Mean-Vulture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-14 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% -$123

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Other

0% 86% -$2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 7	16	$18.8K	9,430	9,430	+0	Yes	+$9	01-07 05:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:00 UTC	4	$165	203	0	+203	Down	+$39	01-07 05:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:15 UTC	1	$157	200	0	+200	Down	-$157	01-07 05:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:00 UTC	1	$103	200	0	+200	Down	+$97	01-07 04:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	5	$80	200	0	+200	Down	+$120	01-07 04:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	8	$80	200	0	+200	Up	-$80	01-07 05:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:45 UTC	3	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	01-07 04:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	8	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	01-07 04:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 00:15 UTC	1	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$8	01-07 00:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-11 08:43
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-09 05:24
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	04-07 06:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-21 11:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-21 11:40
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	02-11 08:44
will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-07 06:09
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-11 00:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-09 05:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-14 04:00
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	09-20 01:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-15 04:38
Will Ørjan Nyland win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-11 05:59
highest temperature in chongqing on april 8 2026 21c	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-07 06:09
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-21 11:41
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-11 00:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-07 00:00
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-11 08:44
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-09 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 04:00:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x83bfce…
09-20 01:27:40	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x607c27…
08-15 04:38:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x52fa76…
07-11 05:59:05	Will Ørjan Nyland win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x002581…
06-11 00:27:49	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b6379…
06-11 00:27:36	Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcfeee9…
05-09 05:25:05	Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x641687…
05-09 05:24:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a7af2…
05-09 05:24:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x3252bc…
04-07 06:09:59	highest temperature in chongqing on april 8 2026 21c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae50c4…
04-07 06:09:13	will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6a566e…
04-07 06:08:55	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x25b44e…
03-21 11:41:11	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c969c…
03-21 11:40:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb205cd…
03-21 11:40:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x006a18…
02-11 08:44:13	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47bc71…
02-11 08:44:05	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc3d338…
02-11 08:43:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ce2dc…
01-07 05:34:43	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	846	100¢	$846	0x36635f…
01-07 05:33:11	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xa15f95…
01-07 05:32:39	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x7baed9…
01-07 05:32:09	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x6371d2…
01-07 05:30:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	40¢	$23	0xcaecde…
01-07 05:30:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc1985b…
01-07 05:30:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x4d30bb…
01-07 05:30:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x225e04…
01-07 05:30:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xff1573…
01-07 05:30:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8776d1…
01-07 05:30:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x2cb021…
01-07 05:30:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7aa5e1…
01-07 05:29:03	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x986e42…
01-07 05:27:53	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xf4814d…
01-07 05:27:51	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	501	100¢	$500	0x8dec2e…
01-07 05:27:33	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xdce9b0…
01-07 05:27:13	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xe33224…
01-07 05:26:51	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x1d83f5…
01-07 05:26:29	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x90caf3…
01-07 05:20:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x5a77a4…
01-07 05:06:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x614631…
01-07 05:05:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	75¢	$53	0xf9ee83…
01-07 05:05:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xef27ec…
01-07 05:05:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9d9daa…
01-07 04:49:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xf928e0…
01-07 04:49:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	119	40¢	$47	0xa9f395…
01-07 04:49:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c0e72…
01-07 04:32:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0x499f91…
01-07 04:32:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x41f638…
01-07 04:30:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xca52eb…
01-07 04:30:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0xaefc6e…
01-07 04:30:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	61	40¢	$24	0x734d44…
01-07 04:16:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0x1ebdc9…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xffebda…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x893084…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6555a6…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x53b152…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x44f7b9…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x0875ee…
01-07 04:16:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x049463…
01-07 04:03:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	51¢	$103	0x296b31…
01-07 03:01:15	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,030	0x0656b2…
01-07 03:00:01	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x67dddd…
01-07 02:59:37	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	BUY	884	100¢	$882	0x2a1d95…
01-07 02:52:11	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	SELL	7,013	100¢	$7,006	0x7875cc…
01-07 00:59:13	bitcoin above 86k on january 7	Yes	BUY	7,013	100¢	$6,999	0x6e5854…
01-07 00:20:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe44137…
01-07 00:00:39	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x511c31…