:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2f9f82…
10-16 10:41:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x532012…
10-16 10:41:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x28e3fa…
10-16 10:41:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x191490…
10-16 10:41:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc70099…
10-16 10:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf801a4…
10-16 10:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x811529…
10-16 10:40:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x17645a…
10-16 10:38:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x874c5e…
10-16 10:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x53fff3…
10-16 10:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xe86015…
10-16 10:32:30	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb5fcb9…
10-16 10:32:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xb53504…
10-16 10:32:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x21b1c3…
10-16 10:32:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x444c32…
10-16 10:31:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6263b7…
10-16 10:31:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xca1b26…
10-16 10:31:21	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x69b406…
10-16 10:27:58	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x69695c…
10-16 10:24:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x3ccd67…
10-16 10:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3b253b…
10-16 10:22:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8668b4…
10-16 10:22:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b1c42…
10-16 10:21:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8c72df…
10-16 10:20:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb22bf9…
10-16 10:18:57	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa650f0…
10-16 10:18:33	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5fb9e8…
10-16 10:17:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x417f09…
10-16 10:07:46	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x57e08a…
10-16 10:02:00	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4f3234…
10-16 10:01:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1bab7a…
10-16 10:01:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0ed85…
10-16 10:01:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2db457…
10-16 10:01:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdf2413…
10-16 10:01:16	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x672ee4…
10-16 10:01:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x621ff6…
10-16 10:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xabea96…
10-16 10:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9d54ed…
10-16 10:01:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x955d1b…
10-16 10:00:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf6876f…
10-16 09:53:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xed901e…
10-16 09:53:19	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x982ffc…
10-16 09:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xd0778f…
10-16 09:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2d44e5…
10-16 09:51:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x64b4f5…
10-16 09:49:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdaeda1…
10-16 09:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf4c231…
10-16 09:41:40	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb8b332…
10-16 09:41:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9e3d2b…
10-16 09:41:21	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcf6b2c…
10-16 09:41:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6262f7…
10-16 09:41:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0203c6…
10-16 09:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xbe4646…
10-16 09:41:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf58173…
10-16 09:38:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xaef01b…
10-16 09:38:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6bd2fe…
10-16 09:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x110519…
10-16 09:33:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x27de70…
10-16 09:33:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x30bb48…
10-16 09:31:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd420c9…
10-16 09:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7551cb…
10-16 09:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x00393d…
10-16 09:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x374bda…
10-16 09:22:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x974eea…
10-16 09:18:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6e48a6…
10-16 09:18:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc57959…
10-16 09:16:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc07c59…
10-16 09:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xda0838…
10-16 09:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbb1e96…
10-16 09:13:43	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x5af4f9…
10-16 09:08:01	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf5b359…
10-16 09:07:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0d92fd…
10-16 09:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x217d91…
10-16 09:02:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9a627b…
10-16 09:01:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x888ce6…
10-16 09:01:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf9b32b…
10-16 09:01:07	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x89964e…
10-16 09:00:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xae6a42…
10-16 09:00:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x82991b…
10-16 09:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5ef092…
10-16 09:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x400ac5…
10-16 09:00:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x227aa1…
10-16 09:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6ecb21…
10-16 08:53:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30890b…
10-16 08:49:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc7be27…
10-16 08:44:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbcebf0…
10-16 08:43:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7090e5…
10-16 08:43:24	BNB Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xa71eb6…
10-16 08:42:22	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfacd5a…
10-16 08:38:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaedd47…
10-16 08:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x01d5c8…
10-16 08:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x98bd94…
10-16 08:36:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2945ff…
10-16 08:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xe79705…
10-16 08:34:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xc750fe…
10-16 08:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x8c2528…