Green-Ephemera — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

30 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$97

$97 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down		+1	$2	100¢	$1	$-1	05-05 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up		+4	$3	0¢	$0	$-3	05-05 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	3	$7	8	3	+5	open	—	05-05 19:57
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	32	0	+32	open	—	05-05 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 16:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 16:09
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 05:29
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 05:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-04 22:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 20:54
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$4	11	0	+11	Down	$-4	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-05 17:58
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-3	05-04 21:54
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$3	12	0	+12	Up	$-3	05-04 22:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$3	15	0	+15	Down	$-3	05-04 21:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-05 04:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 14:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	05-05 20:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$3	27	0	+27	Up	$-3	05-05 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 01:54
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 18:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 16:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	37	0	+37	open	—	05-05 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x318497…
05-05 20:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x88758b…
05-05 20:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x93395f…
05-05 20:19:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xac75cc…
05-05 20:08:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x9d9eb4…
05-05 19:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x11ec16…
05-05 19:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xc3638d…
05-05 19:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x12877d…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb730d0…
05-05 17:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3b94f0…
05-05 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x0b9a5c…
05-05 17:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x54b589…
05-05 16:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa86b41…
05-05 16:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xdef4eb…
05-05 16:09:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1b8a15…
05-05 14:14:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xbc28d8…
05-05 12:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xb234d7…
05-05 07:10:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x255d17…
05-05 06:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x68208b…
05-05 05:29:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5cdba8…
05-05 05:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x881b07…
05-05 04:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x33dcd5…
05-05 03:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xfe04f1…
05-05 01:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xad55fd…
05-05 00:14:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdbd08e…
05-04 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x159d5d…
05-04 22:09:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x793e4b…
05-04 21:54:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x14e79e…
05-04 21:39:28	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x97e2da…
05-04 20:49:32	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb2dfa7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	11	$1.73K	52	05-05 20:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$752	73	05-05 21:00
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	6	$531	79	05-05 21:00
Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c	5	$1.21K	26	05-05 19:41
(anonymous) 0xe9a1…393a	5	$516	57	05-05 19:58
Flowery-Strawberry 0x8dbc…0f5c	4	$536	5	05-05 19:48