Pleasant-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$963

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,349

lifetime

Volume

$45.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$350

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-03 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 50% $-963

Other

24% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No		-347	$-260	72¢	$-248	+$12	06-05 03:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes		-320	$-128	32¢	$-102	+$26	07-03 07:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	34	$3.1K	3,037	2,612	+425	open	—	04-17 08:24
btc updown 5m 1771541100	11	$1.1K	768	756	+12	open	—	02-19 22:48
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	10	$730	933	0	+933	open	—	04-15 13:40
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$708	800	0	+800	open	—	04-27 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$554	500	500	+0	Down	+$84	05-05 02:53
btc updown 5m 1776695400	27	$551	400	389	+11	open	—	04-20 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	8	$540	508	408	+100	Up	+$105	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	25	$525	500	500	+0	Down	+$5	05-04 23:42
btc updown 5m 1772601000	15	$484	384	384	+0	open	—	03-04 05:13
btc updown 5m 1771560300	88	$472	363	363	+0	open	—	02-20 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	46	$451	429	400	+29	Down	+$45	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	40	$450	900	0	+900	Up	$-450	05-05 03:06
btc updown 5m 1776865500	8	$450	300	300	+0	open	—	04-22 13:50
btc updown 5m 1775100300	31	$438	300	300	+0	open	—	04-02 03:29
btc updown 5m 1776691800	16	$390	300	300	+0	open	—	04-20 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	19	$387	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-387	05-05 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	11	$384	300	300	+0	Up	+$90	05-05 01:35
btc updown 5m 1771559100	26	$377	370	370	+0	open	—	02-20 03:47
btc updown 5m 1771555800	21	$352	456	456	+0	open	—	02-20 02:52
btc updown 5m 1773323400	11	$311	640	0	+640	open	—	03-12 13:49
lol gxp lua 2026 02 13	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	02-14 12:44
btc updown 5m 1775093700	21	$281	300	292	+8	open	—	04-02 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$279	300	300	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 02:16
btc updown 5m 1775098500	18	$276	300	300	+0	open	—	04-02 02:59
btc updown 5m 1771556100	22	$274	360	360	+0	open	—	02-20 02:59
btc updown 5m 1773310500	15	$266	426	213	+213	open	—	03-12 10:17
btc updown 5m 1773870600	11	$264	200	200	+0	open	—	03-18 21:53
lol fly sen 2026 04 23	12	$263	190	190	+0	open	—	04-23 20:31
btc updown 5m 1776865800	15	$262	600	0	+600	open	—	04-22 13:51
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	1	$260	0	347	-347	open	—	06-05 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 07:38:56	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	215	40¢	$86	0x4d679d…
07-02 03:14:56	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	105	40¢	$42	0x7d5cd6…
06-05 03:30:46	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	347	75¢	$260	0xa0044c…
05-30 00:14:35	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	BUY	99	92¢	$91	0x3a31a4…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xfa6249…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf97d91…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0xf44b7c…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xd4dd49…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xca2416…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc6ec27…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xbc4dae…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9f18f1…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x848ed5…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7c7a2e…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x501f22…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x293ba7…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x26117d…
05-05 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1602c1…
05-05 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x15dab0…
05-05 03:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb4c07c…
05-05 03:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71bf97…
05-05 03:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x063173…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfce344…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbaf1d3…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5890c…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae2366…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e7173…
05-05 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x44a1cc…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc04df…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd6e2dd…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6be436…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x317354…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x130379…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x03b6e8…
05-05 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0392b5…
05-05 03:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xed33db…
05-05 03:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0xec4458…
05-05 03:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x631291…
05-05 03:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x483d99…
05-05 03:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x2e814d…
05-05 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee826e…
05-05 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7199f1…
05-05 03:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6e5948…
05-05 03:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xcf84d0…
05-05 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	400	22¢	$87	0x4c3ae5…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeccc53…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	63	50¢	$32	0xcca818…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	159	50¢	$80	0xb6d14e…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xaf30d0…
05-05 03:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5cf84f…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa0640e…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7ac37b…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0x4b1c25…
05-05 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x191926…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb27b31…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x705f6b…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b7abe…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7184b…
05-05 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2bd793…
05-05 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x8d7792…
05-05 02:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe03e8c…
05-05 02:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x984d42…
05-05 02:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x48014b…
05-05 02:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x6d09b1…
05-05 02:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0x8be5cf…
05-05 02:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x2f1df6…
05-05 02:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x1701a8…
05-05 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xf79485…
05-05 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb55b85…
05-05 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	57	13¢	$8	0xa1fd96…
05-05 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x6ed0f5…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfd435d…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xb31262…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xae64f4…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa71f68…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	86	66¢	$57	0x9442e3…
05-05 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3c37e6…
05-05 02:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	125	49¢	$61	0xc07f62…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x58c77c…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x2a6386…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x230ace…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x1df9bc…
05-05 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x11622e…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf6c165…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xeb93ce…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5945a…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcf904c…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb1a0d0…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb153e4…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xaeb375…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9f98a8…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9f0ce4…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8691fd…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x46da5f…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1347d6…
05-05 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05221d…
05-05 02:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfe019c…
05-05 02:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b123a…
05-05 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	500	64¢	$319	0xaa4d3f…
05-05 02:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0xf7f373…