(anonymous) 0xdd36ef…42a86f Create alert
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$81
Unrealized P&L
+$83
Hit rate
32.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
380
lifetime
Volume
$3.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$881
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-07
last 11-12 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
74% 31% -$70
Politics
12% — —
Tech
11% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
3% 0% -$11
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026? Yes +67 $49 97¢ $65 +$15 11-09 20:04
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? No +60 $56 93¢ $56 -$1 11-11 05:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +60 $49 92¢ $55 +$6 11-11 09:17
Will Demon1 play for Cloud9 in 2027? No +60 $53 88¢ $53 $0 11-11 08:19
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? Yes +60 $49 70¢ $42 -$8 11-11 09:31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +38 $26 96¢ $37 +$10 11-07 19:11
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate at the January meeting? Yes +40 $9 88¢ $35 +$26 11-07 17:19
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? No +40 $33 86¢ $34 +$1 11-11 05:25
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? Yes +60 $37 55¢ $33 -$4 11-11 08:15
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October? No +40 $26 80¢ $32 +$6 11-07 20:28
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? No +34 $12 90¢ $30 +$18 11-07 16:42
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in October? No +30 $25 97¢ $29 +$4 11-11 09:24
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on November 30? No +29 $27 94¢ $27 +$0 11-09 12:53
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31? Yes +40 $26 69¢ $27 +$2 11-09 15:52
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election? No +60 $24 45¢ $27 +$3 11-11 09:00
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in October? Yes +45 $18 55¢ $25 +$6 11-09 08:38
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November? No +49 $19 50¢ $24 +$5 11-07 20:24
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November? Yes +48 $35 50¢ $24 -$12 11-11 05:12
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for at least $70m at auction? No +26 $23 89¢ $23 +$1 11-12 20:20
Will Davi Alcolumbre be the next President of the Brazilian Senate? Yes +39 $24 56¢ $22 -$2 11-11 07:31
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in October? No +46 $27 46¢ $21 -$6 11-09 08:39
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? Yes +34 $25 58¢ $20 -$5 11-11 07:47
Will OpenRouter process less than 200T tokens the week of November 9? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 11-11 07:13
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? No +60 $13 30¢ $18 +$6 11-11 09:31
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? No +24 $12 74¢ $18 +$6 11-08 07:37
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $10.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $14 54¢ $17 +$3 11-07 18:43
Will Anthropic sell between 7% and 8% of its shares in its IPO? No +20 $20 85¢ $17 -$2 11-11 05:45
Will Davi Alcolumbre be the next President of the Brazilian Senate? No +39 $17 44¢ $17 $0 11-11 07:31
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +20 $16 84¢ $17 +$0 11-11 11:22
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? Yes +21 $16 78¢ $16 +$0 11-09 15:40