Realized P&L
-$795
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
2,281
Trades
4,258
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$9
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 10-04 15:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 63% -$784
Other
1% 32% -$9
Politics
0% 33% -$2
Sports
0% 33% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $5 18¢ $4 -$1 08-21 09:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 08-25 17:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 08-25 17:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $0 08-25 17:28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $0 08-26 15:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $0 $0 08-27 09:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $5 4¢ $0 -$4 09-22 04:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 09-02 06:53