Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$330

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

295

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$4.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-23 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

71% 54% -$293

Politics

14% 37% -$6

Sports

5% 63% +$12

Crypto

4% 57% -$2

Pop-Culture

3% 67% -$39

Tech

2% 20% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	+3	$2	88¢	$2	+$0	07-23 21:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	07-23 20:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	07-23 21:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	10	$215	47,093	0	+47,093	Yes	-$215	02-04 00:10
will martine vassal win the marseille mayor election	4	$135	69	69	+0	No	-$1	01-26 08:19
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	6	$82	79	79	+0	No	+$8	02-21 08:42
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt0 and 42pt4 on january 23 2026	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	01-24 15:40
tsla close above 430 on february 11 2026	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$1	02-11 21:07
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$67	22	46	-24	No	+$0	01-24 15:39
will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week january 20 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	01-20 21:00
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	01-27 08:41
will the rip be the top global netflix movie this week february 3	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	02-02 19:06
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$1	01-18 08:43
usb quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt19	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	01-20 13:15
will the uks septembernovember 2025 unemployment rate be 5pt4	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	01-19 11:57
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	01-24 15:45
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	01-30 13:11
will people we meet on vacation be the 2 us netflix movie this week january 20 2026	2	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	01-19 19:43
aapl close above 265 on january 29 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-29 21:45
will keir starmer say denmark or greenland during the next prime ministers questions 834	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	01-21 13:23
will henrique gouveia e melo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election 755	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-19 10:14
will his hers be the top global netflix show this week january 20 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	01-20 20:56
will mike epps delusional be the 2 global netflix show this week february 3 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-02 18:55
will the eurozones monthly inflation be 0pt3 in december	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-19 10:14
curfew in minneapolis saint paul by friday	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-02 18:55
ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 29 2026 4pt24	1	$40	41	0	+41	Yes	+$1	01-29 13:00
paddy pimblett staph infection by feb 1st	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-02 19:02
negative gdp growth in q4 2025 295	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	02-02 19:09
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	01-30 13:12
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 1pt0	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	02-03 23:50
will lee sung hoon make a final pair in singles inferno season 5	3	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	02-10 10:09
will i just might by bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	01-19 12:01
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$32	30	20	+10	Yes	$0	02-19 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 22:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf3c434…
07-23 21:15:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2fb26a…
07-23 21:00:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcfee89…
07-23 20:59:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xca544e…
07-09 09:31:35	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8e8fe3…
04-01 20:22:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	760	0¢	$1	0x405547…
03-31 15:37:23	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x351e1f…
03-31 11:43:19	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3b547b…
03-31 11:37:01	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x5a51c3…
03-28 22:06:06	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd31779…
03-28 18:53:40	will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x6c9b7f…
03-28 14:41:29	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	No	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf4ecbe…
03-28 14:22:07	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x09a0be…
03-28 07:53:21	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	SELL	45	12¢	$6	0x59066c…
03-26 21:05:45	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x371701…
03-26 16:01:57	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x9b7f84…
03-26 13:17:25	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf51c61…
03-26 13:13:03	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb965ca…
03-26 13:09:31	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 24 2026	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe17112…
03-26 13:06:43	will sergey brin be 3rd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca88ad…
03-25 13:30:47	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xf2e5d3…
03-25 02:06:59	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xa7c0d6…
03-22 13:20:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x630a6a…
03-21 19:34:37	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x84b873…
03-21 07:45:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9fe656…
03-21 01:29:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x43119c…
03-20 21:19:09	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x409bcb…
03-18 07:36:57	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3c5677…
03-18 07:03:21	will la shawn ford be the democratic nominee for il 07 347	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec151a…
03-16 21:39:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x44025d…
03-16 20:19:07	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3cc99e…
03-16 19:25:29	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	2,700	0¢	$3	0x943f52…
03-16 16:35:53	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xf3bb6f…
03-16 10:04:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd8f42c…
03-16 09:58:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x27315a…
03-15 11:23:21	ethereum up or down on march 15 2026	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3c35e9…
03-15 10:25:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x589dae…
03-11 12:37:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0xc56d4a…
03-11 11:40:37	Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xdd30b4…
03-11 00:45:57	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4c9fd0…
03-10 22:28:39	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x7468ef…
03-10 22:19:59	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8ca9a0…
03-10 22:18:01	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xe85d74…
03-09 21:59:23	Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x07d991…
03-06 23:54:21	will iran strike israel on march 4	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9505e8…
03-06 21:28:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	900	0¢	$1	0x6541f7…
03-06 19:53:21	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6ea60…
03-06 19:52:05	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x28cd44…
03-06 02:00:57	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$1	0x90dd1b…
03-05 20:47:25	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x97af29…
03-05 20:36:33	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x19b970…
03-05 15:07:27	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	BUY	1,010	0¢	$1	0x30f9a2…
03-05 13:51:57	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x0d87a0…
03-05 13:45:15	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf45b4f…
03-05 01:09:45	highest temperature in seoul on march 5 2026 11corhigher	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9ba06d…
03-04 22:01:33	will iran strike israel on march 3	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xd80f64…
03-04 21:08:29	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0xe48006…
03-04 21:00:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xcdc3ad…
03-03 03:52:07	will russia strike kyiv on march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x75f48f…
03-02 14:54:07	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf897a2…
03-02 13:22:37	will opinion launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xce498f…
03-01 22:28:41	will russia strike kyiv on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xda60bb…
02-28 20:09:21	Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe4f35c…
02-28 20:01:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa64b37…
02-28 20:00:25	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xce2aef…
02-28 19:56:51	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xeb0758…
02-28 19:35:11	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 1corhigher	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb48409…
02-28 19:34:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xae7c88…
02-28 19:34:21	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x71d7cb…
02-28 19:31:31	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x25bfd2…
02-28 19:30:57	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf4c502…
02-28 19:30:57	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xcd0cf3…
02-28 19:30:33	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0b7616…
02-28 19:30:01	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xabb234…
02-28 19:22:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0d1a93…
02-28 17:20:09	will the median home value in miami be between 1160000 and 1190000 by march 1 769	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbaa62d…
02-28 17:19:57	will the median home value in miami be between 1160000 and 1190000 by march 1 769	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6f9ebf…
02-28 16:24:07	will opinion launch a token on march 12	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd829ca…
02-28 16:24:07	will opinion launch a token on march 14	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x66b624…
02-28 16:23:19	will opinion launch a token on march 14	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x44e39c…
02-28 16:23:19	will opinion launch a token on march 12	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x409b24…
02-28 15:57:27	will opinion launch a token on march 17	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x9ee916…
02-28 15:49:15	will opinion launch a token on march 17	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd06a3d…
02-28 15:48:59	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 10corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa4c5a2…
02-28 15:39:53	will opinion launch a token on march 17	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0ccb54…
02-28 15:35:23	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd72139…
02-28 15:34:15	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe9b2d7…
02-28 15:33:27	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x4a02df…
02-28 15:33:17	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe873dd…
02-28 15:26:19	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x805dcc…
02-28 15:19:33	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb28b31…
02-28 15:17:57	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2d6d94…
02-28 15:17:53	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa58728…
02-28 15:08:53	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8e7641…
02-28 15:06:57	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 1 2026 20corbelow	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc04f0e…
02-28 15:06:11	will social democratic party faroe islands win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x97c01e…
02-28 15:06:11	will social democratic party faroe islands win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7e8555…
02-28 15:06:11	will social democratic party faroe islands win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x57a1de…
02-28 15:05:35	will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe02537…
02-28 15:01:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 10corhigher	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcff511…