Criminal-Rocket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$72.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$448

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-08 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-1

Other

33% 0% $-22

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+2,887	$433	16¢	$448	+$14	06-21 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	44	$11.2K	5,755	5,755	+0	open	—	04-01 15:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$8.7K	8,024	3,072	+4,952	open	—	06-02 10:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	79	$8.0K	10,032	1,794	+8,237	open	—	03-01 00:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	146	$5.4K	3,455	3,411	+44	open	—	03-30 13:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	46	$4.0K	5,609	4,431	+1,177	open	—	02-26 16:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	58	$3.5K	5,635	5,699	-64	open	—	03-05 20:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	70	$3.2K	6,030	2,619	+3,411	open	—	02-28 06:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	59	$2.9K	20,708	698	+20,010	open	—	06-26 08:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2.7K	3,082	0	+3,082	open	—	03-18 09:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	37	$2.5K	9,233	1,427	+7,806	open	—	04-22 13:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	33	$2.2K	1,304	1,304	+0	open	—	05-14 13:02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	87	$1.8K	4,040	4,040	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$1.8K	1,792	0	+1,792	open	—	02-05 19:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	10	$1.5K	3,762	522	+3,240	open	—	03-30 12:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$1.5K	0	1,814	-1,814	open	—	06-14 23:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	03-04 16:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	23	$1.1K	7,704	1,311	+6,392	open	—	05-12 12:08
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	23	$1.0K	3,313	0	+3,313	open	—	03-10 19:29
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$776	532	532	+0	open	—	03-20 10:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	39	$643	533	533	+0	open	—	06-29 17:21
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	5	$608	575	191	+384	open	—	07-08 12:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$535	844	844	+0	open	—	05-07 10:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	27	$523	1,427	1,427	+0	open	—	04-21 13:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	20	$484	2,469	49	+2,420	open	—	07-01 07:58
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	10	$464	335	335	+0	open	—	07-01 07:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$433	2,887	0	+2,887	open	—	06-21 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$417	3,416	0	+3,416	open	—	05-21 15:27
will trump visit china by march 31	19	$403	720	670	+50	open	—	03-20 21:51
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	2	$321	326	0	+326	open	—	04-01 20:21
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$308	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	02-26 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 12:41:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	191	87¢	$166	0x8d4d02…
07-08 11:50:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	125	75¢	$93	0xaa983b…
07-08 09:16:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	131	71¢	$93	0x772f84…
07-07 21:30:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	Yes	BUY	31	27¢	$8	0x9811ca…
07-01 07:58:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0xa09667…
07-01 07:47:34	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x171724…
07-01 07:46:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x25f0db…
07-01 07:45:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0x80d15d…
07-01 07:45:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	160	68¢	$109	0x5251fc…
07-01 07:45:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	159	68¢	$108	0xebd41d…
07-01 07:45:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xbafd3d…
07-01 05:40:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	222	15¢	$33	0xa03fc4…
07-01 05:28:07	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	167	70¢	$118	0xa7d4cc…
07-01 05:27:23	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xdde564…
07-01 05:27:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	103	71¢	$73	0xaf951d…
07-01 05:26:07	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x757334…
07-01 05:24:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0xa73514…
07-01 01:35:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x2a8122…
06-30 22:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	185	15¢	$28	0xd0f3f0…
06-30 22:56:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	185	15¢	$28	0x451cad…
06-30 21:46:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0xa7f438…
06-30 21:43:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x93d889…
06-30 12:29:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xcb93a5…
06-30 11:07:43	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xe0fcb9…
06-30 10:55:20	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x95f316…
06-30 10:10:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x378266…
06-30 08:43:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	949	16¢	$152	0xc866d9…
06-29 17:21:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	34	63¢	$21	0xb326c8…
06-29 17:19:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0x7ad5cd…
06-29 16:23:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x0fbdc9…
06-29 16:22:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0acd91…
06-29 16:22:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x6d63fb…
06-29 16:22:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xd60296…
06-29 16:22:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x53ea32…
06-29 16:22:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x2c4f0e…
06-29 16:22:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x01529e…
06-29 16:22:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	72	58¢	$42	0xd6b703…
06-29 16:22:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0x39ae98…
06-29 16:22:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x22a3ab…
06-29 16:07:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	125	57¢	$71	0x75f45f…
06-29 16:06:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x65f3e4…
06-29 16:06:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x0d66b8…
06-29 16:05:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xd422e2…
06-29 16:04:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xccf74f…
06-29 16:04:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xc5a9d4…
06-29 16:04:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x28aaa1…
06-29 16:04:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0xe09d16…
06-29 16:03:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x571c7f…
06-29 16:03:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	133	54¢	$72	0x030818…
06-29 15:01:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x6b7778…
06-29 15:00:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	197	65¢	$128	0xa14ad3…
06-29 14:46:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xad0be8…
06-29 14:45:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xdee3fb…
06-29 14:45:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x485f36…
06-29 14:45:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x47ebbc…
06-29 14:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf7ad8a…
06-29 14:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xcce556…
06-29 14:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xcae9d3…
06-29 14:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xbb1a5e…
06-29 14:45:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5fd77f…
06-29 14:45:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	125	65¢	$81	0xc19051…
06-29 14:45:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0xb38e5e…
06-29 14:42:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	46	58¢	$27	0xdff132…
06-29 14:42:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xba58a9…
06-29 14:41:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	37	61¢	$22	0x0d63de…
06-29 10:06:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0x47d111…
06-29 10:00:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xecade9…
06-28 20:30:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x2f3351…
06-28 20:29:55	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0xf2bd00…
06-26 12:16:59	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x8f0922…
06-26 08:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$12	0x2b7e8e…
06-26 07:03:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,906	11¢	$210	0x851849…
06-26 05:12:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	284	40¢	$114	0x61fe13…
06-26 05:12:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x567491…
06-25 23:03:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xd91fe0…
06-25 18:30:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xc34035…
06-25 18:30:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	228	5¢	$11	0x52c919…
06-25 18:30:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	119	5¢	$6	0x11b6a1…
06-25 18:30:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xf3c493…
06-25 15:06:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xe29369…
06-25 15:04:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	119	14¢	$17	0x80f35f…
06-25 15:04:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x3dabdc…
06-25 15:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	233	15¢	$34	0x27a67c…
06-25 07:30:13	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x457eba…
06-25 07:26:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x003c6b…
06-25 07:26:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x06fc85…
06-23 16:14:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	117	23¢	$27	0x2cf049…
06-23 16:05:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x7e20c8…
06-23 15:56:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x99cd59…
06-23 15:56:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf47f2f…
06-21 16:57:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,887	15¢	$433	0xc89895…
06-20 13:33:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	64	9¢	$6	0xc3160a…
06-20 13:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x67bd44…
06-20 13:31:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb1c5ab…
06-20 13:31:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	604	10¢	$60	0x756a30…
06-20 13:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	125	10¢	$12	0x9d8af2…
06-20 13:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	195	10¢	$20	0x97bcb3…
06-20 13:24:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0x18d5f4…
06-20 13:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	106	10¢	$11	0xca9905…
06-20 13:22:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0xa9c167…