Circular-Candy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-16 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 46% $-97

Politics

11% — —

Sports

6% 33% +$88

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$389	392	392	+0	open	—	04-07 23:36
btc updown 5m 1774716600	2	$276	181	178	+3	open	—	03-28 16:55
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$173	204	204	+0	Sean Strickland	+$103	05-10 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$152	228	228	+0	open	—	05-14 08:59
btc updown 5m 1774717500	1	$119	280	0	+280	open	—	03-28 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$103	171	93	+79	Down	+$31	05-14 01:33
btc updown 5m 1774716000	1	$100	346	0	+346	open	—	03-28 16:42
btc updown 5m 1774716900	1	$100	389	0	+389	open	—	03-28 16:55
btc updown 5m 1774717200	1	$100	237	0	+237	open	—	03-28 17:00
btc updown 5m 1774715700	1	$86	263	0	+263	open	—	03-28 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$82	176	71	+104	open	—	05-14 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$79	125	125	+0	open	—	05-03 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$76	179	66	+113	Up	+$4	05-14 01:44
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	6	$75	335	334	+0	open	—	05-16 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$74	684	59	+625	open	—	05-03 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$59	175	56	+119	open	—	05-14 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$58	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$51	73	17	+56	Up	$-19	05-14 01:14
btc updown 5m 1774716300	1	$48	107	0	+107	open	—	03-28 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$38	443	0	+443	open	—	05-14 09:03
btc updown 5m 1774675200	1	$38	198	0	+198	open	—	03-28 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$37	66	62	+4	open	—	04-25 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$35	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$33	262	0	+262	open	—	05-03 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$33	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 17:04
btc updown 5m 1775641800	1	$33	132	0	+132	open	—	04-08 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$33	431	0	+431	open	—	05-03 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$32	26	26	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 13:13:48	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	304	11¢	$32	0x11978f…
05-14 09:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x7817be…
05-14 09:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x42120b…
05-14 09:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	266	9¢	$25	0xbe617b…
05-14 09:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xf197ca…
05-14 09:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	71	45¢	$32	0xe3ae75…
05-14 09:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x7c13dc…
05-14 09:17:01	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	130	12¢	$15	0x76b70e…
05-14 09:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xc2399a…
05-14 09:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0xdc697a…
05-14 09:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xf4fde4…
05-14 09:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x51f39f…
05-14 09:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd3470d…
05-14 09:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	287	5¢	$13	0x31a9b6…
05-14 09:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x6563b0…
05-14 08:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	89	21¢	$19	0x4cd391…
05-14 08:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xc5459a…
05-14 08:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	139	60¢	$83	0x379ff3…
05-14 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf250d4…
05-14 02:02:00	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x3ad5e2…
05-14 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xff4896…
05-14 01:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0x8e9145…
05-14 01:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x907def…
05-14 01:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xb538f6…
05-14 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	185	6¢	$11	0x498c8c…
05-14 01:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	113	10¢	$11	0x3e49d6…
05-14 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	66	60¢	$40	0xa45634…
05-14 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x9c5241…
05-14 01:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x2d150b…
05-14 01:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	79	14¢	$11	0x07a87a…
05-14 01:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	93	72¢	$67	0x90de28…
05-14 01:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xbcb42d…
05-14 01:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x7b3cbe…
05-14 01:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x42225a…
05-14 01:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x149f7b…
05-14 01:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0xf1b24b…
05-14 01:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xc731da…
05-14 00:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb77a1e…
05-14 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x178ae4…
05-14 00:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xeba843…
05-14 00:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xdfc5d1…
05-14 00:41:12	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	131	11¢	$15	0x2a495f…
05-14 00:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	167	5¢	$8	0xd95d39…
05-14 00:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5cbcb3…
05-10 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3cc044…
05-10 18:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x99e1b9…
05-10 18:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xa7a855…
05-10 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xc270a4…
05-10 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0xbd080b…
05-10 18:51:42	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x01e8ca…
05-10 13:35:25	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x931f60…
05-10 09:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa158a7…
05-10 04:49:19	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xc48e95…
05-10 04:37:00	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x65a60f…
05-10 04:36:29	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x582118…
05-10 04:28:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	156	58¢	$91	0xae77f8…
05-10 04:16:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x33a858…
05-08 19:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x474725…
05-08 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xd68bc5…
05-08 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x96376e…
05-08 18:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x385cf8…
05-08 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$9	0xa8ac59…
05-08 18:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf85e38…
05-08 18:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcdcfe2…
05-08 18:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xa2c1d8…
05-08 18:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7920ac…
05-08 18:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5af27d…
05-08 18:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x6a0be1…
05-08 18:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x67d6ea…
05-08 18:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x7f54f7…
05-08 18:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0x49db06…
05-08 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd0309d…
05-08 18:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbe8172…
05-04 20:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x41f64c…
05-04 13:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xceef67…
05-03 23:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x9a21ea…
05-03 23:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0b2550…
05-03 23:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd276a5…
05-03 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x3b2e1a…
05-03 23:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x918fb6…
05-03 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x8fa3c1…
05-03 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xc40dad…
05-03 22:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x16ef38…
05-03 22:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x810112…
05-03 22:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	115	25¢	$29	0xd675b2…
05-03 22:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x78ed16…
05-03 22:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0x097e65…
05-03 22:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc843ed…
05-03 22:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6d3a31…
05-03 22:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x32a53b…
05-03 22:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1dd165…
05-03 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x235cad…
05-03 21:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x43f588…
05-03 20:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xeec487…
05-03 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	262	13¢	$33	0x6ea2f1…
05-03 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	287	1¢	$3	0x207633…
05-03 20:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	145	21¢	$30	0x4c397c…
05-03 20:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x883002…
05-03 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	125	44¢	$54	0x890217…
05-03 20:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xddef9a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	85	$21.2K	6,283	05-14 09:43
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	85	$19.7K	3,547	05-14 09:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	85	$19.2K	5,728	05-14 09:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	85	$16.9K	2,983	05-14 09:43
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	85	$15.4K	6,802	05-14 09:44
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	84	$9.75K	1,966	05-14 09:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	83	$44.4K	2,014	05-18 20:58
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	83	$18.8K	885	05-14 09:41