Frugal-Providence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

26 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29

$29 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down		+2	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-05 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-05 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	$-1	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-05 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-05 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	+$1	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-05 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x071d03…
05-05 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x1a5998…
05-05 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xeadcba…
05-05 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x17e405…
05-05 12:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf67b25…
05-05 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x2ef54d…
05-05 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x7b008f…
05-05 11:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1e3ae…
05-05 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x537650…
05-05 08:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb2bcb1…
05-05 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd92fa2…
05-05 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe1db0d…
05-05 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd12396…
05-05 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf7b29d…
05-05 06:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x512c6c…
05-05 03:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x9d5787…
05-05 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa78693…
05-05 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x49ed85…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x145844…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x20dcfb…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4fe95d…
05-05 02:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x11b376…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xeeb881…
05-04 23:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x91f053…
05-04 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa84431…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8ebc50…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$4.28K	141	05-05 13:11
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	20	$1.32K	110	05-05 22:45
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$1.23K	104	05-05 22:45
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$1.73K	108	05-05 22:45
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	19	$1.69K	107	05-05 22:45
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$1.51K	68	05-05 22:45
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	14	$1.46K	32	05-05 12:41
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	13	$1.10K	21	05-05 13:10