Damaged-Shortage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-17 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	36	$41	5,187	5,187	+0	open	—	03-16 12:42
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	03-04 10:18
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-10 09:54
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-09 14:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 8	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-08 10:03
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-07 08:29
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-05 18:19
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-04 15:29
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-03 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-31 07:47
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-29 10:23
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-28 11:38
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-27 13:26
bitcoin above 76k on march 26	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-26 01:22
ethereum above 1900 on march 25	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-25 08:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-24 09:14
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-23 09:45
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-22 15:11
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-21 12:46
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 74k on march 19	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-19 12:07
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-18 14:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-11 09:51
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-17 08:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 20:52
will iran strike israel on march 8	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	03-08 09:50
bitcoin above 62k on march 16	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-16 01:13
bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-11 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:00:46	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x308c5d…
06-14 13:27:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x06e8c8…
06-11 01:34:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb8ee11…
06-06 11:58:52	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9de98…
06-04 10:58:31	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe8d188…
05-28 06:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9db4a6…
05-26 13:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd5ffb4…
05-23 12:23:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6730d4…
05-21 12:53:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x237acf…
05-14 09:20:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e8f50…
05-13 13:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdce60d…
05-10 10:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x79e453…
05-05 12:48:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fd199…
05-03 10:26:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x668215…
04-27 10:09:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xadde6f…
04-26 13:02:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1d3bf2…
04-24 10:01:28	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2712f…
04-23 11:54:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac20cd…
04-22 13:34:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b2e24…
04-20 14:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe1f409…
04-19 13:21:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x710d07…
04-16 15:37:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xae5f19…
04-15 10:03:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x335690…
04-14 12:44:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe7cf2c…
04-13 09:36:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xbce445…
04-13 01:19:31	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf85496…
04-11 19:52:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc9ad1e…
04-11 19:51:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca0206…
04-10 09:54:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0da14c…
04-09 14:04:15	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xda119d…
04-08 10:03:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd8f74a…
04-07 08:29:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x13ea16…
04-05 18:19:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x11be00…
04-04 15:29:31	will bitcoin reach 72k on april 4	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x11589b…
04-03 15:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x63f497…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5e9321…
03-31 07:47:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd87788…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x517db9…
03-29 10:23:58	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x127cfb…
03-28 11:38:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdd713b…
03-27 13:26:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3eec54…
03-26 01:22:37	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xaa0898…
03-25 08:18:17	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0c404…
03-24 09:14:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x889fdf…
03-23 09:45:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd077cd…
03-22 15:11:33	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 22	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8e225d…
03-21 12:46:41	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa7a88e…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf78f02…
03-19 12:07:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7667b3…
03-18 14:17:05	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x34189f…
03-17 08:42:59	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x799109…
03-16 13:23:31	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x67b684…
03-16 12:42:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	980	0¢	$4	0x1efe77…
03-16 12:41:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	980	0¢	$4	0xa1152c…
03-16 12:41:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,410	0¢	$6	0x59a58f…
03-16 12:40:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	842	0¢	$3	0x952c9a…
03-16 12:40:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	568	0¢	$2	0xddbb96…
03-16 01:13:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x31e928…
03-11 09:51:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb0cc6b…
03-11 09:06:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,549	0¢	$6	0x7e2a3e…
03-11 08:28:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x97c1a7…
03-11 08:28:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xec1897…
03-11 08:28:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7c7792…
03-11 08:28:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x958c59…
03-11 08:28:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7db9a9…
03-11 08:28:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x897107…
03-11 08:28:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe82865…
03-11 08:28:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4cdde5…
03-11 08:28:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x67dfef…
03-11 08:28:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe1a300…
03-11 08:28:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x2b38c7…
03-11 08:28:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa0c662…
03-11 08:28:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb5589c…
03-11 08:27:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4ca0c3…
03-11 08:27:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0b88ef…
03-11 08:27:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x45cc57…
03-11 08:27:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4a0bd4…
03-11 08:27:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x082d1b…
03-11 08:27:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x47b359…
03-11 08:27:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe75757…
03-11 08:27:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb78152…
03-11 08:27:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x916983…
03-11 08:26:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf5a235…
03-11 08:26:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0eda0b…
03-11 08:26:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x16bdd5…
03-11 08:26:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x25141c…
03-11 08:26:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcdb526…
03-11 08:26:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,161	0¢	$5	0x845b06…
03-08 09:50:41	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x1a72e6…
03-07 20:52:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7bb2fe…
03-04 10:18:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x120ee7…
03-03 15:49:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,248	0¢	$5	0xbd66eb…
03-03 13:26:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,248	0¢	$5	0x069ca3…