Harmonious-Cartoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$780

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved (90d)

363

Trades (90d)

1,168

8,440 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$32.7K

$506.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-04 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

99% 77% -$1,807

Politics

1% 72% -$892

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	490	$27.4K	14,968	14,968	+0	Yes	-$243	05-14 19:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	126	$10.7K	5,742	5,742	+0	No	-$62	05-03 04:25
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	47	$10.6K	6,355	6,355	+0	No	+$285	03-07 16:26
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	51	$9.2K	9,325	9,325	+0	Yes	-$3,923	03-04 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	211	$7.6K	4,136	4,136	+0	No	-$37	05-01 18:04
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 65 89	21	$6.9K	4,607	4,607	+0	No	+$276	03-02 15:32
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	55	$6.6K	3,878	3,878	+0	No	+$991	02-20 16:53
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 90 114	25	$6.6K	3,840	3,840	+0	No	+$94	03-01 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	282	$6.3K	3,548	3,548	-0	No	-$180	05-03 00:26
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	63	$5.6K	3,914	3,914	+0	No	+$16	03-03 15:22
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	30	$5.4K	2,821	2,848	-26	No	+$181	02-17 16:07
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	28	$4.7K	2,553	2,553	+0	No	+$216	03-03 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	26	$4.5K	3,343	2,471	+872	No	-$707	05-15 01:16
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	25	$4.2K	4,218	4,218	+0	No	-$535	03-03 15:39
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	18	$4.1K	2,513	2,513	+0	No	+$2	03-02 16:26
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	62	$4.0K	2,395	2,413	-18	No	+$50	02-17 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	25	$3.9K	2,105	2,105	+0	No	+$112	05-05 07:38
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	26	$3.9K	2,232	2,343	-111	No	-$95	02-18 16:25
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	8	$3.5K	1,906	1,906	+0	No	+$128	02-27 15:20
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	74	$3.5K	1,874	1,858	+16	No	+$28	02-17 11:00
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 115 139	19	$3.5K	1,907	1,907	+0	No	+$17	02-23 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	4	$3.4K	1,837	1,837	+0	No	+$149	05-12 15:43
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 140 164	31	$3.4K	1,866	1,866	+0	No	-$15	02-21 06:27
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	31	$3.3K	1,752	1,752	+0	No	+$195	03-06 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	8	$3.3K	1,861	1,861	+0	Yes	+$357	02-28 16:26
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	8	$3.1K	1,758	1,746	+12	No	+$370	04-24 13:50
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	29	$3.1K	1,597	1,597	+0	No	+$100	02-16 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	47	$3.0K	1,621	1,621	+0	No	+$95	05-08 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	7	$3.0K	1,839	1,839	+0	No	-$159	05-01 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	17	$3.0K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$253	05-05 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 07:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xd478fd…
10-04 07:48:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc087f0…
10-04 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xa08859…
10-03 23:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xbb7041…
10-03 23:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa39282…
10-03 14:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xd679c4…
10-03 14:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xcb0dcf…
10-03 13:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0x1c5318…
10-03 12:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc25eef…
10-03 12:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1ff124…
10-03 10:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x258f79…
10-03 10:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xb03a5f…
10-03 10:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$19	0x3aaa41…
10-03 10:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 4?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xaa6c14…
10-03 09:16:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xe1215f…
10-03 08:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x6f4fbc…
10-03 07:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 3?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x13a2cb…
10-03 06:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xd6f03c…
10-03 05:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x2f2f7a…
10-03 05:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x98473b…
10-03 05:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x5fc2d3…
10-03 05:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 3?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xfcb44f…
10-03 02:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 4?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xfa15e5…
10-03 01:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x1f4764…
10-02 23:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x8c7360…
10-02 19:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3ad912…
10-02 17:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x6bb724…
10-02 17:31:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x2eb0c0…
10-02 17:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 2?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x1457bf…
10-02 13:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 3?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa20423…
10-02 13:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xfb2505…
10-02 06:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$41	0x196062…
10-02 06:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x26b389…
10-02 06:15:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xe8d156…
10-02 06:15:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on October 2?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x870583…
10-02 05:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x5cdc50…
10-02 05:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x10abaa…
10-02 05:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf46bb1…
10-02 03:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x4bc1a4…
10-02 03:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xc8e6e6…
10-02 03:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x71a31c…
10-02 03:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3656f6…
10-02 02:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x2b33e4…
10-02 02:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0xeff1c7…
10-01 19:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xcbae0e…
10-01 18:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x849389…
10-01 18:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xb11e5c…
10-01 16:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xfb52e5…
10-01 15:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 1?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x8405ee…
10-01 14:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 1?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbe3243…
10-01 14:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xe5d5a0…
10-01 14:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xe4cc39…
10-01 13:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 1?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x0c8cac…
10-01 13:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 1?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x683bab…
10-01 11:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x123124…
10-01 11:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x1f0587…
10-01 02:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 1?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x0c457b…
10-01 02:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 1?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd36575…
10-01 01:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 1?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x404663…
09-30 23:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x4d8d50…
09-30 23:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 1?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xc2aa90…
09-30 23:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x4c809f…
09-30 22:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 1?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x07fd19…
09-30 19:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xbe3ee3…
09-30 05:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 1?	No	BUY	32	86¢	$28	0xdaab5d…
09-30 04:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xdee007…
09-30 02:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 1?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0d9966…
09-29 17:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 30?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xbef69b…
09-29 17:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 1?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xb21abc…
09-29 16:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1a4ba1…
09-29 16:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 29?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfb69f8…
09-29 16:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 29?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$53	0x84c698…
09-29 14:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 1?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x7a6f89…
09-29 13:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x7031b6…
09-29 13:01:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd8f51d…
09-29 12:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 30?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0e335f…
09-29 11:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 29?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa255a5…
09-28 21:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 29?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x1915e0…
09-28 21:36:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x02d41d…
09-28 21:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 29?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6ce49a…
09-28 19:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49f0a7…
09-28 03:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x35e6e4…
09-28 02:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x8f8ee1…
09-27 23:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb8efa2…
09-27 23:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0042c…
09-27 22:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xab2f67…
09-27 22:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xabf012…
09-27 21:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x4dec41…
09-27 21:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 27?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x1522b4…
09-27 21:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 27?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xa891c1…
09-27 19:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x2ef445…
09-27 19:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9b1a01…
09-27 19:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 28?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x4591db…
09-27 19:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xb67c01…
09-27 06:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 27?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x3734cb…
09-27 05:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xb38801…
09-27 05:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x52ce17…
09-27 04:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 27?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xdcebdf…
09-27 04:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x5f19df…
09-26 23:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x0989f7…