Yummy-Effective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-16 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

76% 65% +$725

Other

22% 32% -$585

Crypto

1% 20% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$5.4K	2,949	2,949	+0	No	+$498	06-01 07:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$4.4K	2,485	2,485	+0	No	+$481	05-12 09:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$2.0K	2,498	0	+2,498	No	+$496	01-21 23:23
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$1.0K	560	560	+0	No	+$67	03-20 10:42
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	2	$894	499	499	+0	Yes	+$103	03-13 07:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$754	1,019	0	+1,019	Yes	-$754	06-03 20:08
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	1	$545	729	0	+729	Yes	-$545	03-20 10:43
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	8	$476	500	500	+0	Up	-$16	03-22 14:04
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	1	$348	494	0	+494	No	+$146	03-18 09:24
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$255	307	0	+307	No	+$52	01-16 15:58
will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	3	$247	150	150	+0	No	+$5	03-23 14:30
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$237	255	0	+255	No	+$18	01-15 08:00
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$223	237	0	+237	No	+$14	01-14 09:12
israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	1	$215	223	0	+223	No	+$8	01-13 08:20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	1	$182	404	0	+404	No	-$182	09-16 16:43
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	1	$100	172	0	+172	Yes	-$100	01-26 18:24
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?	1	$100	357	0	+357	No	-$100	04-25 16:56
will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	4	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	03-23 14:30
will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	3	$86	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	03-22 19:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$80	894	0	+894	No	-$80	03-24 12:37
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	2	$80	60	60	+0	No	+$40	03-06 17:15
will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	2	$50	29	29	+0	No	+$8	02-15 15:21
cdr val ath 2026 02 04 ath	1	$48	129	0	+129	Yes	+$82	02-04 17:23
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	2	$41	31	31	+0	Yes	+$21	03-04 17:33
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	1	$30	53	0	+53	No	-$30	03-10 16:29
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$25	27	0	+27	No	+$2	02-09 20:24
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	3	$25	93	10	+83	No	-$5	03-13 15:59
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$25	62	0	+62	No	-$25	03-10 16:27
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	1	$25	56	0	+56	Yes	+$31	02-17 17:43
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	1	$25	42	0	+42	Yes	+$17	03-07 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 16:43:02	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	404	45¢	$182	0x3b110e…
06-03 20:08:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,019	74¢	$754	0x1fd195…
06-01 07:48:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,949	100¢	$2,946	0x135004…
05-12 09:29:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,949	83¢	$2,448	0x8529f3…
05-12 09:26:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,485	98¢	$2,448	0x7face9…
05-08 14:17:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	550	82¢	$451	0xd6427a…
05-08 13:53:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,252	80¢	$1,000	0x07e1db…
05-07 14:20:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	683	76¢	$516	0xeb9814…
04-25 16:56:52	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x8e1ff6…
03-24 12:37:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	894	9¢	$80	0xe8e3f1…
03-23 14:30:23	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	No	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0xaefff6…
03-23 14:30:09	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf537bd…
03-23 10:10:11	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x21ae18…
03-23 08:56:07	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6c031e…
03-23 08:51:33	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x5bfb0a…
03-22 19:36:25	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xee0fb6…
03-22 14:04:45	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0xb55896…
03-22 12:42:45	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	86	48¢	$41	0x9559e7…
03-22 12:35:25	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x99a4de…
03-22 12:29:23	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	99	48¢	$48	0xd0aa5f…
03-22 11:21:09	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Down	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0x7bf615…
03-22 10:51:17	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x5e1326…
03-22 10:44:35	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x5866c8…
03-22 10:33:13	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x82450f…
03-22 10:24:51	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x857b16…
03-21 17:55:51	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	42	87¢	$36	0xc25320…
03-21 17:47:47	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xc49932…
03-21 17:47:41	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x0f7ef8…
03-20 10:43:37	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	729	75¢	$545	0xf0b4cf…
03-20 10:42:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	560	97¢	$545	0xbe6d76…
03-18 09:24:49	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	BUY	494	70¢	$348	0xc882d8…
03-14 08:01:51	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	560	85¢	$479	0x2f5205…
03-13 15:59:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x084fb8…
03-13 11:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf80217…
03-13 08:42:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x86d9c5…
03-13 08:41:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedd567…
03-13 07:00:25	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	SELL	499	100¢	$498	0x59208c…
03-12 16:32:59	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	Yes	BUY	499	79¢	$395	0x3400f0…
03-10 16:29:13	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x53594f…
03-10 16:27:49	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xa1e8b1…
03-10 11:27:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa14d95…
03-10 11:23:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x1e8e2b…
03-10 07:37:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	Yes	BUY	195	3¢	$5	0x0cbf55…
03-10 07:37:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa62a31…
03-10 07:36:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x89499c…
03-10 07:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb0e117…
03-10 07:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7a1eef…
03-09 19:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x86b903…
03-09 18:48:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xfec6ce…
03-09 18:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3ce439…
03-09 18:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x122f1e…
03-09 18:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x642ee1…
03-09 18:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe9b274…
03-09 18:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc816a5…
03-09 18:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb5a594…
03-09 16:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb3b79…
03-09 16:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xbe9d39…
03-08 12:36:35	lal get bet 2026 03 07 bet	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x480cea…
03-07 08:54:19	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xd7633e…
03-06 17:18:41	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd792c7…
03-06 17:17:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xb42c45…
03-06 17:17:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 7	No	BUY	126	9¢	$11	0xd39648…
03-06 17:15:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 6	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf1bfd5…
03-05 18:42:41	bitcoin above 70k on march 6	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xf8a337…
03-04 19:49:25	bitcoin above 74k on march 5	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x49942f…
03-04 17:33:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 4	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x41bfe8…
03-04 11:18:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa395ee…
03-04 11:18:01	bitcoin above 72k on march 4	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x430a4b…
03-02 18:17:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x754105…
03-02 18:17:07	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xccb950…
03-02 18:16:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8de7e2…
03-02 18:16:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x741429…
03-02 18:16:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1dfaf5…
02-17 17:43:43	ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x23b839…
02-15 15:21:45	will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x9f6076…
02-13 15:34:17	will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0xac691a…
02-13 15:05:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xec9595…
02-10 17:13:33	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	No	BUY	137	15¢	$20	0x9cdc9a…
02-09 20:24:21	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc6ea62…
02-09 20:24:09	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x032702…
02-09 20:23:49	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf90c53…
02-09 20:23:33	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2e71d6…
02-04 17:23:57	cdr val ath 2026 02 04 ath	Yes	BUY	129	37¢	$48	0x9e7aa1…
01-26 18:24:59	will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd3aad7…
01-21 23:23:00	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	2,498	80¢	$2,002	0xe37879…
01-16 15:58:18	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	307	83¢	$255	0x285423…
01-15 08:00:26	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	255	93¢	$237	0x68561c…
01-14 09:12:46	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	237	94¢	$223	0xc0e7df…
01-13 08:20:39	israel strikes iran by january 13 2026	No	BUY	223	97¢	$215	0x0a8e7c…