Intelligent-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$415

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

423

Trades

5,474

lifetime

Volume

$87.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-27 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

88% 30% +$404

Crypto

12% 75% -$1

Sports

0% 52% +$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$14.6K	7,580	7,580	+0	No	+$114	05-14 03:09
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	50	$4.0K	2,050	2,050	+0	No	+$1	03-11 17:03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	99	$2.9K	1,541	1,541	+0	No	+$0	03-12 01:45
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	20	$2.5K	1,351	1,350	+0	No	+$151	04-22 07:05
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	84	$2.3K	2,682	2,082	+600	Yes	+$131	03-10 17:04
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	29	$1.9K	2,120	1,820	+300	No	-$61	03-16 07:48
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	24	$1.9K	941	941	+0	No	+$1	03-11 07:44
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	76	$1.8K	2,769	2,569	+200	Yes	+$185	02-13 13:42
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	93	$1.8K	4,011	4,011	+0	No	+$136	03-10 18:09
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	39	$1.7K	1,686	1,444	+242	No	-$142	02-24 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	12	$1.7K	1,571	1,571	+0	No	-$540	05-22 13:12
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	17	$1.5K	1,187	674	+513	Yes	+$112	04-22 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	30	$1.2K	902	602	+300	Yes	+$209	03-16 13:35
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	39	$1.1K	1,691	1,385	+306	Yes	+$31	02-24 16:32
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	62	$1.1K	1,982	1,692	+290	No	-$28	02-13 14:12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	9	$1.1K	998	998	+0	No	+$115	05-14 17:54
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	46	$1.0K	1,088	857	+231	No	-$121	04-15 15:38
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	55	$981	1,153	776	+377	Yes	+$36	02-27 16:42
will bnb dip to 400 in march	11	$872	450	450	+0	No	-$3	03-15 08:47
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	26	$791	751	725	+27	Yes	+$289	04-01 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	43	$783	906	584	+322	No	-$222	03-10 10:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	19	$744	460	459	+1	Yes	+$124	04-21 15:31
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	18	$705	366	366	+0	No	+$9	04-15 08:47
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	13	$703	525	231	+294	Yes	-$7	02-25 16:37
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	12	$666	709	79	+630	Yes	+$20	04-10 14:41
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	25	$650	330	330	+0	No	+$0	03-11 15:29
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	49	$626	1,113	1,113	+1	Yes	-$28	04-20 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	28	$625	1,876	976	+900	No	+$2	02-27 14:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	7	$623	545	82	+464	No	+$1	03-12 09:13
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	181	$605	2,118	2,118	+0	No	-$16	02-13 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 18:12:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	846	25¢	$211	0xf56955…
05-27 10:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	443	5¢	$21	0xd12d70…
05-24 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xfd4d05…
05-23 19:46:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0xbf2c64…
05-22 13:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	451	25¢	$113	0x936f91…
05-22 13:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x7a1a33…
05-22 13:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc36f78…
05-22 13:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0xc40d2f…
05-22 12:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x22394d…
05-22 12:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	641	39¢	$251	0x58fb61…
05-22 12:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x7433e4…
05-22 12:43:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	74¢	$89	0x64819c…
05-22 12:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	74¢	$84	0x990a32…
05-22 10:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xcb2654…
05-22 09:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,375	80¢	$1,096	0x3118fd…
05-17 20:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	5¢	$9	0x48cb49…
05-17 13:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,353	0¢	$19	0x6584f8…
05-15 17:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	6¢	$11	0xec380a…
05-14 17:54:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	549	62¢	$341	0x721ab3…
05-14 17:53:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$12	0xef8ee3…
05-14 17:53:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	156	63¢	$98	0x3da132…
05-14 03:09:40	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	7,580	97¢	$7,360	0x716801…
05-13 15:05:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x2d4225…
05-13 15:05:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0xf05d79…
05-13 15:05:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x56f1df…
05-13 14:59:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x96d433…
05-13 14:59:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	202	53¢	$108	0x11380c…
05-12 07:17:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	998	48¢	$482	0x1a874d…
05-06 13:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	25¢	$11	0x2d47eb…
05-06 13:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7efa48…
05-06 13:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	26¢	$17	0x50e8ac…
05-06 10:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x6450a5…
05-06 10:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x565716…
05-06 10:11:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xfee92c…
05-06 10:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	879	1¢	$5	0x7e75b6…
05-06 07:26:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	24¢	$27	0xc6e444…
05-05 18:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	77¢	$89	0x0030b5…
05-04 10:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x1fd8b3…
05-04 10:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x5deb2f…
05-04 10:40:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x42c35e…
05-04 10:40:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4108b6…
05-04 10:39:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x25cf53…
05-04 10:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x480075…
05-04 10:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	223	15¢	$33	0x1df044…
05-03 16:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	0¢	$2	0xc8b52f…
05-03 09:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	534	87¢	$466	0x35770f…
04-30 01:22:00	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	7,580	96¢	$7,247	0x71afd1…
04-23 20:47:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0xb88de1…
04-23 06:09:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	181	14¢	$26	0xa2f9af…
04-22 21:20:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xff7726…
04-22 21:18:58	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xc857b2…
04-22 21:16:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x4d00e3…
04-22 20:47:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x258f49…
04-22 20:43:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x26c848…
04-22 20:32:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xc27202…
04-22 20:32:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x7cb45f…
04-22 19:54:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x466e96…
04-22 19:07:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0xee5a03…
04-22 16:02:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	549	20¢	$109	0x978630…
04-22 15:56:46	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	396	0¢	$0	0x4f6d33…
04-22 15:42:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	187	93¢	$174	0xfe9c84…
04-22 15:39:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	108	87¢	$94	0x4e4589…
04-22 15:39:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x643555…
04-22 15:39:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	206	87¢	$179	0x7826e0…
04-22 15:29:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xda989d…
04-22 15:29:28	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xb9afa6…
04-22 15:29:22	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x50379f…
04-22 15:29:10	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x648f73…
04-22 15:26:50	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xe63354…
04-22 14:26:22	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	190	23¢	$43	0x8c24b4…
04-22 13:34:38	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	489	71¢	$347	0xea2f19…
04-22 13:29:50	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0xf39c83…
04-22 13:29:40	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x0330a7…
04-22 13:29:32	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$144	0x9d36e3…
04-22 13:29:30	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xc31c4d…
04-22 13:29:12	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xbe86ce…
04-22 07:08:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	47	24¢	$11	0x6a1cef…
04-22 07:07:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xcdc92f…
04-22 07:07:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xecdee1…
04-22 07:07:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x77442e…
04-22 07:07:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x073c1f…
04-22 07:07:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x3b9f06…
04-22 07:07:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf2eb7b…
04-22 07:07:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xbb17f9…
04-22 07:07:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xdf8a77…
04-22 07:07:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0x2eed2f…
04-22 07:07:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x982b56…
04-22 07:07:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x91bb7f…
04-22 07:07:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4ee1d6…
04-22 07:07:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xd19750…
04-22 07:07:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$3	0xa03128…
04-22 07:07:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x923d2c…
04-22 07:07:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x6d4ed7…
04-22 07:07:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$3	0x637142…
04-22 07:07:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x08a6d2…
04-22 07:07:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$3	0x9cc906…
04-22 07:07:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x4c394a…
04-22 07:07:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	107	27¢	$29	0x22b8fe…
04-22 07:06:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	305	0¢	$1	0x5c9781…
04-22 07:06:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0xbdd22a…